The big news to come out of the 1st round was the early exit of Aussie Nick Kyrgios. In true Kyrgios style he looked lethargic and uninterested. He had three chances to break 17 year old Shapovalov in the opening game but failed and the wheels then started to fall of as the young Canadian grew in confidence. Kudos to the young man who looks to have a huge future. For Kyrgios it is yet another wake up call but it doesn’t look like he’ll be changing his ways any time soon.
Tomic battled some demons of his own but progressed in straight sets where he will join Querrey, Dimitrov and Anderson in the next round. On Wednesday morning we will see last week’s Washington finalists, Monfils and Karlovic, with several of the seeds also taking the court. The Wolf will have a close eye on Wawrinka in particular who has performed poorly around this time in the past. Youzhny could be huge value to knock him off.
Donald Young v Alexandr Dolgopolov
Dolgopolov has suffered from a slide in the rankings over the last 12-18 and it has seen him make earlier exits than expected from most tournaments. The fact is that he is facing much tougher opponents earlier on in tournaments with 9 of his last 10 losses coming against opponents ranked higher than him. Raonic, Nishikori, Thiem, Gasquet and Nadal are names on the list of people to beat the Ukranian – hardly men that The Wolf expects him to beat. In comparison, despite a good week in Newport, Young has had suffered losses this season to Tiafoe, donaldson, Seppi, Tursunov and Smyczek – several of which were at Challenger level. They have face off twice with one win a piece but The Wolf has seen more than enough from Dolgopolov to make him his best of the day. he plays at a very fast tempo and if he gets on top early he will really run away with this one. Young will look to use his lefty serve out wide but he will not be able to generate enough free points on serve. Stick with Dolgopolov.
Tip: Dolgopolov WIN ($1.57)
Ivo Karlovic v Taylor Fritz
The big serving Croatia should have made it back to back titles in Washington last week but came up just short. He served for the match in the second set but dropped his serve, ironically for the first time in the tournament. Either way, he is in fantastic form and his rhythm on serve is something to behold at the present time. we are getting a huge price about him mainly due to the fact that the he is expected to be fatigued. The Wolf though couldn’t disagree any more. Only one of his matches went the distance in Washington (the final) and his game style means that the points played are short, with the distance covered on court always kept to a minimum. The Wolf faded Fritz last week and the young American was blown off the court by Zverev. The teenagers return of serve is a glaring weakness and with Karlovic serving the way he is don’t expect to see it broken. If they go to breakers tere can only be one winner. Karlovic has won 9 of the last 11 tiebreakers he has contested! If Karlovic had been knocked out in the first round last week he would be much shorter in the market. Go figure. The Wolf says to ride the wave with the tallest man in tennis.
Tip: Karlovic WIN ($1.57)
Rogers Cup – 1st Round Tips
|Monfils v Sousa||Monfils -4.5 ($1.83)|
|Pospisil v Chardy||Sets Chardy 2-0 ($2.62)|
|Yen-Hsun Lu v Zverev||Over 22.5 games ($1.91)|
|Gulbis v Ram||Ram +2.5 ($2.00)|
|Young v Dolgopolov||Dolgopolov WIN ($1.57)|
|Karlovic v Fritz||Karlovic WIN ($1.57)|
|Fognini v Johnson||Johnson -3.5 ($1.73)|
|Stepanek v Paire||Stepanek WIN ($2.20)|
|Millman v Donaldson||Donaldson WIN ($2.50)|
|Novikov v Delbonis||Novikov +1.5 ($1.91)|
|Pouille v Gomez||Under 19.5 games ($1.83)|
|Youzhny v Wawrinka|| Youzhny +4.5 ($1.91)
Youzhny WIN ($5.00)
|Coric v Berdych||Over 21.5 games ($1.91)|
Monday ROI: 105.9%