The Wolf is on fire this week and went a combined 8-1 across the two tournaments yesterday with his feature previews going 7-1 through the opening two days. He is hitting them like beach balls and says the run will continue all week long!
ATP Beijing Feature Previews
Rafael Nadal v Karen Khachanov
As expected Nadal was slow out of the blocks against Pouille and had to dig deep to get home in three very tight sets. He is in for a very different style of match against Khachanov as the Russian play a super aggressive brand of tennis. He will try to keep the points as short as possible and look to end them with his big serve and clean winners off the forehand wing. It will be his undoing as Nadal will frustrate him by making him hit ball after ball. Hitting through Nadal is no easy feat and Khachanov does not have the consistency required to do so. He made just 50% of first serve in his opening match and that will not cut it against Rafa!
Best Bet: Nadal -5.5 ($2.05)
Fabio Fognini v Alexander Zverev
Fognini has got things together over the last few weeks and put the disappointment of an opening loss at the US Open behind him with a run to the final in St Petersbug last week. He accounted for Haase in his opening match here but The Wolf says he will be no match for Zverev. The young German has had more than enough time to recover from a busy schedule leading into the last major of the season and Wolfy is expecting him to really turn it on this week. He accounted for Fognini in straight sets on clay earlier this year and on a more favourable surface he should be just as dominant.
Best Bet: Sets Zverev 2-0 ($1.91)
ATP Beijing All Tips
|Mayer v Isner||Isner -2.5 ($1.70)|
|Nadal v Khachanov||Nadal -5.5 ($2.05)|
|Berdych v Rublev||Rublev +2.5 ($2.00)|
|Fognini v Zverev||Sets Zverev 2-0 ($1.91)|
ATP Tokyo Feature Previews
Matthew Ebden v David Goffin
There is a significant gap in class between the two players and with Goffin returning to the type of form that saw him enter the world’s top 10 The Wolf is predicting Aussie Matt Ebden to do it very tough. Goffin in on a 5 match win streak and was able to handle the Lopez serve with relative ease yesterday – breaking him 3 times. Ebden has held his own this week and his win over Karlovic was well earned after having to come through the qualifiers. The Aussie loves nothing better than the ball coming onto the racquet and being given a target to go at. He will not be afforded that option and in what shapes as a baseline battle he will not be able to trade blows with the Belgian.
Best Bet: Under 20.5 games ($1.80)
Milos Raonic v Yuichi Sugita
Raonic made a winning return with a straight sets win over Troicki but The Wolf says we could see his run cut short. Raonic may lead the H2H 2-1 but Sugita has won at least one set in each of their 3 encounters. In fact, of the 8 sets contested they have won four a piece. The man from Japan has shown that he can handle players with big serves and his title winning run in Antalya on grass supports that theory even further. Sugita with the start is today’s best and he is definitely worth a bet for the straight up win.
Best Bet: Sugita +3.5 ($1.85)
ATP Tokyo All Tips
|Dolgopolov v Johnson||Dolgopolov WIN ($1.73)|
|Gasquet v Yen-Hsun Lu||Gasquet -3.5 ($2.00)|
|Ebden v Goffin||Under 20.5 games ($1.80)|
|Raonic v Sugita||Sugita +3.5 ($1.85)|