ATP Stuttgart / s-Hertogenbosch: Semi Finals

atp tour tips and preview

ATP Stuttgart

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Mischa Zverev v Feliciano Lopez
Seeing two left handers on a tennis court is a rarity and it is a matchup that Zverev has had troubles with. Lopez is 3-0 lifetime against Mischa winning all 6 sets they have contested. Zverev has a terrible record against fellow left handers. He is 0-2 against Rafa, 0-2 versus Klizan and has also lost both encounters with Vesely – another lefty. It is a remarkable trend and with Lopez serving the lights out The Wolf says this one will end quickly. The Wolf is shocked to see the price on offer for Lopez and he’s rolling out all 5 chips!!!
Best Bet: Lopez WIN ($1.73)
Value Bet: Sets Lopez 2-0 ($2.80)

Lucas Pouille v Benoit Paire
Firstly The Wolf would like to give credit to the French Tennis Federation and their ability to produce players that can play on all surfaces. There is a perception that, like most other European nations, all they can produce is clay court specialists – not true! Tsonga and Gasquet have both made multiple semi final appearances at Wimbledon while Mahut has 4 grass court singles titles and is a Wimbledon double’s champion. Pouille is part of the next wave of French stars and like his countryman in the past, he has shown the ability to play well on all surfaces. He has won titles on clay and hard courts to go with a quarter final run at Wimbledon last year. One thing few would know is that Pouille has a phenomenal tiebreak record. He is 8-3 on the season and ranks 7th on tour over the last 52 weeks – ahead of names like Raonic, Djokovic, Wawrinka, Isner and Tsonga. He is clutch when it counts.
Best Bet: Pouille WIN ($1.67)
Value Bet: 1st Set Correct Score Pouille 7-6 ($6.00)

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ATP s-Hertogenbosch

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Gilles Muller v Alexander Zverev
Muller won their only meeting back in 2015 but that was at Challenger level when Zverev was still just a teenager. His game has developed in leaps and bounds since then. He has won 3 titles this year alone and has destroyed his opponents this week. Muller will look to use the lefty slider serve in the ad court but he will not reap the rewards that he is used to getting. Zverev’s two handed backhand is a weapon of mass destruction and his wingspan will ensure that he can get right on top of that serve early on. The Wolf says that Zverev will go on to win the title hear – regardless of who his next opponent is. 
Best Bet: Zverev -3.5 ($1.85)
Value Bet: 2nd Set Score After 4 Games Zverev 3-1 ($4.60)

Marin Cilic v Ivo Karlovic
Karlovic has made full use of an easy draw and has blasted his way past youngsters Kozlov and Medvedev. His serve is something they would never have seen before hence why he was able to win 90% of first serve points. Cilic on the other hand is no stranger to big servers. He has broken serve 3 times in each of his matches this week but has lost 2 of his 5 meetings with Karlovic. The Croat has troubled him on fast surfaces in the past with wins over Cilic at Masters 1000 level in Canada and Shanghai. Karlovic is the value bet in this one.
Best Bet: Over 25.5 games ($1.73)
Value Bet: Karlovic WIN ($2.90)