The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – January 19
We’re in for a sporting feast this weekend, with soccer, basketball, American Football, cricket, tennis and UFC all on the cards! The Wolf has you covered with his tips and extensive previews.
A-League: Newcastle @ $1.66 (v Wellington) – Sat 5:35pm
The door has been opened for the Jets and a win here would see them close the gap to Sydney FC to just 3 points. They are coming off back to back home wins over the Mariners and Roar and can complete the treble against the A-League’s bottom three sides. The Jets have posted 3 consecutive clean sheets at McDonald Jones Stadium with the Phoenix scoring just a single goal in their last 6 away games. The Nix have the worst away record in the A-League by some margin with 6 losses and 2 draws in their last 8 trips. For the better part of the season the Jets were a goal scoring machine but they have added another string to their bow with their newly found defensive prowess. We’ll be sticking with the Jets at home.
EPL: Teams To Score – Manchester City Only @ $1.83 (v Newcastle) – Sun 4:30am
City’s undefeated run came to an end in an epic against Liverpool but it is not all bad news according to The Wolf. They can now stop worrying about records and focus on what matters most – winning trophies. There is no secret to how the script will play out in this one. When they met at St James Park during the festive period Newcastle defended their hearts out in a 1-0 loss but holding on at the Etihad will not be as easy. David Silva looks set to return to the starting line up and that means goals galore! The Wolf will be shocked to see Newcastle push any significant amount of number forward but once they concede they will be forced to chase the game. City have scored 11 goals in their last 3 EPL fixtures at home and if they can get on the board early this one could get out of hand for Benitez and his side. With the Magpies set to employ very negative tactics a Man City clean sheet is way over the odds!
NFL: Over 46 points @ $1.91 (Jacksonville @ New England) – Mon 7:05am
The Jaguars will travel to Foxborough as big underdogs and it looks a complete mismatch on paper if you compare Jaguars quarterback, Blake Bortles against arguably the greatest quarterback of all-time, Tom Brady. The Jaguars defeated the Steelers in Pittsburgh for a second time this season, but what was even more amazing was the 45-points they put on them. Most of those 45 points came through the power-running of rookie running back Leonard Fournette, who rushed for 109 yards from 25 carries and crossed for three touchdowns. The Patriots should have success limiting the effectiveness of Fournette on the ground, especially with the likely return of Alan Branch. Titans running back Derrick Henry could only manage 28 yards from his 12 carries in last week’s divisional game against the Patriots. The Jaguars are going to have to throw the ball to stay in the contest and could have some success. Patriots cornerback Malcolm Butler is an outstanding player, but he can exposed as well. He gave up two touchdowns to rookie Titans wide receiver, Corey Davis last week and it could be a match-up that either Dede Westbrook or Marqise Lee looks to exploit. The Wolf is worried about the back door cover by the Jaguars to confidently back the Patriots at the line, but does think this could be a sneaky shootout, at least early on. The overs is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 playoff games and 7-0 in their last 7 playoff home games, while the overs is 5-0 in the Jaguars’ last 5 games following a win and they have now scored 30+ points in five of their last seven games.
EPL: Swansea v Liverpool – Over 4.5 goals @ $4.75) – Tues 7am
The Wolf was very vocal about Liverpool’s goal scoring prowess and it was on full display as they ended City’s undefeated run. Their pressing is the most effective in world football but people have to realise it is also the reason why they are susceptible at the back. Defending from the front leaves holes in the middle of the park which in turn isolates their defenders. They will not be changing their style under Klopp and it is great news for betting. Simply back both teams to score and the Overs – especially in their away games. The Overs is 9-0 in their last 9 away games across all competitions and there have been 5 goals in each of the last two meetings.
Big Bash – Perth Scorchers v Hobart Hurricanes (Sat 9:20pm)
The Perth Scorchers have a 5-2 advantage over the Hobart Hurricanes in their Big Bash encounters. They actually started out losing the first two games to the Hurricanes but have since won the last five matches against them in a row. 2 out of the 3 matches played at the WACA have also been won by the Perth Scorchers. This promises to be a hard-fought match between two of the best teams in the competition. The Wolf thinks that the Scorchers have a weakened attack at the moment and that the Hurricanes batting could really get stuck into them. The Scorchers have the batting to make this close and are beasts at the WACA but the Hurricanes might just edge this one. Getting a better than double return on this bet is just too good an opportunity to pass on.
Best: Hobart Hurricanes ($2.10)
Value: Top Hurricanes Batsman – D’Arcy Short ($3)
IN THE MAIN EVENT OF THE EVENING, two colossus collide as the baddest man on the planet will be decided when reigning heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic looks to make UFC history with 3 title defences. Miocic will need to go through a predator, Francis Ngannou who is arguably the scariest fighter in the UFC right now. Both men are on a streak of four 1st round KO’s & are looking to continue in devastating style. The current Heavyweight Champion Stipe Miocic, has left his mark on the sport with an incredible ability to absorb punishment and constantly push forward. Combine this with collegiate level wrestling and golden gloves boxing skills and there is a real argument for Miocic to be considered one of the best ever. Just four short years ago Francis “The Predator” Ngannou was homeless in Paris, after stumbling into an MMA gym while training to box, his coaches knew where his future should lie and has honed his skills ever since. Since then Ngannou has been ferocious in victory demolishing anyone who has stood in his way. From his debut KO of Luis Henrique, to the beat down he gave Arlovski and lets not forget the highlights of highlight reel KO’s over Overeem. Francis has sent a message to all UFC heavyweights with each bout and will look to extend his UFC resume at 220. Just like the Co-main event, there is a heap of uncertainty and with both men possessing the ability to end the fight with one shot, the only thing guaranteed is fireworks. How great of a grappler is Ngannou? Can he weather a storm? Can Miocic weather Ngannou’s biggest shot? Sunday we find out!
Best: Totals Over 1.5 Rounds ($2.20)
Value: Miocic Round 3 ($15.00)