Wimbledon: 4th Round
It will be a Super Monday at Wimbledon with all 16 men remaining in the draw in action. A well rested Roger Federer takes on Steve Johnson while Gasquet will have a significant edge with Tsonga backing straight up from his 19-17 5th set win over Isner. The match of the day will see Aussie Nick Kyrgios take on Andy Murray in what shapes as a blockbuster. He won’t be the only Aussie in action with Tomic a huge chance of making the quarters when he faces Lucas Pouille.
Nick Kyrgios v Andy Murray
Kyrgios returns to the court where he made his name two years ago when he beat the then number 1, Rafael Nadal. The young Aussie has already posted wins over Nadal, Federer and Wawrinka but has not had the same luck against the brick wall that is Andy Murray. Murray has won all previous meetings, 3 of which have come at Grand Slam level. The most alarming statistic is that Kyrgios has won just 1 of the 12 sets that the pair have contested. Kyrgios has been impressive thus far with wins over tricky opponents such as Dustin Brown and Feliciano Lopez but lapses in concentration has seen him spend additional time on court. Murray on the other hand is yet to drop a set and has breezed past his opponents. Kyrgios is likely to get hot at some point and may win a set but The wolf has seen a familiar pattern forming in their encounters. Murray has covered this line in all 4 of their previous encounters and will do so again.
Tip: Murray -5.5 ($1.91)
Bernard Tomic v Lucas Pouille
Tomic surprised everyone including The Wolf with his straight sets win over Bautista-Agut in the previous round. Not known for his ability to push players around from the back of the court Tomic did exactly that. He posted 38 winners to just 18 unforced errors and was near perfect on the bog points. He save all 5 break point opportunities that the Spaniard had while converting 4 of 8 on his attempts. His game is dialed right in and it will need to be against Pouille whi has been playing vintage grass court tennis. Tomic will have to come up with an array of passing shots as the Frenchman has been approaching the net when given the opportunity. He approached the net 68 times against Del Potro winning a whopping 69% of points. Tomic is far from the best passer but he has excellent point construction and will look to change the tempo of the rallies. Tomic is installed as a pretty short favourite but The Wolf can see this one going 4 or 5 very long sets with multiple breakers.
Tip: Over 38.5 games ($1.83)
Roger Federer v Steve Johnson
Things could not have gone any better for Federer in the first week at Wimbledon. While his opponents have had constant interruptions due to rain Federer has played all of his matches under the roof on centre court. In addition, Djokovic, the man that has beaten him in the last two finals here, has made an early exit and the draw has opened right up for him. He will however have to deal with a man that has been in sizzling form on grass. Johnson won the title in Nottingham and has posted 8 consecutive wins on grass. In addition, he is coached by Craig Boynton, who also coaches Sam Querrey, the man that beat Novak. You could say that Johnson has also had the ideal build up to this one. He is coming off a win over Dimitrov who has a very similar game to Federer. There is one glaring difference though – Federer has 17 Grand Slam titles! Federer owns this court and there is no doubt that Johnson will make a nervous start. If Federer can pick up an early break he will really run away with this one.
Tip: Sets Federer 3-0 ($2.00)
Richard Gasquet v Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
Gasquet was one of The Wolf’s bolters to win the tournament at $101 and faces countryman Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the 4th round. At first glance there seems to be very little between them. They are ranked 10th and 12th respectively, the H2H reads 4 wins a piece and they have both made the semi finals here on two occasions. The one major difference though and it is the time spent on court. Tsonga is coming off a 4 and a half hour epic against Isner where he prevailed 19-17 in the 5th. One should not underestimate the physical and mental energy required to come back from two sets down against a player like Isner who is dominant on serve. The fact that he will have less that 24 hours rest also places a huge question mark over how he will perform if they go deep into a 5th set. If he falls behind in a set early we could see him let sets go in order to conserve energy. Gasquet at the line is today’s best bet!
Tip: Gasquet +1.5 ($1.73)
Day 7 Tips
|Cilic v Nishikori||Nishikori WIN ($1.73)|
|Federer v Johnson||Sets Federer 3-0 ($2.00)|
|Querrey v Mahut||Over 43.5 games ($1.73)|
|Vesely v Berdych||Berdych Sets 3-1 ($3.75)|
|Tomic v Pouille||Over 38.5 games ($1.83)|
|Goffin v Raonic||Over 37.5 games ($1.83)|
|Gasquet v Tsonga||Gasquet +1.5 ($1.73)|
|Kyrgios v Murray||Murray -5.5 ($1.91)|
Feature Previews: 9-6
Overall ROI: 105.7%