The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – March 30
It’s another busy weekend in the sporting world! The Wolf has previews & recommended bets for NRL, AFL, A-League, EPL, NBA, Tennis and Super Rugby.
A-League: Melbourne Victory v Western Sydney – (Sat 7:50pm)
The Wanderers have won just 1 of their last 5 and were humbled at AAMI Park last week by Melbourne City. The Wolf is perplexed with the Wanderers and finds it hard to believe that the midfield of Bonevacia, Vejudo and Lustica can get consistently outplayed. There is a real lack of pace in the Wanderers midfield and they are one of the slowest teams when it comes to moving the ball. It leaves them vulnerable against a Victory side which has speed to burn on the wings thanks to Barbarouses and Leroy George. Melbourne are undefeated in the last 7 clashes and have maintained 5 cleans sheets in their last 6 against the Wanderers. Victory to make a statement!
Best: Melbourne Victory WIN ($1.66)
NRL: Wests v Parramatta – (Mon 4pm)
It’s amazing to think that the Wests Tigers have yet to concede more than 9 points in a match this year, though on the other hand they have struggled to score points with scores of 10, 10 and 7 across the opening three rounds. Five of the last seven matches have tallied 39 points or fewer, while the Eels have won 4 of the last 5 against the Tigers. Desperation will get the Eels home in a low-scoring grinder.
Best: Under 38 ($1.91)
AFL: Collingwood v GWS – (Sat 4:35pm)
The Wolf is expecting nothing less than a controlled Giants victory. They simply have to get better at playing on the ‘G, in front of bigger crowds, if they are to give September a serious shake, and their defence will be all over a completely disjointed and impotent Collingwood forward line. Collingwood only won 4 from 14 games at the MCG in 2017. The Pies have also copped a baking in the press, and do tend to come out swinging in situations like this; but the Giants will be more than ready for it. GWS to cover.
Best: GWS -19.5 ($1.90)
EPL: Crystal Palace v Liverpool – (Sat 10:30pm)
Both sides are coming off a full two weeks rest and it makes for a very interesting encounter. They are in contrasting positions with the Reds looking to solidify a top 4 finish while Palace are trying to avoid getting dragged into the bottom three. Palace have had great success against Liverpool in recent seasons winning 4 of the last 8 meetings. We have also seen both teams find the back of the net in 10 of the last 11 clashes with at least 3 goals in the same amount of matches. A deeper dive reveals that Palace have scored multiple goals in 4 of the last 6 meetings between them at Selhurst Park and The Wolf says not to be shocked if they repeat that feat on the weekend. Benteke has a habit of finding the back of the net against his former club and Salah is just on FIRE. This one has goals written all over it!
Best: Over 3.5 goals ($2.50)
NRL: Manly v Canberra – (Sat 7:30pm)
The Raiders inexplicably blew a lead for the third week running and the pressure will continue to build if Raiders coach Ricky Stuart can’t get his side to play for 80 minutes. The Wolf is expecting a fast start from the Green Machine, but whether the Raiders can play for 80 minutes is the big question as they haven’t been able to for the first three rounds. The Sea Eagles have won 15 of the last 20 meetings against Canberra, so they should get the cash but there won’t be much in it.
Value: HT/NT Double – Canberra/Manly ($7.50)
EPL: Chelsea v Tottenham – (Mon 1:00am)
The match of the round takes us to Stamford Bridge and the outcome of this match can all but end Chelsea’s chase for Champions League qualification. Chelsea are 5 points behind 4th placed Tottenham and a loss here would make the deficit insurmountable. the Blues have posted just one regulation time win in their last 6 and the wheels have really fallen off. Spurs on the other hand have just a single loss in their last 20 matches across all competitions and Pochettino will know that a point here would be almost as good as a win. The Wolf says that defence will be the number one priority one, making the Unders one of the bets of the round!
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.72)
Value: Draw ($3.20)