The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – April 13
It’s another busy weekend in the sporting world! The Wolf has previews & recommended bets for NRL, AFL, A-League, EPL, NBA, Tennis and Super Rugby.
NRL: Canberra v Parramatta – (Sat 7:30pm)
The Raiders finally got on the board with a determined 26-10 victory over the Bulldogs last week. The Green Machine had plenty of injuries to deal with during the match and will take plenty of confidence into this clash against the Eels. Jack Wighton, Blake Austin and Josh Papalii all come back into the 17. The Eels have suffered a massive blow in the lead-up to the clash against the Raiders, with their best forward Nathan Brown ruled out with an ankle injury.
The Wolf thinks the Raiders might have turned the corner in their gutsy win over the Bulldogs last week. It’s also a tough ask for the Eels coming up against this big Raiders pack without Nathan Brown. The Raiders have won three straight and nine of the last 11 meetings, and should keep the Eels winless for the season. Canberra to cover with ease.
Best: Canberra -3.5 ($1.91)
A-League: Wellington v Melbourne City – (Sat 5:35pm)
It has been a season to forget for the Phoenix and it cannot end soon enough. A win would give them a chance of avoiding to spoon but the reality is that they deserve it. Their record over the last 10 games reads 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses. The 54 goals conceded is 7 more than any other team and they have rarely looked competitive. City on the other hand are finding their best football at just the right time. Fornaroli was on the mark for the 3rd game in a row with his side now posted three consecutive wins – all with clean sheets. City have won the last 6 clashes between the two clubs with a combined score of 14-3. One way traffic for the visitors.
Best: Melbourne City WIN ($1.75)
AFL: Essendon v Port Adelaide – (Sun 1:10pm)
Port have been mighty impressive through three rounds and remain the only undefeated side in the competition. It is natural to expect a big response from the Bombers following a disappointing performance but The Wolf says that the Power will have a significant edge in midfield. The Bombers may have a look in early but the Power will take complete control in the second half. More than half of the Power’s wins last year came by 40 points or more. When they are on, they are on!
Best: Port Adelaide WIN ($1.65)
Liverpool v Bournemouth – (Sun 2:30am)
Can anyone stop Liverpool at the current point in time… They are playong a fearless brand of football and the relentless pressure of their front trio has seen them achieve some remarkable results. Back to back wins over Man City has earned them a spot in the Champions League semi finals and they continue to score goals at a rapid rate. Likewise, Bournemouth’s ability to consistently find the back of the net will see them in the Premier League again next season. The Cherries rank 9th in attack and have found the back of the net in each of their last 10 Premier League matches. They have bagged multiple goals in each of their last 3 and Klopp could decide to rest several players after a demanding schedule. There have been at least 3 goals in the last 4 meetings between the two sides with and average of 4 goals per game in that stretch. There will be goals!
Best: Over 3.5 goals ($2.00)
NRL: Penrith v Gold Coast – (Sun 2:00pm)
The statistics might not favour the Titans, with the Panthers dominating the recent meetings, but The Wolf can smell an upset here. They’ve got an underrated pack, featuring the likes of Arrow, Kevin Proctor and Jarrod Wallace, while Ash Taylor is starting to find his rhythm and combination with the inconsistent Kane Elgey and new signing Michael Gordon. The Titans with the +7.5 start looks like a big start for a side on a two-match winning streak and as we have seen, momentum is a big factor in 2018. The Panthers attack was stagnant against the Eels last week while no one has been able to slow the Titans down in recent weeks. The upset is on!
Value: Gold Coast WIN ($3.00)
Combined Odds: $8.17
NRL: Canberra -3.5 | AFL: Sydney by 25+ | Super Rugby: Rebels -11.5
Super Rugby: Waratahs vs Reds (Sat 7:45pm)
A big rivalry game this one with the Waratahs looking to stamp down their authority on the Australian Conference. They have scored 50 points in their last 2 games and present a seriously difficult challenge for the Reds. The Reds are a gritty side which were in the game early last week against the Brumbies to eventually run out of puff and go down by 39 points. The Reds have failed to beat the Waratahs since 2013 which includes 7 straight losses, the Wolf expect the Waratahs to be far too good at home and cover the 8.5 points with ease.
Best Bet: Waratahs -9.5 ($1.90)
Value Bet: Waratahs 13+ ($2.30)
AFL: Geelong v St Kilda (Sun 4:40pm)
The Cats have started 2018 quite poorly, but the Wolf is expecting their season to kick into gear down in Geelong on Sunday. The line (+28.5) for St. Kilda looks quite generous given the key outs for Geelong, and the Wolf is expecting them to stay reasonably close, but there is a clear gulf in class across all the lines and Geelong should be too strong for the Saints. St Kilda hasn’t won at Geelong since 1999 with the Cats going 6-1 at this venue last year. Get right around the Cats.
Best: Wire to Wire – Geelong ($1.83)
Value: St. Kilda +24.5 & Under 179.5 ($4.00)
Tottenham v Man City – (Sun 4:45am)
City have been stunned over the last fortnight. No-one could have seen them losing three in a row at any point this season but it has happened. They were bundled out of the Champions League by Liverpool and failed to clinch the league title – giving up a two goal lead and losing at home to their bitter rivals (Man Utd). The Wolf believed their struggles have not come to an end. They take on a red hot Spurs outfit that have won their last 4 across all competitions – scoring 12 goals along the way. There have been goals galore in their prior encounters with the Overs going 11-2 in the last 13 meetings. There have been an incredible 55 goals in that stretch with 4.23 goals per game and The Wolf cannot get enough on the Overs for this one.
Best: Over 2.5 goals ($1.60)
Value: Over 3.5 goals ($2.60)