The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – April 27
It’s another busy weekend in the sporting world! The Wolf has previews & recommended bets for NRL, AFL, A-League, EPL, NBA, Tennis and MLB.
NRL: North Queensland v Canberra – (Sat 7:30pm)
The Cowboys finally returned to the winner’s circle, breaking a five-match losing streak by defeating the Titans 26-14. Meanwhile, the Raiders will be looking to bounce back after they were blown off the park 42-22 by the Rabbitohs last week. The Wolf is hoping that the Cowboys have finally turned the corner after their win over the Titans last week. North Queensland have won nine straight against Canberra in Townsville, and high-scoring affairs have been common, with eight of the last 10 meetings topping 41 points. Cowboys and overs for Wolfy.
Best: North Queensland & Over 43.5 ($2.60)
A-League: Sydney FC v Melbourne Victory – (Sat 7:50pm)
Sydney FC are undefeated in their last 8 against their traditional rivals and that includes lifting the trophy in last season’s Grand Final. The Sky Blues have dominated the Big Blue derby this season with three consecutive wins. Their battles are almost always tactical by nature with Graham Arnold getting the better of his former team mate Kevin Muscat in that department. It has been 9 meetings since the Victory have scored more than once against Sydney and The Wolf cannot see them bucking that trend. Sydney showed remarkable discipline in a 1-0 win over the Victory in their final game of the regular season. In what was a dead rubber for the Sky Blues, they defended stoutly and played the perfect game. With a Grand Final spot up for grabs The Wolf is certain that they will produce a 10 out of 10 performance. Brilliante and O’Neill will win the midfield battle which will provide Mierzejewski and Ninkovic with the freedom to run riot in the final third.
Best: Sydney FC WIN ($1.75)
AFL: GWS v Brisbane – (Sat 4:35pm)
Footy heads to Spotless Stadium for the first time in 2018, with the Giants taking on the Lions in the Saturday twilight fixture. The Lions were beaten by a cricket score a fortnight ago, but rebounded well to almost pull off a victory in the Q-Clash- but facing GWS away is an entirely different proposition. The Giants forward trio of Cameron, Patton and Greene will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing this Lions side- and if the midfield can keep pounding the ball inside 50, things could get ugly. GWS have won 7 of their last 9 matches at Spotless Stadium and the Lions have lost their last 4 games against the Giants, with an average margin of 53 points. The Wolf is expecting the Giants to make a big statement in their first game at ‘home’ for 2018. The Lions are still win-less this season and given their recent record against the Giants, it is hard to see them finally getting on the board.
Best: GWS 40+ ($1.87)
EPL: West Ham v Manchester City – (Sun 11:15pm)
Man City put Swansea to the sword last week and now it is the Hammers turn. With no other commitments and several of their players pushing for a start in the World Cup look for City to close out the season with several more big wins. They had 5 different scorers last week and will be boosted by the return of Fernandinho in the heart of midfield. West Ham know all about the champions… they have lost the last four meetings and conceded 14 goals in that stretch while scoring just the two. The Hammers have conceded a mammoth 63 goals this season, second worst behind Stoke (65). They will not be able to shut down a City attack that is on a mission to make sure people know who the Premier League champions are.
Best: HT/FT – Man City/Man City ($1.83)
EPL: Liverpool v Stoke – (Sat 9:30pm)
The Wolf was all over Liverpool in their Champions League semi final against Roma. They are the hottest team in Europe at the moment and Salah is the most dangerous man on the planet with a football at his feet. He had 2 goals and 2 assists in the 5-2 win over Roma but Them Wolf says we have to proceed with caution. Surely Klopp rests his key players for the second leg – a trip to Rome. They are in no danger of missing out on a top 4 finish and the Champions League has to be seen as priority. At a minimum, Henderson, Milner, Salah and either Firmino or Mane should sit this one out. we saw something similar after the Reds first leg win over Man City. Despite it being the Merseyside Derby in the game that followed, Firmino, Alexander-Arnold and the Ox all sat on the bench while Salah was rested to recover from a minor injury. They played a very subdued match on that occasion. We saw very little of the high press in that match and it is fair to assume that a similar game plan will be employed. It opens the door for a desperate Stoke side who need every point they can get. The Wolf is fully aware that Liverpool are undefeated at home in the league but after considering the circumstances at hand, Stoke are value to cause an upset!
Value: Stoke WIN ($10)
Combined Odds: $9.87
NRL: Penrith | AFL: GWS 40+ | A-League: Sydney FC | NBA: Indiana -1