Edmund, Millman and Istomin all did great for us as outsiders yesterday. It was a better day for the seeds at both Brisbane and Doha with Dimitrov, Kyrgios, Thiem and Monfils all still in the respective draws. Who will claim the first titles of the season…
ATP Brisbane Feature Previews
Nick Kyrgios v Alexandr Dolgopolov
Kyrgios had to battle more than his opponent in his last match with a supposed knee injury the latest concern. He managed to play doubles following his come from behind win over countryman Matt Ebden but The Wolf is not sure how his body will hold up. Dolgopolov has quietly made his way through the draw but is set to get plenty of attention. With a suspect injury surrounding Kyrgios he cannot be trusted. As we saw in the opening two set against Ebden he made very little effort to break serve and was happy to go to tiebreakers. We should see more of the same against the Ukranian and that makes Dolgopolov with the starts and a first set breaker huge value.
Best Bet: Dolgopolov +2.5 ($1.85)
Grigor Dimitrov v Kyle Edmund
There have been some great matches already this week in Brisbane but Dimitrov’s win over Millman has to go down as the pick of the bunch. The standard was incredible considering how early in the season we are with the Bulgarian saving multiple match points. The Wolf is adamant that Dimitrov would have lost this match 18 months ago and can thank his improved fitness and physical strength for the win. It allowed him to keep the match alive and his talent was too much in the deciding set. He will be doing more chasing against Edmund, a heavier hitter of the ball than the Aussie. The key shot in this match is the Edmund inside-out forehand. He will look to stretch Dimitrov on the backhand and has been serving well enough to keep him right in the contest. We could see another 3 set thriller.
Best Bet: Over 22.5 games ($1.85)
|Mmoh v De Minaur||Alex de Minaur WIN ($1.73)|
|Kyrgios v Dolgopolov||Dolgopolov +2.5 ($1.85)|
|Istomin v Harrison||Istomin WIN ($1.85)|
|Dimitrov v Edmund||Over 22.5 games ($1.85)|
ATP Doha Feature Previews
Guido Pella v Andrey Rublev
Rublev is coming off two very good wins over Verdasco and Coric while Pella has taken full advantage of a favourable draw. The Russian is a very dangerous player and rarely is there a match that is not on his racquet. He always plays on the front foot and has one of the most aggressive game styles we have seen for some time. We will see him dominate the baseline exchanges with his forehand and Pella does not have the athleticism required to cope with the sheer weight of shot. We will see a Rublev demolition!
Best Bet: Rublev -3.5 ($2.00)
Dominic Thiem v Gael Monfils
Both men survived stern tests overnight but The Wolf is expecting Thiem to breeze past Monfils as he has in the past. Thiem is 3-0 lifetime against the Frenchman and it comes on the back of the fact that Monfils allows Thiem to dictate from the back of the court. We have seen the Austrian struggle when his opponents pin him behind the baseline but that has never been Monfils’ style. He generally allows his opponents to be the aggressor before looking to counter punch using his athleticism. When given the chance to dominate Thiem overpowers his opponents with ease and The Wolf is expecting that to be the case in this one.
Best Bet: Thiem WIN ($1.57)