The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – June 8
It’s another busy weekend in the sporting world! The Wolf has previews & recommended bets for NRL, AFL, Rugby, NBA, Tennis and MLB.
NRL: Cronulla v Wests – (Sun 2:10pm)
The Sharks are the kings of the grind, while the Tigers are the second best defensive outfit in the NRL, conceding no more than 16 points in their last four matches. The Tigers also struggle to score points (14th in scoring), despite being able to stop them. Hard to see many points in this one, making the unders close to a five-chip special.
Best: Under 38.5 points ($1.91)
AFL: GWS v Gold Coast – (Sat 4:35pm)
The Wolf was stunned by how poor the Suns were at home last round, and it’s hard to see how they can bounce back from that against a side that is as skillful as the Giants. Granted, there are stages this year where they have been exceptionally poor, but against the Crows last week they looked to have recaptured some of their best footy through a midfield dominance that will only get better. Wolfie loves a quarter bet, and is VERY keen on the Giants to absolutely pummel the young Suns in the last quarter.
Best: GWS 4th Quarter Line -12.5 ($1.87)
Soccer: Hungary v Australia (Sun 1:30am)
Just where did the 4-0 win over the Czech Republic come from! Like most Socceroos fans, The Wolf was left stunned with the final scoreline and the side will get one last hit-out before they take on France in their opening group game at the World Cup. Maintaining a clean sheet will again be priority one so we could see the brakes placed on Behich and Risdon. Hungary has failed to find the back of the net in 6 of it’s last 13 and 4 of it’s last 8 at home. There has been exactly one goal scored in 4 of their last 5 with at least four goals in 3 of the Socceroos last 4. Australia are also aiming for a 3rd consecutive clean sheet for the first time in almost 3 years. With the opening game just one week away, The Wolf isn’t expecting a frantic pace. Socceroos to grind their way to a 1-0 win.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.53)
Rugby Union: Australia v Ireland – (Sat 8:10pm)
After a drought-breaking victory over the All Blacks last October, Michael Cheika’s side went backwards again with heavy losses to England (30-6) and unfancied Scotland (53-24) on their Spring Tour to revert to a familiar rebuilding phase. Ireland reclaimed the Six Nations title by going through the competition undefeated and are currently on a 12-Test winning streak that includes two victories over England and a 38-3 rout of South Africa. Australia are 21-1-11 all-time against Ireland, but Ireland have had the wood on the Wallabies in recent years, winning three of the last four Tests. This is their first encounter in Australia since the Wallabies 2010 win in Brisbane, however, and Ireland are hunting their first victory on Australian soil since 1979. David Pocock’s return from a sabbatical is a huge boost for the Wallabies, who are slight underdogs, but this shapes as an absolute cliff-hanger. The Wallabies in a close one.
Australia 1-12 ($3.00)
NRL: Canterbury v St George Illawarra (Mon 4pm)
The Wolf can see the Bulldogs struggling to score many points against the Dragons despite their impressive record against the Red V. Dean Pay’s men rank 15th in scoring and will have to rely on the inexperienced halves pairing of Jeremy Marshall-King and Matt Frawley to ignite the attack in Foran’s absence. There’s the real possibility that the Dogs go scoreless and will definitely struggle to score more than 10 points.
Value Bet: Canterbury 0-10 points/St George Illawarra 11-20 points ($10)
AFL: Melbourne v Collingwood (Monday 3:20pm)
The Wolf is very excited for this one- it’s probably the biggest game of the year to date. It’s rare over the past few years to have a lot at stake in this Queen’s Birthday fixture, but it shapes as a critical clash for both clubs with Melbourne looking to secure a spot in the Top 4 and the Pies desperately trying to shore up a spot in the 8. The market has rightly installed Collingwood as favourites, but the Wolf thinks this will be a tight clash that could go either way.
Best Bet: Triple Margin 15.5- Any Other Result ($2.25)
Value Bet: Treloar 35+ Disposals/Brayshaw 35+ Disposals ($9.26)
NBA: Golden State @ Cleveland (Sat 11:10am)
Kevin Durant was unstoppable in Game 3 and the Cavs are now staring down the barrel of a sweep. The brooms are out, and to sweep The King on his own court would be the final dagger! The big question heading into this one is ‘Sweep or no sweep’… SWEEP! The last team to get swept in the finals -a LeBron James led Cleveland Cavaliers in 2007. All the talk is that the Warriors will let Game 4 slip so that they can clinch the title at Oracle Arena. The Wolf thought so too, but after seeing that look in KD’s eyes – he has other plans. Mentally, the Cavs have nothing left to give and it would be fitting for The King’s last game in a Cavs jersey to be on his own court.
Best: Golden State -4.5 ($1.92)
Value: Golden State -10.5 & Over 219.5 ($6.25)
Prop: LeBron James Triple/Double ($2.75)