The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – July 6
The Wolf’s bolter did it again last week! The bolter has now saluted in seven of the past eight weeks! Tips, tips and more tips in this weekend’s edition of The Wolf’s Sporting Guide.
AFL: Melbourne v Fremantle – (Sat 7:40pm)
The Dees have looked woeful over the past few weeks, but there is no better way to arrest that form slump by a circuit breaker up in Darwin against a Freo side missing Fyfe and Sandi. The Wolf is expecting Melbourne to play themselves back into form with an attacking clinic over the Dockers, and they could put up some big numbers late in the game as the younger Freo bodies tire.
Best Bet: Melbourne -10.5 4th Quarter Line ($1.87)
NRL: Penrith v New Zealand- (Fri 7:50pm)
It’s hard to ignore the Panthers recent record against the Warriors, but that’s exactly what The Wolf is doing here. It’s impossible to back the Panthers without their influential halves duo of Maloney and Cleary, while they lose one of their best strike weapons in Peachey. Despite the loss of Harris for the Warriors, they have plenty of strike power in their spine through the likes of Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, Blake Green, Shaun Johnson and Issac Luke, and should be able to put plenty of points on Anthony Griffin’s men. The Warriors were also very unlucky to lose to the Sharks last week, while the Panthers were embarrassed by the struggling Sea Eagles.
Best: New Zealand ($1.60)
Super Rugby: Bulls v Jaguares – (Sat 11:05pm)
The Jaguares need just one more victory to clinch a historic finals berth, but they could also snatch the South African Conference title if they can win their last two games. Their 25-14 win over the Stormers was their seventh in a row, while the conference-leading Lions’ loss last weekend has reduced the gap between the teams to just three points. The Bulls have tumbled out of contention with a three-match losing streak that commenced with a 54-24 hammering at the hands of the Jags in Buenos Aries and continued with a home loss to the Brumbies and an away defeat to the last-placed Sunwolves. Despite winning their last six away games in Australia and New Zealand, the Jaguares are on a six-match losing streak on South African soil that stretches back to Round 1 last year. The Wolf loves their value as underdogs against an out-of-form opponent.
Best: Jaguares ($2.07)
AFL: West Coast v GWS – (Sun 4:40pm)
The shine has been taking off this match somewhat, with all of the injury dramas affecting both sides robbing the game of some absolute superstars. Losing Jon Patton to a 3rd ACL injury in an innocuous training incident on Thursday afternoon was a bitter blow to the Giants, but they are hitting momentum at just the right time, and their midfield should give them the ascendancy to triumph here. Optus Stadium isn’t the fortress it was a few months ago now.
Best: GWS +12.5 ($1.91)
NRL: Gold Coast v Brisbane (Sun 4:10pm)
Both sides are missing some big names, but The Wolf has settled on the Titans, who should hopefully get Ryan James back into the side if he isn’t required as 18th man for the Blues. The Broncos always struggle when Andrew McCullough is out of the side, and are 9-15 ATS as a road favourite over the last four years. Take the Titans 1-12 here.
Value Bet: Gold Coast 1-12 ($3.50)
State Of Origin Game 3: Queensland v New South Wales (Weds 8pm)
The Wolf is sticking with the home side to avoid the clean sweep and get the job done on Wednesday night. Home underdogs have covered 4 of the last 5 Origins, while Queensland is simply a different beast when playing at Suncorp Stadium. The loss of Ponga and Inglis is a blow, but Oates, Cherry Evans and Glasby are solid replacements and will take great pride in the jersey. The +3.5 looks a nice start for a team that is playing with a chip on its shoulder.
Best: Queensland +3.5 ($1.91)
Value: Queensland 1-12 ($3.40)
World Cup: Brazil v Belgium (Sat 4am)
What a comeback by Belgium against Japan! It took them over an hour but they finally realised that the Japanese were vulnerable in the air. The aerial path will not be as fruitful against Brazil, nor will they be able to win a line share of possession. Brazil will also be boosted by the return of Marcelo which will help put even more pressure on Vertonghen and Alderweireld. Neymar has improved with every game and his performance against Mexico was almost flawless. He scored one and set up the second while running havoc down the left side. The Wolf cannot see how either side keep a clean sheet. Belgium are undefeated in 23 game while Brazil’s unbeaten run now stands at 15. The Samba Kings have scored multiple goals in 8 of their last 11 including each of their last three. Meanwhile, Belgium lead the tournament with 12 goals scored and have now scored 3 or more in 9 of their last 12 matches!
Best: Over 2.5 goals ($2.00)
Other: Match Result & Both To Score – Brazil ($4.00)
Value: Brazil 4+ goals ($12.00)