The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – March 9
It’s another busy weekend in the sporting world! The Wolf has previews & recommended bets for NRL, AFL, A-League, EPL, NBA, Tennis and Super Rugby.
NRL: South Sydney v New Zealand – (Sat 7pm)
The Wolf has very little faith in the Warriors this season and their statistics against the Rabbitohs don’t lie! Souths have won six straight against New Zealand dating back to 2013, and have posted 30-plus in the last five of those wins with all those wins coming by margins of 17 or greater. The Rabbitohs looked good in the trials (not that we should read too much into that) while the loss of Simon Mannering leaves the Warriors exposed in the middle. Damien Cook will test them all game. The Rabbitohs to cover the -6.5 here.
Best: South Sydney -6.5 ($1.91)
A-League: Western Sydney v Wellington – (Sat 7:50pm)
The Wanderers scored the opening goal for the 5th consecutive time last week but for the third week running failed to collect all 3 points. They can be forgiven for letting leads slip against Sydney FC and the Jets but they should have shut out the Glory. The Wolf says they will not be sacrificing any lead against bottom of the table Wellington. The Nix have lost 4 of their last 5 and failed to score in each of those defeats. The Wanderers are undefeated in the last 5 meetings between the two sides and most recently rolled Wellington by a scoreline of 4-0. Riera has scored 5 in his last 5 so look for him to feature in what will be a comfortable win.
Best: Western Sydney ($1.83)
Super Rugby: Hurricanes v Crusaders – (Sat 5:35pm)
The game of the week takes place between the top two NZ franchises in the Hurricanes and Crusaders. After a slow start to the season with a shock lost to the Bulls, the Hurricanes look to have turned it around last week, accounting for the Jaguares comfortably. The Crusaders on the other hand have looked the clear favourite for the title this season with two dominant wins over the Chiefs and Stormers. The Crusaders look to have a brand of rugby which can adapt to any team they play and playing away from home the Wolf still sees them being too strong for a Hurricanes side with plenty of improving to do. Weight of money has seen an early push to the Hurricanes but the Wolf thinks taking the Crusaders at $2 is the best bet this week and is serious value.
Best: Crusaders WIN ($2.00)
AFL: Sydney v GWS – (Fri 7:40pm)
The Giants and the Swans both made a big statements in Week 1 with 60 and 55 point wins respectively. Buddy was on fire for the Swans, kicking four goals, while Jake Lloyd thrived in a McVeigh-less defence, taking 9 marks and accumulating 26 disposals across half back- though it goes without saying that the young Lions didn’t present the greatest opposition. The Giants didn’t come up against anything particularly impressive either in their game against the Pies, but the midfield in particular shone- streets ahead of their Magpies counterparts. Special praise should be reserved for Dylan Shiel, who spent more time up forward but still racked up 29 disposals, 6 inside 50’s and 9 marks to go along with his two goals. With both clubs naming strong sides, this looks to be a very intriguing preseason game, and the usual Davis v Franklin battle will be one of the highlights of the match.
The Wolf is siding with the Giants on this one, with a couple of injuries for the Swans exposing some more inexperienced players that the Giants are well set up to take advantage of.
Best: GWS WIN ($2.00)
Chelsea v C.Palace – (Sun 2:00am)
To say that Chelsea’s performance against City was embarrassing is an understatement. Conte was clearly more concerned about suffering a demoralising loss rather than trying to earn a valuable point. Now they must deal with a Palace side that have been playing with no fear. Spurs needed a 88th minute strike from Kane to take all 3 points while Man Utd had to come from 2 goals down. Hodgson’s men have found the back of the net in their last 8 away matches across all competitions and will Chelsea in limbo this one is there for the taking. Palace have a fantastic record against the Blues winning the last two meetings and 4 of the last 8. Benteke has been very effective at the point in recent weeks and The Wolf expects him to causer the Blues defence a lot of headaches. The price on offer for Palace is insane!
Value: C Palace WIN ($11.00)
Man Utd v Liverpool – (Sat 11:30pm)
This clash needs no introduction! One of the biggest rivalries in world football resumes and for the first time in a while we see the two most successful clubs in English football back at the top. They sit 2nd and 3rd respectively in the standings and remain alive in the knockout stages of the Champions League. there are a few things that we cannot ignore when these two meet. To begin with there are very few goals. Traditionally they are involved in physical/tactical battles that result in very few chances. The Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings across all competitions and who can forget the dour 0-0 draw they played out at Anfield earlier this season. On that occasion both managers opted to play double holding midfielders and The Wolf says not to be shocked if we see a repeat at Old Trafford. The Reds have won just one of their last 11 at the venue. Furthermore, Man City are the only side to win in the last 42 Premier League fixtures at the historic venue. The Wolf says to be all over the Unders and rates the draw as the value bet.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.90)
Value: Draw ($3.20)