Australian Open Day 7: Preview and Tips

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Aus Open 2018: Day 7

Kyrgios 2.0??? The Wolf has the young Aussie tearing through a struggling Grigor Dimitrov. Find out why….

Day 7 – Men’s 4th Round Feature Match Previews

Grigor Dimitrov v Nick Kyrgios
The 2018 Australian Open has thrown up some blockbuster encounters in the opening week and this one looks set to top them all. Dimitrov was among the favourites leading into the tournament but following two sub-par performances it is Kyrgios who will start favourite in this one – and deservedly so according to The Wolf. Kyrgios has form, momentum and history on his side. Dimitrov may have won their first two meetings but it was Kyrgios who came out on top when they met a fortnight ago in Brisbane and the two men have gone in opposite directions since. Grigor is lucky to be in the tournament after having served 24 double faults across his last two matches. He has zero confidence in his 2nd serve at the moment and has won just 33% of 2nd serve points across his last two matches. In contrast, Kyrgios has 57 aces to 7 double faults for the tournament and is winning 60% of points on his 2nd serve. Dimitrov has had his serve broken 9 times in his last two matches and that simply will not cut it against Kyrgios. The Aussie’s serve has been untouchable in 2018 and with Dimitrov’s game falling apart in key moments he will need a dramatic turn around to find his best form. The Wolf cannot see it happening and rates Kyrgios close to a 5 chip bet.
Best Bet: Kyrgios WIN ($1.60)
Value Bet: Sets Kyrgios 3-0 ($4.40)

Pablo Carreno-Busta v Marin Cilic
Cilic came up clutch when it counted against Harrison and we should see more of the same against Carreno-Busta. Cilic was a comfortable winner in their only prior clash on a similar surface and he poses a much more complete threat than any of the Spaniards previous opponents here. He has a virtual walkover with Simon retiring while Jason Kubler and Muller are nowhere near the calibre of Cilic. Historically Carreno-Busta has struggled down under losing in the opening round in 3 of his 4 appearances prior to 2018. Cilic will be able to win a significant amount of points on Carreno-Busta’s serve and that will help him post a straight sets victory.
Best Bet: Cilic -5.5 ($1.80)
Value Bet: Cilic 3-0 ($2.35)

Kyle Edmund v Andreas Seppi
Physical conditioning may well end up being the difference maker in this one. Edmund had back issues early in on his last match but managed to post his second 5 set win of the tournament. Seppi is also coming off a thriller against Karlovic but will not have expended much energy in a match where points rarely went past 5 strokes. They met once before in 2016 with Edmund coming out on top but The Wolf says this is a stage that Seppi has made his own in the past. He has wins over Federer and Kyrgios which will give him the belief that he can go one step further. Seppi will give very little away and his consistency over 5 sets will help get him through to the quarters.
Best Bet: Seppi 4.5 ($1.91)
Value Bet: Seppi WIN ($3.10)

Rafael Nadal v Diego Schwartzman
Nadal could not have asked for a better draw. He is yet to clash with an opponent that has a big game and Schwartzman will be nothing more than a warm up. Players who are unable to generate free points have huge troubles staying with Rafa and the Argentine will get absolutely NO free points on his serve. That leaves him catastrophically vulnerable and we will see Nadal take full control. Schwartzman and Dzumhur have near identical games and we saw what happened in Rafa’s last match. The Argentine does not have the weight of shot to push Rafa around the court which will prevent him from making any inroads whatsoever. Nadal in a canter.
Best Bet: Nadal -8.5 ($1.91)
Value Bet: 2nd Set Score After 6 Games Nadal 5-1 ($4.20)

Day 7 – All Men’s Tips

Day 7 – Women’s 4th Round Feature Match Previews

Denisa Allertova v Elina Svitolina
Svitolina is one of the most dominant servers on the WTA Tour and she continues to make full use of the most valuable weapon in women’s tennis. As a result she is winning a very high percentage of points on serve. It allows her to swing freely and put pressure on her opponent’s service games. Allertova has got here on the back of her ability to break serve but that will not be an easy task against Svitolina. The Ukrainian will breeze into the quarters.
Best Bet: Under 19.5 games ($1.83)

Magdalena Rybarikova v Caroline Wozniacki
Wozniacki is playing with ‘house money’. After being down 5-1 to Fett in the 2nd round she has won 18 of the last 25 games. The former world number 1 has found her range and it has been a winning formula against Rybarikova in the past. She has won their last 3 clashes and has done so with ease, registering three 6-1 set wins. We saw Rybarikova get bageled in a set by Flipkens and on the back of that we have to back Wozniacki in the handicap market.
Best Bet: Wozniacki -5.5 ($2.00)

Petra Martic v Elise Mertens
We have been riding Elise Mertens throughout the entire tournament and will not be stopping now. She has brought her Hobart form to the big stage and with many of the top players below their best the door is wide open for her to make a real run at the title. Mertens is yet to drop a set and The Wolf says that streak will continue.
Best Bet: Sets Mertens 2-0 ($2.00)

Anett Kontaveit v Carla Suarez Navarro
You may want to strap in for this one as both women are well known for fluctuations in their games. When Suarez Navarro is timing her backhand she can hit winners from all areas of the court but when she’s off – she can miss the lines by metres! Kontaveit will stay the course and when given the opportunity will capitalise. The Wolf cannot see either woman playing consistent enough to win in straight sets. We will be going the distance.
Best Bet: Number of Sets – 3 Sets ($2.15)

Day 7 – All Women’s Tips

Match Tips
Allertova v Svitolina Under 19.5 games ($1.83)
Rybarikova v Wozniacki Wozniacki -5.5 ($2.00)
Martic v Mertens Sets Mertens 2-0 ($2.00)
Kontaveit v Suarez-Navarro Number of Sets – 3 Sets ($2.15)

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