The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – February 23
It’s another busy weekend in the sporting world! The Wolf has previews & recommended bets for A-League, EPL, NBA, AFL, Rugby League and Super Rugby.
A-League: Brisbane v Newcastle – (Sat 5:35pm)
The Jets continue to be the best team in terms of A-League betting. Last week they scored multiple goals for a 7th time in their last 9 away games and this week they will be making it 8 from 10 at Suncorp Stadium. The Roar have allowed multiple goals in their last 7 home games across all competitions including their last two at home to the Jets. The Jets have a surprisingly good record against Brisbane winning 4 of the last 5 meetings between the two clubs. Petratos put on a masterclass last week and The Wolf is expecting his combination with Nabbout to carve up the Roar on the counter.
Best: Newcastle Over 1.5 goals ($2.15)
Charity Shield: St George-Illawarra v South Sydney – (Sat 7:30pm)
The Rabbitohs shouldn’t be underestimated here. They beat a very good Wigan side last week when they were missing the likes of Gagai, Walker, Reynolds, Crichton and Sam Burgess. Gagai, Walker and Sam Burgess have been listed to make their return in the Charity Shield. Recent history also favours the Rabbitohs, with six wins and two draws over the last 10 years of the Charity Shield. There’s no questioning that the Dragons look very strong on paper, but The Wolf is expecting a few teething problems while Gareth Widdop and Ben Hunt work out their new roles in the team. The Wolf is also expecting Damien Cook to terrorise the tired Dragons forwards around the ruck and make sure the Rabbitohs pack gets a good roll-on through the middle. There shouldn’t be much separating these teams at the end of 80 minutes, making the Rabbitohs +6 the best play here.
Best: South Sydney +6 ($1.90)
EPL: Liverpool v West Ham – (Sun 2:00am)
With four of the top 6 sides facing off Spurs playing away from home this is a must win game for Liverpool. They could claim second spot in the ladder, and more importantly, solidify their spot in the top 4. They’ve had plenty of time to rest following their 5-0 win over Porto and have lost just once in the league dating back to October! The Reds have been devastating at Anfield where they are undefeated in their last 15 league games. Liverpool crushed the Hammers back in November and have now put 4 past them in consecutive matches. The Hammers have scored in their last 6 away league games so as has been the case in Liverpool games all season long we will be backing both teams to score.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.90)
Super Rugby: Waratahs v Stormers – (Sat 7:40pm)
Expecting big things from the Waratahs this season and their trial form suggests that their up to it by touching up the Rebels 47-5 and competing strongly at the Brisbane 10s. The Stormers are coming off a strong Round 1 win against the Jaguares at home and looked like a good team in doing so. Young 5/8 Damian Willemse steered the team around well and looks like a Springbok of the future. The Wolf thinks the 8 point line is too big and the stats are there to back it up. The Waratahs only beat the line once as a home favourite all of last season!
Best Stormers +8.5 ($1.90)
EPL: Crystal Palace v Tottenham – (Sun 11:10pm)
Spurs are undefeated in 2018 – a 14 game stretch across all competitions but they cannot afford a repeat of the complacency we saw in a FA Cup draw away to Rochdale. Surprisingly Spurs have drawn their last 5 away fixtures, conceding multiple goals in each of their last three. Palace have lost just 1 of their last 10 Premier League matches at Selhurst Park and have found the back of the net on multiple occasions in 7 of those matches. Benteke is proving to be a very effective target man under Hodgson with Milivojevic and Cabaye more than capable of holding their own in the centre of the park. Palace are huge value in the double chance market and to score more than once.
Crystal Palace Over 1.5 goals ($4.25)
A-League: Sydney Derby – (Sun 7:00pm)
The RBB were left stunned earlier this season when the enemy put 5 past them in one of, if not the most embarrassing performance in Wanderers’ history. Sydney FC have completely dominated this series in recent seasons with 7 wins, 4 draws and just the single loss in the last 12 meetings. Sydney have consistently been able to win the midfield battle and The Wolf expects this one to be no different. O’Neill and Brilliante work harder off the ball than any other duo in the A-League. Their ability to win possession and shut down teams on the counter allow Adrian and Ninkovic to continually find themselves with the ball in wide open space. That will put extreme pressure on the trio of Bonevacia, Carrusca and Lustica. The Wolf doesn’t think they are up for it and if Gombau employs the same tactics as last time we could see a similar result. If this were any other match we could see Sydney FC play a controlled game following a long trip – but not in the derby! Sydney to commit 100% and that means there can only be one result.
Best Bet: Sydney FC WIN ($1.55)
Value Bet: Sydney FC Win Both Halves ($3.40)
AFL: Eagles v Power – Sunday (3.35pm)
The last time these sides clashed, the Power were wiped out in extra time, causing heartbreak in Alberton. After being tagged as ‘flat-track bullies’ for the majority of last year, the inclusions of Jack Watts, Tom Rockliff, Steven Motlop, Jack Trengrove and Lindsay Thomas should go someway towards helping them shake that tag. Dom Barry and Karl Amon are the players who look to have taken their game to another level in the preseason and both will be electrifying to watch in this clash against an Eagles side missing their two spearheads in Nic Naitanui and Josh Kennedy.
Son-of-a-gun Jake Waterman looks ready to break into the Eagles starting 22, finally, and will be keen to make an impression with Kennedy missing, while the club appears convinced Jack Redden can finally produce his best footy for the club after a couple of disappointing seasons.
The Eagles may be at home, but the Wolf is keen on the Power atoning for last year’s finals loss by punishing West Coast by a good margin.
Best Bet: Port Adelaide WIN ($1.70)
Value Bet: Port Adelaide 25+ ($3.75)