Australian Open Day 6: Preview and Tips

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Aus Open 2018: Day 6

We’re starting to get into the business end of the tournament. The players will be more than happy with the cooler temperatures but who will make the most of them…

Day 6 – Men’s 3rd Round Feature Match Previews

Novak Djokovic v Albert Ramos-Vinolas
We may have been a little quick to jump the gun with Novak. His movement may be there but in terms of confidence and performing under pressure there are massive inroads to be made. The 11 double faults against Monfils are a clear reflection has he still lacks the required confidence in his abbreviated action. It also meant that he won just 45% of points behind his second delivery. Ramos-Vinolas doesn’t have a big game or a distinct weapon but there are several things that The Wolf likes. Firstly, he is fresh and he would not be accustomed to winning his opening two matches at a slam in straight sets. Then there is the fact that he is a clay court specialist. What does that mean… he hits with a high margin over the net, is consistent off both wings and will make fewer unforced errors than most men on tour. The Wolf will be backing the Overs and Ramos-Vinolas to win at least one set.
Best Bet: Over 33.5 games ($1.83)
Value Bet: To Win A Set – Ramos-Vinolas ($2.10)

Tomas Berdych v Juan Martin Del Potro
Wolfy loves Berdych in this matchup and says that the odds should read a coin flip. Historically there has been little between them with Del Potro holding a 5-4 edge in their 9 meetings. The winner has generally been the man in better form and during this tournament The Wolf likes what he has seen out of the Birdman. Del Potro was very passive in his last match simply chipping back slice backhand after slice backhand. Khachanov failed to punish him but as we saw with Berdych against De Minaur – if given the chance he will hit right through his opponent. The Argentine cannot afford to stay behind the baseline against the power of Berdych. The Wolf can see Berdych preventing Del Potro from getting onto his forehand and that will be the key.
Best Bet: Berdych WIN ($2.20)
Value Bet: Sets Berdych 3-1 ($6.00)

Hyeon Chung v A.Zverev
Zverev looked home and hosed after he won the opening two sets against Gojowczyk but the errors found their way into his game and he dropped the 3rd set. It is something The Wolf expected to see and a repeat is on the cards. One area in which he was outstanding was his serve. It was arguably his best serving performance ever at a major as he thundered down 25 aces. He will need it to be just as good this time around against Chung. The Korean has ripped through his opening two matches with his forehand doing a world of damage. Chung was a comfortable winner in their only other encounter which came on clay last season and Wolfy says he has a very dangerous game. He will look to move Zverev around with the forehand and over 5 sets it will be the difference.
Best Bet: Chung +3.5 ($1.91)
Value Bet: Number of Sets – 5 Sets ($3.50)

Richard Gasquet v Roger Federer
The scoreline against Struff may have looked close but Federer was in complete control. Unlike the German, Gasquet will not serve volley and his foray’s to the net will be few and far between. Federer’s record in this matchup is commanding to say the least. He has won 16 of the last 18 meetings and has not dropped a set in the last 8 encounters. Gasquet’s two wins have come on clay with Federer a perfect 10-0 in their hard court meetings. Kavcic and Sonego were a walk in the park for the Frenchman but he does not have the tools to trouble, let alone challenge, the 19 time Grand Slam champion.
Best Bet: Sets Federer 3-0 ($1.53)
Value Bet: 1st Set Scorecast Federer 6-4 ($4.40)

Day 6 – All Men’s Tips

Day 6 – Women’s 3rd Round Feature Match Previews

Su-Wei Hsieh v Agnieszka Radwanska
In a real contrast of styles The Wolf is going to go with the ball striker. Hsieh has come a long way since being bageled in her opening set of the tournament and has played as if she has nothing to lose since. She will be allowed to control the points against Radwanska who will do what she does best – make her opponent hit as many balls as possible. Hsieh is huge value as the outsider.
Best Bet: Su-Wei Hsieh +4.5 ($1.91)

Ashleigh Barty v Naomi Osaka
Aussie Ash Barty continues to show tremendous fight – coming back to win after losing the opening set in each of her two matches to date. The Wolf says she is in for another nail biter! Osaka has some impressive wins on her recent resume that includes Venus Williams and Elena Vesnina. She is a genuine ball striker and likes to step inside the baseline and put pressure on her opponents from the outset. Barty’s 2nd serve will be tested and the lady from Japan will play well enough to win at least one set. We will be going the distance.
Best Bet: Over 20.5 games ($1.80)

Angelique Kerber v Maria Sharapova
Two former champions lock horns in the 3rd round… That is the outcome of having a dangerous floater in the draw and it in fact provides Sharapova to steal Kerber’s seed if she can beat her. Kerber has won their last two clashes but Sharapova holds a 2-0 edge in matches on hard courts. The German is yet to lose this season after winning in Sydney but this is a heavyweight clash and we are in for fireworks. Their last 3 meetings have gone the distance and both ladies are right at the top of their games. The bookies have struggled to split them and it will come down to a matter of points.
Best Bet: Sets Total – 3 Sets ($2.15)

Day 6 – All Women’s Tips

Match Tips
 Bogdan v Keys Under 18.5 games ($1.83)
 Halep v Davis Davis +6.5 ($1.91)
Barty v Osaka Over 20.5 games ($1.80)
Pera v Strycova Sets Strycova 2-0 ($1.57)
 Hsieh v Radwanska Su-Wei Hsieh +4.5 ($1.91)
Safarova v Pliskova Pliskova -4.5 ($2.00)
Kerber v Sharapova Sets Total – 3 Sets ($2.15)

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