The Wolf’s Sporting Guide

The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – June 29

The Wolf’s bolter has saluted in six of the past seven weeks! Tips, tips and more tips in this weekend’s edition of The Wolf’s Sporting Guide.

Wolf’s Best

NRL: Penrith v Manly – (Sat 3pm)

It’s hard to go past the Panthers on a sunny Saturday afternoon at the foot of the Mountains. They’ll be fired up after their last outing against the Roosters, and will be looking to take it out on the struggling Sea Eagles. The stats don’t lie either. The Panthers have won 8 of their last 10 against the Sea Eagles, and have won four straight against Manly in Penrith with all four wins coming by margins of 8 or more. Penrith shouldn’t slip up here and The Wolf says to back them 13+.
Best: Penrith 13+ ($2.10)

Code Bets

AFL: Western Bulldogs v Geelong – (Fri 7:50pm)
The Wolf is expecting nothing less than a Geelong win here. The Doggies may have got off the leash against the Roos last round but Wolfy has no doubt Chris Scott will have something up his sleeve for this match. The Cats beat the Roos by 37 points a few weeks ago, however, and if that form line holds up, you would have to take the short quote on them to win by 25+.
Best: Geelong 25+ ($1.65)

Super Rugby: Blues v Reds – (Fri 5:35pm)
Both teams will be eager to finish dismal campaigns on a high note. The 4-9 Reds have lost their last four games, though they did push the Chiefs and Highlanders all the way before going down 52-41 to the Waratahs in Round 16. Riddled with injuries, the 3-10 Blues hit a new low via a 20-10 loss to the Rebels – becoming the first Kiwi outfit to lose at home to an Aussie side in two years. The Blues have a 7-1-2 home record against the Reds, but seven of the sides’ last nine encounters were decided by 1-12 margins and this clash appears headed the same way. The Wolf likes the look of the Reds with a handy start.
Best: Reds +11.5 ($1.90)

NRL: South Sydney v North Queensland (Sun 4:10pm)
The Wolf is expecting the Rabbitohs to be too good for the Cowboys, but is expecting a flat performance, especially with Sam and Tom Burgess on the back-up after playing at altitude in Denver. There’s a 70% chance of rain in Cairns on Sunday, while the last four meetings between the sides have tallied 39 points or fewer. Playing the unders and the Cowboys with the generous 9.5 start at a venue which will be like a home game.
Best: Under 42.5 ($1.91)

Wolf’s Bolter

Super Rugby: Sunwolves v Bulls (Sat 9:55pm)
The Sunwolves may sit last on the ladder but in their last two home games they put 63 points on the Reds and pulled off a stunning last-gasp win over the Stormers. Meanwhile, they edged out the Bulls 21-20 in Tokyo last season – and they’re a far better team this season. But the 5-8 Bulls are also an improved outfit in 2018 and are desperately trying to keep their finals hopes afloat after losing four of their last five games. Winning on the road isn’t the Bulls’ strong suit, however – they are 1-5 this season – and the Sunwolves will also be boosted by the performances of their international contingent during Japan’s recent Test schedule. The Sunwolves have been a hugely profitable play in line betting this season – going 6-1 against the start in their past seven – and they’re hard to ignore again at home for the upset.
Value Bet: Sunwolves WIN ($3.05)

Wolf’s Multi

Combined Odds: $10.56
NRL: Penrith 13+ (v Manly) | NRL: North Queensland +9.5 (v South Sydney) | AFL: Geelong 25+ (v Western Bulldogs) | AFL: Gold Coast Total Team Score 0-60 points (v Collingwood)