The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – March 2
It’s another busy weekend in the sporting world! The Wolf has previews & recommended bets for A-League, EPL, NBA, Tennis, AFL, Rugby League and Super Rugby.
A-League: Newcastle v Sydney FC – (Sat 5:35pm)
The Sky Blues have passed every test and could virtually end the chase for the Premier’s Plate by getting a result in the top of the table clash. They were supposed to struggle following a midweek ACL encounter in Shanghai and after going down by a goal early on in the Sydney Derby, a response was required. They did more than just respond – they put on a clinic! Mierzejewski and Ninkovic were outstanding but special mention has to be given to the midfield duo of Brilliante and O’Neill. The Jets remain the only side to have scored in every game this season but it is hard to look past Sydney’s 15 game unbeaten run against them (12 wins, 3 draws). Take Sydney in what will be the match of the round!
Best: Sydney FC WIN ($2.15)
Super Rugby: Blues v Chiefs – (Fri 5:35pm)
A cracking encounter between the Blues and Chiefs on Friday evening and the Wolf sees this game representing serious value. Last season the two teams played out a tough draw, however the Chiefs have a dominant record against the Blues winning the last 11 games previous to last season’s draw. Both teams are coming of NZ Derby losses last week at the hands of the Highlanders and Crusaders making this game a near must win. The Chiefs threw two late intercepts against the Crusaders last week making the 45-23 loss seem rather flattering for the Crusaders. They were ahead in the 60th minute of the game playing a grinding style of Rugby which the Wolf feels the Blues will not cope well with this week. Despite this, the Blues have been installed 2.5 point favourites which the Wolf does not agree with and sees plenty of value in the Chiefs getting their first win of the season.
Best: Chiefs +2.5 ($1.95)
EPL: Liverpool v Newcastle – (Sun 4:30am)
Jurgen Klopp cannot ask for more than what he has been getting from his side over the last few weeks. They have scored multiple goals in their last 5 across all competitions and ran riot on Porto and West Ham in each of their last two. The trio of Salah, Mane and Firmino have gone to another level since the departure of Coutinho. They will need to continue that form as Newcastle have caused the Reds some trouble in the past. Liverpool have won only 3 of the last 10 meetings – scoring more than twice in just one of those matches. The Wolf says that will change this time around. Liverpool are undefeated at home in the Premier League this season and have scored a ridiculous 17 goals in their last 5 at Anfield. Newcastle have jagged the odd result away from home but they have lost all 4 away games against top 6 opponents. Liverpool to cement a spot in the top 4 with a convincing win.
Best: Liverpool Over 2.5 goals ($1.80)
AFL: Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn (Sat 2:05pm)
2017 was a year to forget for both clubs, with 10th and 12th placed finishes not good enough for a couple of powerhouses. The preseason saw some high profile arrivals, with the Dogs welcoming Jackson Trengrove, Josh Schache and Hayden Crozier and the Hawks including dashing utility Jarman Impey. With the exit of the Jake Stringer and the delisting of Stewart Crameri, the make-up of the Bulldogs forward line is far from settled- and there will definitely be some teething problems in this preseason fixture. The same cannot be said about the Hawks forwards- with Jarryd Roughead, Jack Gunston, Ryan Schoenmakers, Luke Bruest and Paul Puopolo all elite players who have an incredible understanding of each other, and the Wolf thinks the established line-up is where the Hawks will have the edge.
Best: Hawthorn WIN ($2.15)
Super Rugby: Bulls v Lions – (Sun 2:15am)
The Bulls started the season with an incredible 2 point win over this seasons favourites the Hurricanes as 13 point underdogs. Potentially setting them up as this seasons big improvers. The Lions beat the Jaguares convincingly, moving to 2-0 for the season. The early money has seen the line move from 10.5 to 8.5 with the punters liking the Bulls to cover. Unfortunately for them, the Wolf is very happy with the line move as he really likes the Lions in this one. The Lions have won their past 5 games as away favourites and sees them comfortably winning this one.
Lions by 30+ ($5.50)
A-League: Melbourne Derby – (Fri 7:50pm)
It’s derby time in Melbourne as 3rd hosts 4th. The Victory ended a three game league losing streak with a win over Adelaide last week but will need to be at their best if they are to make it back it back wins over their noisy neighbours. City on the other hand are looking to get back in the winner’s circle following back to back defeats. There have been 3 or more goals in 9 of the last 10 Melbourne derbies so we are in store for a real thriller. City will be without Schenkeveld after he was sent off last week and The Wolf says that is is a void they will not be able to fill. They have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between the two sides and have a clear edge in terms of attacking ability. It is hard to look past the trio of Berisha, Barbarouses and George in what is set to be a goal-a-thon.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals ($1.66)
Value Bet: Over 2.5 & Melbourne Vic WIN ($3.75)