US Open Day 2
We saw some remarkable tennis on a very hot day 1! American John Isner came from two sets down to beat compatriot Frances Tiafoe while Tsonga, Anderson, Nadal, Raonic and Cilic all posted straight sets wins. Gasquet was unable to overcome an injury he carried into the tournament while Aussie James Duckworth scraped through in five. The Wolf told us confidently to lay Djokovic and there were early struggles with Janowicz taking the second set off him before the world number one found his groove.
On Day 2 all eyes will turn to the bottom half of the draw which features Murray, Del Potro and a couple of Aussies in Kyrgios and Tomic. The match of the day will see Wawrinka take on Fernando Verdasco with the Spaniard taking a 3-2 H2H lead into the match.
The Wolf previews all of the Day 2 action…
Fernando Verdasco v Stan Wawrinka
Stan Wawrinka may be sitting at number 3 in the world but he could drop to as low as 10th if he loses this match. He sits in 3rd virtually due to the fact that Federer has pulled the pin on the season and Nadal continues to struggle with injury. Raonic and Nishikori are also hot on his heels and Cilic is making a late season charge. It’s been an inconsistent season for the Stanimal and something that we have unfortunately been forced to get used to. He made early title winning runs in Chennai and Dubai but has performed poorly at the Masters Series events. He was rolled by Del Potro in the second round of Wimbledon and is coming off a poor loss to Dimitrov. Verdasco hasn’t set the world on fire but he has the experience to trouble Stan and has done so in the past. The Spaniard has won 3 of their 5 meetings including their most recent this year at Queen’s. Wawrinka has performed well here in the past making the semi’s in 2 of the last 3 years but he has been a slow starter. In his last four 1st round matches here he has played a total of 6 tiebreakers – all of which have come against lower ranked opponents. Against Verdasco he will get through but it will be a very tough 4 set match. The Overs is a great bet!
Tip: Over 37.5 games ($1.83)
Lukas Rosol v Andy Murray
The form of Andy Murray has been something to savour. Just when we though that Novak would challenge Federer’s Grand Slam mark of 17, Murray has elevated his game to another level, and most importantly, he no longer fears Djokovic. He is now a genuine chance of challenging Djokovic for the year end number 1 ranking and with few points to defend, (lost in 4th round here last year) victory here would see a significant swing in ranking points. He hasn’t made it past the quarters since winning here in 2012 but his recent run suggests he will roll his way into the final. He was on a 22 match win streak before losing in the Cincinnati final to Cilic but that had more to do with fatigue than anything else following his gold medal run at the Olympics. Rosol has caught Murray off guard in the past by taking the opening set in both of their encounters but Murray was able to wear him down on both occasions to win. Rosol has a habit of letting sets go when he is down a break and that makes Murray at the line a great bet. Rosol has lost a set in each of his last two matches by a double break margin and against Murray that will no doubt happen in at least one of the sets.
Tip: Murray -8.5 games ($1.80)
Damir Dzumhur v Bernard Tomic
Bernard Tomic is on a collision course to meet fellow Aussie Nick Kyrgios in the 3rd round but both men have some work to do before they get there. If there is one area in which Tomic has improved over the last 12 months it is his consistency. He made the 4th round at the Australian Open and Wimbledon not to mention the semi’s at Brisbane and Queen’s. He also came up just short in the final of Acapulco and is coming off a quarter finals appearance at the Cincinnati Masters where he beat Goffin and Nishikori. He hasn’t lost in the opening round of a major since the 2014 French Open and has made the 2nd round or better here in each of his 5 appearances. Dzumhur is coming off 4 four consecutive losses and has won just 1 of his last 9 competitive sets. Tomic is playing a much more aggressive style of tennis and it is certainly working against lower ranked opponents. This one will be over in straight sets.
Tip: Sets Tomic 3-0 ($1.62)
Nick Kyrgios v Aljaz Bedene
Kyrgios has worked his way up to a career high 16 in the world and there is a reason why he is in the top 5 in terms of betting. He has shown that he can beat the big names on the biggest stage and that cannot be said by anyone else ranked outside the top 10 and to some extent the top 5. This year alone he has 6 wins over top 10 players and he already has career wins over Nadal and Federer. He has the game to win at this level but the question marks will always be about his attitude and temperament. Nevertheless the results speak for themselves. He has progressed to the 3rd round in 8 of his last 9 grand slam appearances and can consider himself a little unlucky as he has fallen to Andy Murray in 4 of the last 7 slams. Bedene has lost 4 of his last 5 matches and his only win came against a man ranked 267. Bedene has lost in the first round at 10 of the 14 grand slams he has contested and this one will be number 11.
Tip: Kyrgios -7.5 ($1.91)
US Open – Day 2 Tips
Day 1: 10-11
Day 1 ROI: 83.48%
Feature Previews: 2-0