US Open Day 4
There was an American onslaught on Day 3 with John Isner and Jack Sock charging into the 3rd round. Their performances were overshadowed by another local, Ryan Harrison, who played flawless tennis to upset world no.4 Milos Raonic. Djokovic was handed a free pass after Vesely was unable to take the court while Cilic and Nadal also posted dominant wins.
The Americans will again have a chance to steal the thunder with Steve Johnson, Donald Young and Jared Donaldson all a chance of progressing. Johnson came from two sets down to win in 5 in his opening round match and will look to use the crowd when he takes on a red hot Del Potro in the match of the day.
Nick Kyrgios is the sole Aussie remaining in the men’s draw and although his match against Zeballos looks an easy one on paper, he continues to nurse a hip injury which could cause plenty of discomfort in a long match.
Here are The Wolf’s tips for Day 4.
Nick Kyrgios v Horacio Zeballos
Will Kyrgios stop making headlines for the wrong reason? Not any time soon. He did all that was needed against Bedene in his opening match but not after a code violation and a lengthy injury time out to deal with a hip problem he carried into the match. If his physical condition doesn’t hamper him this is a match he should win in straight sets. Zeballos is an accomplished clay courter who will make a lot of balls back but his shots lack the power to penetrate through the court on this surface. He also does not take the ball on the rise which is a significant disadvantage on a hard court. The Kyrgios serve has been both big and consistent, generating a high percentage of free points. Kyrgios did just enough in hist first match making it very risky to take him at the line. He will no doubt look to the minimum necessary to progress which makes a double break in any set a unlikely scenario. Take Zeballos with the start.
Tip: Zeballos +7.5 ($1.80)
Steve Johnson v Juan Martin Del Potro
This is without doubt the match of the round and one that almost didn’t happen with Johnson having to fight back and win in 5 sets. He saved 6 match points in doing so with a pound of the heart when the match finished. It’s far from the ideal preparation heading into his match against Del Potro who took the world by storm with his run to the silver medal in Rio. A former winner here he knows exactly what it takes to win in NY. Nevertheless, The Wolf says that Johnson is being extremely undervalued in betting. He hasn’t risen to a career high 21 this year by sitting on his hands. The American plays an aggressive brand of tennis and like Del Potro looks to use both his serve and forehand to dominate on serve. With the crowd behind him fatigue will not be an issue for Johnson and this one could go all the way to a deciding 5th set. Breaks of serve will come at a premium and with very few expected the Overs is the clear best bet.
Tip: Over 39.5 ($1.91)
Ivo Karlovic v Donald Young
Karlovic was more than just tested in his match against Yen-Hsun Lu and it should come as no surprise that his serve stood tall to get him through in a 5 set thriller. The 5th set tiebreak rule at the US Open suits Karlovic and his fellow big servers who naturally fatigue in longer matches. The pace of the Karlovic serve is one thing but it is the bounce which makes it extremely difficult to handle. Young has had his troubles against the big serving Croat in the past and The Wolf says those troubles will continue. Karlovic has won both meetings in straight sets and hasn’t even been pushed to a breaker by the American. Passing shots are not one of Young’s assets and he will need them if he is to get past Karlovic who will constantly look to get to the net. The Wolf cannot see Karlovic losing this one.
Tip: Karlovic WIN ($1.53)
Jeremy Chardy v Grigor Dimitrov
The Wolf was off Grigor throughout the entire grass court season but he is finally starting to find his game again. He made the semi’s in Cincinnati and beat a handful of top names along the way. He got past Simon, Lopez, Wawrinka and Steve Johnson before succumbing to the eventual winner, Marin Cilic, in the semi’s. Chardy’s opening round win was his first win in 5 matches and he will fancy his chances against Dimitrov. He is 1-2 in the three meetings against the Bulgarian with the two losses coming in deciding sets. The key in this matchup is the Chardy forehand. He will pound inside out forehands into the Dimitrov backhand which will allow him to open up the court and put away a lot of short balls. This one is on Chardy’s racquet but whether he can play well enough over 4-5 sets is another story.
Tip: Over 37.5 games ($1.83)
US Open – Day 4 Tips
|Carreno-Busta v Tipsarevic||Sets Carreno-Busta 3-2 ($6.00)|
|Lopez v Sousa||Sousa WIN ($3.10)|
|Mathieu v Mahut||Over 38.5 games ($1.83)|
|Fognini v Ferrer||Sets Ferrer 3-0 ($3.00)|
|Giannessi v Wawrinka||Wawrinka -9.5 ($1.83)|
|Karlovic v Young||Karlovic WIN ($1.53)|
|Troicki v Donaldson||Donaldson +2.5 ($1.80)|
|Simon v Lorenzi||Simon -5.5 ($1.91)|
|Thiem v Berankis||Thiem -7.5 ($1.83)|
|Johnson v Del Potro||Over 39.5 ($1.91)|
|Kyrgios v Zeballos||Zeballos +7.5 ($1.80)|
|Marchenko v Dzumhur||Under 40.5 games ($1.80)|
|Granollers v Murray||Murray -9.5 ($1.83)|
|Zverev v Evans||Over 37.5 games ($1.83)|
|Chardy v Dimitrov||Over 37.5 games ($1.83)|
|Nishikori v Khachanov||Under 29.5 games ($1.83)|
Day 3: 7-8
Day 3 ROI: 90.45%
Feature Previews: 4-5
Overall ROI: 98.08%