Australian Open Day 14: Federer v Cilic

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Aus Open 2018: Men’s Final

The legend of Roger Federer continues to grow and Sunday night marks his 30th Grand Slam final appearance. Will he win number 20 or can Cilic beat him for just the second time…

Day 14 – Men’s Final Preview

Roger Federer v Marin Cilic
Cilic could not stand in the way of Federer at Wimbledon last year and The Wolf says he will come up well short yet again. Federer has now won 8 of their 9 encounters including 3 of their 4 at the majors. The Croatian only win came at the 2014 US Open, his maiden slam win, on the back of a unbelievable serving performance. On that day we won 87% of 1st serve points and almost 60% of 2nd serve points. He will not be able to repeat that!

Roger is absolutely dialled in with his returns and after seeing him win 37% of return points against Berdych and 45% against Chung, he will be all over the Cilic serve. Federer is yet to drop a set in the tournament and The Wolf says this should not be underestimated. Had Federer been tested leading into the final we may have seen fatigue have some effect on the 36 year old. The fact that he is fresh and basically needs to play one great match to win the title, leaves Cilic in the deep end with no life line.

Mentally, Cilic is up against it and will be looking for any positives. One of them may be the 38 degree forecast. In theory it should see the courts play faster and provide the server will a significant advantage. Cilic has been getting his fair share of free points and if that can continue,  he should be able to extend the sets. If he can come up clutch when it counts, he could push this beyond three sets.
Best Bet: Over 38.5 games ($1.91)
Value Bet: Sets Federer 3-1 ($3.70)
1st Set Correct Score: 7-6 ($3.00)

All Men’s Tips

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