Wimbledon: Women’s Quarter Finals
It was a tough night for the Aussies with the exit of Kyrgios and Tomic. Kyrgios was outclassed by Murray while Pouille was able to upset Tomic with his aggressive style of tennis. There was also the unfortunate retirement of two men – Gasquet and Nishikori which allowed their respective opponents a clear path into the quarters. The most dominant display of the evening goes to none other than Roger Federer. The 17 time Grand Slam champion was in ominous form against Steve Johnson and is yet to drop a set. In the only men’s 4th round match yet to be completed Berdych and Vesely are tied at two sets a piece with the winner to face Lucas Pouille.
The remaining men will get a well earned rest this evening as the women take centre stage on Day 8. It’s women’s Quarter Finals day and The Wolf again breaks down all the action.
Simona Halep v Angelique Kerber
They are two of the top 5 ranked women in the world but are yet to meet at Grand Slam level. Halep leads the H2H 3-1 but it is Kerber who won the most recent meeting this season. The win was more than just impressive. It was on Halep’s preferred surface of clay and furthermore was a Fed Cup clash in Halep’s own backyard. Kerber has elevated her game to another level since winning her maiden Grand Slam title earlier in the year and is yet to drop a set at The Championships. Halep is coming off a tough 3 set win over Madison Keys and based on their most recent meeting The Wolf says Kerber has the blueprint to win this one. Look for Kerber to hit down the line off both wings regularly which will for Halep to hit on the run – something she doesn’t do well. Kerber has an edge in power and the will also utilise her lefty serve. Kerber!
Tip: Kerber WIN ($1.73)
Venus Williams v Yaroslava Shvedova
Five time champion here Venus Williams has been on the ropes several times in the tournament but has continually found a way to win. The 35 year old will again be up against it with Shvedova in fine form. Shw has been playing at a level well above her ranking of 96 as was evident in her 3rd round win over Sabine Lisicki – a former finalist here. The pair have never met but Shvedova will be well aware of what she is up against. Venus will serve big and look to control proceeding from the back of the court while Shvedova will look to expose williams by hitting in behind her and making her hit as many balls as possible. All 4 Venus matches to date have gone well over the total in this one and with a tight 3 set match predicted the Over is the best bet.
Tip: Over 21.5 games ($1.83)
Dominika Cibulkova v Elena Vesnina
Fatigue could be a significant factor in this one with both women coming off long 3 set matches. They combined for almost 6 hours on court yesterday and managed upset wins over higher ranked opponents – coincidentally both grinded their way to 9-7 wins in the third. The H2H reads 3 wins a piece but Cibulkova has won the last two meetings in straight sets. Following such long matches the previous day The Wolf doesn’t expect a repeat. When one women gets the upper hand, most likely Cibulkova, she will go on to win in straight sets. Regardless of the winner this one will not be going to a third set.
Tip: Under 21.5 games ($1.83)
Serena Williams v Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Following a scare against Christina McHale in the second round Serena has looked every bit the 6 time champion. Her mental fortitude has really shone through in the second set of her last two matches where she posted bagels against Annika Beck and Kuznetsova. The performance of Pavyuchenkova will come down to one factor – her ability to win points on her first serve. she has made over 75% of her first serves in her last two matches but she will not be able to roll them in at the same slow speed. You cannot roll them in at 160km/h and expect not to get punished by the most dominant returner in women’s tennis. She is likely to go for more and that is where her game will fall apart. Serena made just one unforced error and 7 clean winners on return in her last match with a overall winner to error ratio of over 3. Serena’s game is back to it’s best and she win finally win a 22nd Grand Slam after losing consecutive finals this year.
Tip: Williams -5.5 ($1.80)
Day 8 Tips
|Halep v Kerber||Best: Kerber WIN ($1.73)
Value: Sets Kerber 2-0 ($2.75)
|Venus Williams v Shvedova||Best: Over 21.5 games ($1.83)
Value: Sets V. Williams 2-1 ($4.00)
|Cibulkova v Vesnina||Best: Under 21.5 games ($1.83)
Value: Cibulkova -3.5 ($1.80)
|Serena Williams v Pavlyuchenkova||Best: Williams -5.5 ($1.80)
Value: 2nd Set Score after 4 games Williams 4-0 ($5.00)
Monday ROI: 126.17%
Feature Previews: 12-6
Overall ROI: 106.94%