Australian Open Day 11: Preview and Tips

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Aus Open 2018: Day 11

It’s semi finals day at the Australian Open! We will have both ladie’s semi finals in the day session with Cilic and Edmund to lock horns under the lights of Rod Laver Arena.

Day 11 – Men’s Semi Final Preview

Marin Cilic v Kyle Edmund
Not the semi final we expected with both men causing huge upsets in their respective quarter final matches. Kyle Edmund overpowered Dimitrov and it allowed him to consistently create break point opportunities. His inside-out forehand was a real feature and he was able to push Dimitrov wide. Repeating that against the two handed backhand of Cilic will not reap the same rewards. The signs looked ominous early on for Cilic when Rafa went up by a set and a break but he dug deep – REALLY DEEP. He won 4 straight games to claim the second set and stepped up the aggression from that point on. Nadal was clearly hampered by an injury but let’s take nothing away from the performance of Cilic as he was clearly on top before it occurred.

Both men will see this as a huge opportunity! For Edmund it is a chance to make his maiden slam final at just 23 while Cilic will look to capitalise on what is realistically an advantageous draw. The pair have met on one other occasion – late last year in Shanghai. Cilic won in straight sets with Edmund unable to make any inroads on the Cilic serve. He won just 22% of return points and generated no breaks. The most impressive number for Cilic was 74% of 2nd serve points won. He made full use of the fast conditions on that occasion and after thundering down 20 aces against Rafa he is serving with great rhythm. We will see at least one tiebreaker with breaks of serve few and far between. It makes the Overs the best play with the experience of Cilic to play it’s part in a 4 set win.
Best Bet: Over 38.5 games ($1.91)
Value Bet: Sets Cilic 3-1 ($3.50)
1st Set Correct Score: 7-6 ($3.60)

All Men’s Tips

Day 11 – Women’s Semi Finals Preview

Elise Mertens v Caroline Wozniacki
Mertens more than held her own against Svitolina… she completely frustrated the Ukranian in what was a flawless performance. The Wolf said that their only prior meeting (on clay) was irrelevant and the same can be said for her clash with Wozniacki. Their only encounter came on the clay in Bastad less than 12 months ago and it took Wozniacki three sets to get it done. Mertens was her own worst enemy with 9 double faults but she was able to generate four breaks of serve. There is a reason why Mertens is yet to drop a set – she is playing at a extremely high level. She is a genuine chance as the outsider.
Best Bet: To Win A Set – Mertens ($1.67)
Value Bet: Mertens WIN ($2.90)

Simona Halep v Angelique Kerber
The Wolf is close to declaring Kerber! The 2016 champion has won 5 of the last 6 meetings between the pair and all 5 of those wins have come in straight sets. Halep has historically come up short on the big stage and there is none bigger than a Grand Slam semi final. She has struggled dealing with the Kerber lefty serve in the past and after the display we saw the German put on against Madison Keys, there is no reason to think that this will not be the case again.
Best Bet: Kerber -1.5 ($1.80)
Value Bet: Sets Kerber 2-0 ($2.65)

All Women’s Tips

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