US Open Day 8
The Wolf got right around the Frenchmen in his futures tips and they are delivering in spades. Monfils and Tsonga strolled into the quarters but it was 22 year old Lucas Pouille who stole the show with a huge upset win over Rafael Nadal. Djokovic restored parody in the night session with a crushing win over Kyle Edmund.
Here are The Wolf’s winners for Day 8.
Kei Nishikori v Ivo Karlovic
If this were a night match The Wolf wouldn’t need to think twice, but in the middle of what is forecast to be a day in the 30’s, Karlovic is more than just a chance. Breaking the Croat’s serve is as hard as climbing Mt Everest and the hot conditions will make it even tougher. He will serve close to 70% of first serves and win well over 80% of those points. On those numbers alone you can see why Nishikori faces a uphill battle. The Japanese star and former finalist here has dropped a set in each of his opening three matches and any complacency against Ivo will end in the loss of a set. You get very few chances against him and have to take them. Karlovic has won 17 of his last 20 matches and leads the H2H 2-1. Nishikori will get over the line but it could take 5 sets!
Tip: Over 39.5 games ($1.91)
Grigor Dimitrov v Andy Murray
Historically this has been one hell of a tough match up for Murray. He may lead the H2H 6-3 but Dimitrov has given him some real troubles in the past. The Bulgarian won their most recent meeting this year in Miami and beat Murray in straight sets at Wimbledon back in 2014. There has been a total of 8 tiebreakers in their last 8 meetings and on what we have seen from Dimitrov this week he is well on his way to returning to the top 10. Murray will also be up against Dani Vallverdu, his former training assistant who now work’s with Dimitrov. Murray was surprisingly slow out of the blocks against Sousa and The Wolf expects the Bulgarian to press him early. As good as Andy has been 5 set matches are a game of chess and Dimitrov has enough weapons to win a set in this one. Whether he can check mate Murray is another story all together. Murray will falter but he will not fall. Dimitrov at the line the best bet.
Tip: Dimitrov +6.5 ($1.83)
US Open – Day 8 Tips
|Thiem v Del Potro||Del Potro WIN ($1.40)|
|Marchenko v Wawrinka||Sets Wawrinka 3-1 ($3.70)|
|Nishikori v Karlovic||Over 39.5 games ($1.91)|
|Dimitrov v Murray||Dimitrov +6.5 ($1.83)|
Day 7: 1-3
Day 7 ROI: 47.75%
Feature Previews: 9-10
Overall ROI: 97.65%