The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – June 15
The World Cup is finally here! The Wolf has previews & recommended bets for the World Cup, NRL, AFL, Rugby, MLB and Cricket.
NRL: Cronulla v Brisbane – (Sat 7:35pm)
The Wolf liked what he saw from the Broncos in the first half against the Storm and if they can play like that for 80 minutes then they can topple the Sharks. The Broncos have won 8 of the last 12 against the Sharks and 4 of the last 5 at Shark Park. The Sharks are 18-25 ATS at Shark Park since 2015, including a 12-22 ATS record as a favourite. Happy to be on Brisbane with 4.5 start here.
Best: Brisbane +4.5 (1.91)
AFL: Hawthorn v Adelaide – (Sat 7:25pm)
The Crows have a lot to play for, but the Wolf is keen to side with a more experienced Hawks side at the ‘G that should be buoyed by the never-say-die performance they pulled off against the Power before the bye. Wolfie is looking forward to watching Shaun ‘Silk’ Burgoyne go about his business, and he is expecting the 4 x Premiership player to have an effect all across the ground and have some vital touches at both ends in his big milestone game. You watch his teammates lift for him too. Wet weather expected, which will only suit the Hawks more, and take away some of the outside run of the Crows.
Best: Hawthorn WIN ($1.62)
Rugby Union: Australia v Ireland – (Sat 8pm)
The Wallabies began 2018 with renewed grit and vigour, holding Ireland try-less and overcoming a late deficit to grind out an 18-9 first-Test win in Brisbane. The effect David Pocock – who scored the match-sealing try – had on the team was palpable, but stalwarts Michael Hooper, Will Genia, Kurtley Beale and Israel Folau were also superb. The series now moves to Melbourne, where Australia are 11-2 from their last 13 Tests and Ireland is 0-2. Ireland’s winless streak against Australia away now stretches to eight matches, with their last victory coming way back in 1979. Of the nations’ last eight clashes, just one has been decided by more than nine points and another 1-12 thriller looms here. But the Wolf likes what he saw from Cheika’s charges in the first Test and is confident in the value the Wallabies provide as narrow favourites head-to-head.
Best: Australia WIN ($1.91)
World Cup: Argentina v Iceland (Sat 11pm)
Messi’s back must be starting to hurt. Four years ago he carried Argentina to the final in Brazil and was awarded the Golden Ball as the player of the tournament for his efforts. Since then, not much has changed with his country consistently relying on him to help get results. They were less than 90 minutes away from failing to qualify until a Messi hat-track in the final qualifying game against Ecuador. Their 19 goals in 18 matches was the second least of all South American nations. They scored the same amount of goals as Venezuela and less than half of Brazil’s 41 goals. They were pounded by Spain 6-1 in a friendly back in March and went down 4-2 to Nigeria last November – in a match played in Russia. They have won just 4 of their last 9 matches and The Wolf says it will not be easy to for them to simply flick the switch. Iceland topped their qualifying group and will draw on their tournament success at Euro 2016 where they knocked out England in the Round of 16. The Wolf is tipping Iceland to hold their own and get the draw.
Value: Draw ($4.80)
World Cup: France v Australia (Saturday 8pm)
The French squad is littered with world class talent. Most of their squad not only pay at the world’s biggest club, but are the focal point of those teams. Pogba is the face of Manchester United and Kante is the engine room at Chelsea while Antoine Griezmann has rivaled Ronaldo and Messi in La Liga for some time now. We haven’t even touched on the attacking brilliance of Mbappe and Dembele along with the temperament and control of Verane at the back. The Socceroos were thrashed 6-0 by France when they last met in 2013 in a match were they were completely outclassed tactically. That was the theme for the Socceroos four years ago in Brazil where they lost all three games. The Wolf is expecting a dominant win by Les Blues. This match will be more about damage control for the Socceroos. If they can lose by two goals or less, that would be a good result. That being said, The Wolf is not buying into their recent friendly wins over the Czechs and Hungary. Both nations failed to qualify for the World Cup and several of the Socceroos goals came via either luck or defensive errors. He cannot see the Socceroos getting the ball to bounce their way in this one.
Best: France WIN & Over 2.5 goals ($1.73)
Value: Win Both Halves – France ($2.60)
2nd ODI: England v Australia (Saturday 8pm)
The Wolf tipped up Australia in the 1st ODI on the back of England’s recent shock loss to Scotland. It didn’t work out and he won’t be making the same mistake here. Adil Rashid and Moeen Ali tore through the Australian top order, and if it wasn’t for a rearguard action by Glenn Maxwell (62) and Ashton Agar (40), Australia would have been dismissed very cheaply. Ali and Rashid have combined for 43 wickets in 31 ODI matches against Australia and look to have their measure. England is currently in a strong position with the likes of Jonny Bairstow, Joet Root and Eoin Morgan looking solid with the bat, while the absence of the experienced duo of David Warner and Steve Smith was evident in the 1st ODI. England to take a 2-0 series lead in Cardiff.
Best: England ($1.53)
Value: Top English Bowler – Adil Rashid ($4)