The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – May 25
The Wolf made it back to back bolters last week with the Sunwolves grabbing the cash at a juicy $3.75 while his $7 multi also grabbed the cash!!!
NRL: Penrith v St George – (Sat 7:35pm)
The best game of the week is also the best betting match of the round with and the Under can be backed with confidence. The Panthers have been near perfect in recent times at home, particularly at night and as a home underdog. The Saints are poor away favourites. The under is a major angle when the Dragons are on the road, particularly at night. The Dragons are 12-5 under away from their suburban homes after scoring 25 or more points while the total has failed to break 35 points in 8 of their last 9 against the Panthers. The Under in this game should be your biggest bet of the weekend.
Best: Under 37.5 points ($1.90)
AFL: Fremantle v Nth Melbourne – (Sun 4:40pm)
The Wolf is expecting a low-scoring tussle in this game, and with 4 of the last 6 meetings between the pair seeing margins less than 15 points, Wolfie is keen to get some of the bank roll on the Unders. The Under is 7-2 for both teams to date this which suggests this season which suggests this one will be a real slog. The Dockers are a different prospect at home, and the Kangaroos cannot rest on their laurels at all. In fact, on paper the two sides appear to match up reasonably well – but Wolf has the home town factor swaying the match the Dockers way. Just.
Best: Under 157.5 points ($1.90)
Super Rugby Chiefs v Waratahs – (Sat 5:35pm)
The Waratahs can take a real stranglehold on top spot in the Australian Conference this weekend, and arrive in Hamilton full of confidence after belting the Highlanders 41-12 to end Aussie teams’ 40-game losing streak against Kiwi sides. The 7-4 Chiefs are back from an arduous fortnight in South Africa in which they grinded out a 15-9 win over the Stormers and went down 28-24 to the Sharks. The Chiefs are 6-5 at home against the Waratahs – including a 46-31 result last season – but the Sydneysiders have won six of their last eight against the Chiefs overall. Encouragingly, the last time an Australian team won in New Zealand was when the Waratahs downed the Chiefs two years ago, and the Wolf doesn’t mind their chances against the start given their recent form and the Chiefs’ travel strain.
Best Bet: Waratahs +10 ($1.90)
Soccer: Real Madrid v Liverpool – (Sun 4:45am)
The Reds have scored 40 goals in this year’s competition – 10 more than the next best. Salah, Firmino and Mane have combined for 29 goals while James Milner has a competition high 9 assists. They have scored multiple goals in 12 of their 14 matches and have made quality opponents chase shadows. They put 5 past Man City in the quarters before netting 7 goals in 180 minutes against Roma, who were until that point the best defensive side in the competition. Now they take on the greatest scorer in the history of this competition. Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 120 goals in the Champions League and that includes 15 goals this season! There will be goals!!!
Best: Over 3.5 goals ($2.15)
NRL: New Zealand v South Sydney (Sat 5:35pm)
Two weeks ago Newcastle delivered in the Premier League, last week it was the Chiefs in Super 15 and this time it will be the Bunnie who bolt in. The Wolf is super keen on South Sydney in this one. The Rabbitohs have been sizzling this year and overcame a string of injuries to get the money in Townsville against North Queensland. Sam Burgess will be back while the Warriors will yet again be without Shaun Johnson. The Warriors may have won 2 of their last 4 (Eels and Tigers) but in their two losses to the Storm and Roosters they managed a combined 10 points. Small interstate underdogs are quality bets and Souths are flying. The Warriors have an iffy record against Souths and as a favourite at Mt Smart cannot be trusted. Chips in Souths.
Value: South Sydney 13+ ($5.00)
NBA: Celtics @ Cavs – Game 6 (Sat 10:35am)
The rules are simple in this series… Back the home team and back them BIG! The home team is 5-0 both straight up and ATS in the Eastern Conference Finals and none of the games have been close. The smallest margin of victory for the series is 9 points with the average margin a ridiculous 18 points! The Celtics are just 1-6 straight up and ATS in their 7 road playoff games with their only win coming via overtime in Philadelphia. With the series on the line you can be sure that LeBron with bring it, with or without his team-mates. The Wolf is adamant that the supporting cast will come to the party. Let’s take JR Smith… He is 0 for 11 from beyond the arc in the three games in Boston but 6 for 10 in the two games at home. He will his shooting stroke in line for this one and we will be heading back to the TD Garden for a game 7!
Best: Cleveland -7 ($1.92)
Value: Cleveland by 20+ ($5.10)
AFL: Melbourne v Adelaide (Sun 3:20pm)
Footy heads to Alice Springs on Sunday afternoon, where the 3rd placed Demons will host the 4th placed Crows in what is shaping up to be a cracking encounter. Both sides have won 4 of their last 5 after slow starts to the year, and are heading into this game in top form. The Demons have scored and incredible 315 points over the past fortnight and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4. Melbourne have won their last 4 matches with an average margin of 63 points and The Wolf says we should not ignore that sort of form. They are likely to combine for well over 200 points but it will be the Dees who squeeze out the win.
Best Bet: Melbourne WIN ($1.74)
Value Bet: Both Teams Score 90 Points ($3.25)
Player Prop: Rory Laird 35+ Disposals ($3.00)