The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – April 20
It’s another busy weekend in the sporting world! The Wolf has previews & recommended bets for NRL, AFL, A-League, EPL, NBA, Tennis and Super Rugby.
NRL: South Sydney v Canberra – (Sat 3pm)
The Wolf is expecting a high-scoring affair on a dry track in Gosford on Saturday afternoon. 12 of the last 13 matches between the Rabbitohs and Raiders have topped 48 points, with both sides expected to play some expansive football here. The over is also 26-13 in Canberra road games. The Wolf says to back Over 45.5 points despite the high total.
Best: Over 45.5 ($1.91)
A-League: Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United – (Sun 6pm)
The Victory have been very difficult to break down over the last two months. They have won 5 of their last 7 A-League matches and their two losses have come via a 1-0 scoreline. They have conceded more than once in just one of those matches and have a dominant record against the Reds. Melbourne have won 4 of the last 6 meetings between the two clubs with multiple goals in all but one of those clashes. That being said, Adelaide have finally found their mojo on the offensive end. They have scored at least three time in 3 of their last 4 with Diawara being well supported by Absalonsen and Mileusnic. The Wolf believes that the Victory have a distinct edge in the centre of the park and it is where this one will be won. The Victory to control the tempo and limit the Reds opportunities in front of goal.
Best: Melbourne Victory WIN ($1.95)
AFL: Carlton v West Coast – (Sat 4:35pm)
The Wolf is looking past the infamous Eagles record at the MCG and backing them in to beat the Blues by a healthy margin. Marc Murphy leaves a gaping leadership hole, and it would take one hell of a game from Patrick Cripps for Carlton to break even up against Nic Nat and his midfield troupe. Kennedy only needs one goal to have kicked the most goals for West Coast- but could he bag another 9 and register double figures again?
Best: Kennedy 3+ Goals and West Coast WIN @ $1.75 (v Carlton)
EPL: West Bromwich v Liverpool – (Sat 9:30pm)
Will Klopp risk ruining the team dynamic by resting players for his sides Champions League trip to Rome… The Wolf thinks not. He has done so sparingly this season and has only ever rested one or two key players from each line. The Reds have lost just 1 of their last 14 across all competitions and have been devastating at home in the league where they are undefeated at Anfield. On the road is has been all about goals. They have scored 37 goals away from home and conceded 25 – 6 more than any of the other top 6 sides. Both teams to score in a high scoring encounter.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.80)
Super Rugby: Bulls v Rebels – (Sat 11:05pm)
The Bulls are this year’s sleeper team, when they put it together they have been unstoppable in recent weeks. Their most impressive win of the season came last week when they demolished the Sharks away in Durban 40-10. The Rebels lost last week and look to be going through a bit of dip in form over the past few weeks. This is their biggest test to date and if the Waratahs win they will nearly need to win this to stay in touch with the playoffs. The Rebels are yet to win in SA but this is a different Rebels side then years previous. The Wolf feels the market has overreacted with the Bulls win last week and the Rebels loss to the Jaguares. Taking the Rebels +10.5 should be enough to get the collect here and I wouldn’t be too surprised if the Rebels managed to win this in a close one.
NRL: Cronulla v Penrith – (Sun 2:00pm)
It’s impossible to trust the Sharks with their current injury toll and you couldn’t back them with any confidence while Flanagan continues to chop and change his fullback and five-eighth on a weekly basis. The Sharks defence will prevent a blowout, but the form of Maloney will prove the difference and get the job done for the Panthers.
Best: Penrith 1-12 ($3)