US Open ATP Betting Preview

Flushing Meadows, home of the fifth set tiebreaker, tennis crowds that don’t know the meaning of the phrase “quiet please” and the last chance for someone to hold aloft a grand slam trophy for the year.

It’s not all about the players though, for punters it’s all about the perfect time to get involved and William Hill are offering a number of markets to have a go at.

Outright Winner Market

In recent times the safest option at a grand slam has been to look at the big four and stay in that area. That may be about to change this week.

The player who holds the key to the tournament is Novak Djokovic $2.25. He is the best player in the world by some margin at the moment and two weeks ago was looking like a shoe-in to claim his third grand slam of the year.

However, injury struck last week in Cincinnati and left the door slightly ajar for his competition.

The problem with this is that no other member of the big four is beating the door down to assert himself as the main contender to Djokovic’s throne.

Both Roger Federer $5.75 and Rafael Nadal $4.50 have struggled this year for a variety of reasons including form and confidence. Since Wimbledon, there has been no indication that either player has been able to fix either problem and thus their chances this tournament remain slight.

Andy Murray $6.25 is the wildcard in the bunch. He could win it or he could be out in the first week. As usual, he has the talent, but does he have the brains?

There are only so many disappointing results before even his biggest fan loses hope.

So now it’s time to look a little longer at a few players who could cause an upset.

Jo Wilfred Tsonga-$34

The Frenchman is the best outsider in the field. He showed great signs at Wimbledon in beating Federer from two sets to love down and then played a great match against Djokovic in the semi before fatigue got the better of him.

It will be a tough ride after he was dealt a hard draw but if there are a few big upsets around, he has the ability to go all the way.

Mardy Fish- $26

One of the most in form players on the tour, the American has been on fire this season. He plays his best tennis at home so that should help him. If he can get through two weeks without his forehand breaking down, he may be a chance to figure in the end of the tournament.

Juan Martin Del Potro- $10
The comeback player of the year has been outstanding. However, he now looks to have hit a bit of a lean spot with his form, struggling since Wimbledon. He is returning to the scene of his first grand slam victory and will take some beating.

Best Bet: Novak Djokovic- $2.25
Small Value – Andy Murray- $6.25
Big Value: Jo –Wilfred Tsonga-$34

Predict the Quarter Winners

If outright betting is not your thing then there is plenty of value to be found in the quarter winners market. All that needs to be done is to pick who will make the semi finals from a particular quarter.

This is ideal when you’ve got an outsider in mind who can go deep in the tournament but isn’t good enough to win it.

First Quarter:

Gael Monfils- $9

The Frenchman has every shot in the book, it’s just a matter of mental application. To win the quarter he will have to play his absolute best tennis but he will have the crowd support behind him. He has just parted way with former coach Roger Rasheed and that sometimes leads to improved results.

Second Quarter:

Jo Wilfred Tsonga- $5.50

Mardy Fish- $5.50

Both of these guys are in hot form and will be looking to take advantage of a slightly down Federer. Tsonga is the better bet of the two having proven himself over Roger at Wimbledon and beating him again since then.

They are both outside chances to win the tournament so winning the quarter must be easy…right?

Third Quarter:

Juan Martin Del Potro- $4

Gilles Simon- $21

The Frenchman may lack a killer shot but  you can guarantee he isn’t going to beat himself. If the draw opens up he may be able to take advantage. He has made two slam quarter finals before and he will be desperate to take the next step.

Fourth Quarter:

Ernests Gulbis- $34

The signs have been present that a turn around in form may be there for the Latvian who has promised the world and delivered very little.  This price is great value more when you consider that his rivals in this quarter, Nadal, Andy Roddick, David Ferrer and Mikhail Youzhny are all out of form.

Winning Double

For a bit of value, have a look at a double with Jo Wilfred Tsonga into Aussie Sam Stosur at a whopping  $1000. Sam has been in good form and even though she is inconsistent at grand slam level she may be able to hold it all together for one week.

William Hill also offer markets on all head to head matches as well as multiples so there are plenty of chances to get involved.