Shaghai Masters Preview
The Wolf was super hot with his tips yesterday going 9-4. Is would have been 10-4 had Tomic not retired and the highlight was without doubt the performance of Alexander Zverev. The Wolf has been raving on about the German for the last 6 months and he is ready to put his neck out there by saying that the teenager is a future slam winner and potential world number 1! It will not be easy but he has the game and the temperament – the later of which far too many young players lack.
Today we will see Murray, Wawrinka and Nadal for the first time this week and The Wolf says it will be a rocky road for at least one of them. He says it will be a completely different story when Kyrgios takes on Mischa Zverev. Get ready for a one way demolition derby!
Nick Kyrgios v Mischa Zverev
Mischa Zverev battles his way through the qualifiers here and took full advantage of a favourable draw against Ze Zhang in the opening round. Now he faces Kyrgios at the top of his game. When Nick is confident he play a super aggressive brand of tennis that intimidates even the best on tour. His rhythm on serve over the past 10 day has been something else but more impressively is the amount of point he is winning in his return games. He won 45% of return points against the booming serve of Muller and 40% against Monfils! Against Zverev he could win more than 50% and that will see him both win in straight sets and cover the handicap.
Tip: Kyrgios -4.5 ($1.91)
Kyle Edmund v Stan Wawrinka
We have already seen several qualifiers have early success this week and Edmund will look to catch Wawrinka off guard. The young Brit has played a tonne of matches over the last week or so after making the quarters of Beijing (lost to Murray) as a qualifier. He then flew straight here following that loss to again play qualifiers. In the past this would have been a very tricky encounter for Stan but the 2 time grand slam champion has definitely matured in recent years. He crushed Rosol in his first following his US Open triumph but came up short against Zverev in the final. Like Zverev, Edmund has a huge power game and plays big off both wings. Breaks of serve will be very hard to come by and the Overs is a special!
Tip: Over 22.5 games ($1.91)
Rafael Nadal v Viktor Troicki
Nadal’s crushing defeat at the hands of Dimitrov last week were yet another sign that the 14 time grand slam winner has lost more than a step. Troicki may be 0-5 against Rafa but don’t buy into that as Dimitrov was 0-7. Nadal isn’t the player he used to be and Troicki has pushed him in their two most recent meetings including last year in Stuttgart. The Serbian can be more than erratic but he should get more than enough free points on serve. It makes Over 21.5 games a great bet especially with The Wolf rating him a good chance of taking a set.
Tip: Over 21.5 games ($1.83)
Steve Johnson v Andy Murray
Murray won the title in Beijing without dropping a set last week and he takes a 2-0 H2H record into this one. Johnson has continued to fight hard but he has consistently come up short in tight matches. Johnson’s first serve percentage holds the key in this match. He will need to make close to 70% if he is to push Murray but The Wolf cannot see it happening. His backhand is a clear deficiency and if there is one thing that Murray does best it is to expose his opponents weaknesses. Murray in straight with one of the sets by a double break.
Tip: Muray -5.5 ($1.83)
Shanghai Masters Tips
|Granollers v Berdych||Over 20.5 games ($1.83)|
|Paire v Goffin||Sets Goffin 2-0 ($1.57)|
|Edmund v Wawrinka||Over 22.5 games ($1.91)|
|Raonic v Lorenzi||Lorenzi +4.5 (2.00)|
|Sock v Lopez||Over 23.5 games ($1.83)|
|Di Wu v Simon||Simon -5.5 ($1.91)|
|Kyrgios v Mischa Zverev||Kyrgios -4.5 ($1.91)|
|Posposil v Dimitrov||Over 21.5 games ($1.83)|
|Pouille v Almagro||Sets Pouille 2-0 ($1.67)|
|Fritz v Bautista-Agut||Sets Bautista-Agut 2-1 ($4.20)|
|Nadal v Troicki||Over 21.5 games ($1.83)|
|Johnson v Murray||Muray -5.5 ($1.83)|