The Wolf went 7-2 across the Sydney International and ASB Classic in Auckland yesterday including a $3.80 winner. He is hoping the rain will stay away in Sydney so we can get a full days play in with more winners.
ATP Sydney Feature Previews
Alex De Minaur v Fernando Verdasco
Aussie teenager De Minaur made himself a household name in Australian tennis with a spectacular performance last week. He made his way past Steve Johnson and Raonic before going down in the semi’s in Brisbane. He has definitely set the bar high and The Wolf says the expectations around him will now be much higher than they should be. Verdaco has a tonne of experience and has always performed well during the Australian summer. He has made the 4th round or better multiple times at the Aus Open including a famous semi final and just two years ago beat Nadal in the opening round. He had a couple of good matches to start the season last week in Doha and it is his lefty serve which The Wolf says will be the difference. The conditions are both slower and heavier in Sydney thanks to overnight rain and high humidity which will all favour the Spaniard as he has the ability to generate his own pace. The Wolf says Verdasco is very cloe to a 5 chipper!
Best Bet: Verdasco WIN ($1.50)
Fabio Fognini v Alexandr Dolgopolov
The H2H record in this one is far too lob sided to ignore. Dolgopolov holds a 5-1 advantage which includes wins in the last 5 meetings and a 3-1 record on Fognini’s more fancied surface. The Ukranian has won both of their hard court encounters in straight sets and is clearly a bad matchup for the Italian. This will also be Fognini’s first match on tour this season while Dolgopolov has hit the ground running. He posted multiple wins in Brisbane last week before going down to eventual winner Kyrgios in the quarters and just beat two time former Sydney champion, Viktor Troicki, in the opening round. He is hitting the ball clean out of the middle of the racquet and should be far shorter than the price suggests.
Best Bet: Dolgopolov WIN ($1.53)
|M.Zverev v Leonardo Mayer||M.Zverev WIN ($1.85)|
|Vukic v F.Lopez||1st Set Correct Score 7-6 ($4.40)|
|Bedene v Paire||Over 22.5 games ($1.85)|
|De Minaur v Verdasco||Verdasco WIN ($1.50)|
|Simon v Donaldson||Simon WIN ($1.80)|
|Fognini v Dolgopolov||Dolgopolov WIN ($1.53)|
ATP Auckland Feature Previews
Steve Johnson v Ryan Harrison
Ryan Harrison was outstanding last week in Brisbane but The Wolf cannot see him replicating that performance in Auckland. His fellow American may have been ousted in the opening round but he has dominated this series. The H2H reads 2-0 with Johnson winning all 4 sets and doing so in convincing fashion. Harrison has won no more than 4 games in a single set. Johnson has over-powered his countryman and with Harrison on the short back up fatigue will most definitely be an issue. He faded poorly in the Brisbane final against Kyrgios and once Johnson get on top there will be no coming back for Harrison.
Best Bet: Johnson -2.5 ($1.85)
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Lukas Lacko
The bookies don’t take long to catch up on a good thing nor to the public. It means Tsitsipas will start a firm favourite in this one and that has The Wolf slightly disappointed. The former junior world number 1 delivered in spades last week with a quarter final run as a qualifier in Doha and if he can continue with his recent form we will start gaining automatic entry into the main draws of all tournaments. He ended last season with a 3rd round showing at the Shanghaio Masters followed by a run to the semi’s in Antwerp (beat Karlovic and Goffin). The Wolf has warned us to respect his opponent. Lacko win multiple Challenger events to close out 2017 and Tsitsipas doesn’t have the type of game that wins matches convincingly – not just yet anyway. We constantly see him in long sets and it is the reason why The Wolf is tipping us into the Overs. Both players are striking the ball with some real venom and holding serve with relative ease. We should see at least one breaker in a 3 set thriller.
Best Bet: Over 22.5 games ($1.73)
|Cuevas v Pella||Over 22.5 games ($1.80)|
|Smyczek v Gojowczyk||Gojowczyk WIN ($1.62)|
|Johnson v Harrison||Johnson -2.5 ($1.85)|
|Vesely v Albot||Albot +0.5 ($1.91)|
|Haase v Ruud||Sets Haase 2-0 ($2.00)|
|Tsitsipas v Lacko||Over 22.5 games ($1.73)|
|Chung v Sandgren||Chung -4.5 ($2.10)|