The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – July 13
Tips, tips and more tips in this weekend’s edition of The Wolf’s Sporting Guide including a five-chip special in the World Cup 3rd Place Playoff between Belgium and England.
AFL: Fremantle v Port Adelaide – (Sun 4:40pm)
Nothing less than a comfortable Port win is expected here. Freo are a shadow of themselves without Fyfe and Sandilands, and even though they are at home, the Power have been in great form and are playing attacking footy, full of confidence. Wolfie is keen on the Power to pull away from the Dockers in the second half, something they have done well to poor sides- with the flip side being the young Freo side are statistically very poor late in games.
Best: Second Half Line – Port Adelaide -14.5 ($1.87)
NRL: Brisbane v New Zealand- (Sun 2pm)
The Wolf is tipping a bounce back performance from the Warriors and is also expecting both sides to throw the ball around. The overs looks like the best play, with five of the last six matches between the sides topping 38 points. Warriors halfback, Shaun Johnson is a superstar, who was poor by his standards in last week’s loss to the Panthers, and The Wolf is tipping a big performance from SJ. Meanwhile, Broncos five-eighth Anthony Milford looks to have finally hit his straps and could provide plenty of attacking opportunities here.
Best: Over 44 points ($1.91)
Super Rugby: Waratahs v Brumbies – (Sat 7:45pm)
The Waratahs clinched the Australian Conference title last weekend by obliterating the Sunwolves 77-25. The Brumbies, meanwhile, are clinging to the faintest of playoffs hopes despite a gut-wrenching five-point loss to the Chiefs last week that snapped their three-game revival. The Brumbies require a bonus-point win here and for the Rebels and Sharks to both lose their games to sneak into eighth. The Waratahs are 5-1 in their last six against the Brumbies, including a 24-17 victory in Canberra earlier this season. The 13+ margin is 5-2 in the teams’ last seven encounters, but the Wolf is tipping a much closer affair – particularly with the Brumbies turning a corner in recent weeks.
Best: Brumbies +7.5 ($1.90)
Wimbledon: Kevin Anderson v John Isner (Fri 10pm)
Backing up following a epic 13-11 win in the 5th set over Federer will be a very tough task for Anderson. The Wolf has nothing but respect for the South African who has been rewarded for his remarkable work ethic over the last 24 months. What The Wolf does have is concern that he cannot back up after what was a mentally and physically draining win. He has a 3-6 record in Grand Slam matches following a 5 set win and has won only 3 of 11 matches against Isner. The American’s serve has been incredible throughout the tournament. He is averaging 32 aces per match and is winning 84% of points behind his first serve. This is a huge opportunity for Isner and The Wolf says he will take full advantage.
Best: John Isner WIN ($1.91)
World Cup Final: France v Croatia (Mon 4am)
The world continue to write off Croatia but they are just one step away from creating history. The Wolf tipped us Croatia pre-tournament at $36 and says he will make cevapi a daily meal for the next month if they lift the trophy! They have been fantastic throughout the entire tournament and have progressed to the final despite conceding first in each of their three knockout matches. All three went to extra time but The Wolf says not to buy into any suggestion that they are fatigued. This is a World Cup final!!! The last two matches between them have ended in a draw and with Croatia showing a remarkable amount of fight, The Wolf is predicting extra time yet again!
Value: Match Result: Draw ($3.20)
Combined Odds: $10.82
NRL: Over 44 (Brisbane v New Zealand) | AFL: Second Half Line – Port Adelaide -14.5 (v Fremantle) | Super Rugby: Brumbies +7.5 (v Waratahs)| World Cup: Over 2.5 goals (Belgium v England)
World Cup 3rd Place Playoff: Belgium v England (Sun 12am)
Football is not coming home, nor is Belgium’s ‘golden generation’ going to break it’s major tournament drought. That being said, this is one last chance to put on a show on the world stage. Traditionally, the 3rd place playoff has been one of the most entertaining games of the World Cup. Both sides have nothing to lose and it is the reason why teams look to attack and entertain. Over 2.5 goals is 10-0 dating back to 1978 with 4 or more goals in 6 of the last 10 playoff matches. The Wolf says not to pay any attention to Belgium’s 1-0 win in the group stage. Both sides rested players and England succeeded in their attempt to lose the game. Over 2.5 goals is THE BET OF THE TOURNAMENT and The Wolf is rolling out all 5 chips!
Best: Over 2.5 goals ($1.62)
Other: Over 3.5 goals ($2.50)
Value: Match Result and Both Score – Belgium ($3.50)