The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – October 7
The NRL and AFL season may have come to an end but the action continues with the start of the A-League and the NBL. The Wallabies take on Argentina in the Rugby Championship while the American football action continues with both NFL and College football.
A-League: Both Teams To Score @ $1.66 (WSW v Syd FC) – Sat 7:50pm
Is there anything quite like the Sydney Debry… NO! In less than five years it has become the biggest regular season spectacle of any Australian sport and the rivalry and hate for one another is as clear as day. There will be well over 60,000 fans on hand at ANZ Stadium for what will be one of the greatest night’s in the history of the A-League. The Wanderers bring a completely new line up to the table with more than half a dozen changes to their starting XI. The return of Bulut up front is a huge upgrade on Piovaccari and should see the Wanderers win more games on the back of their attack. Sydney on the other hand have made it all about defence. From their matches thus far in the FFA Cup it would seem that it is working. Wilkinson and Zullo will improve what was a weak back four while Brazilian striker Bobo looks to be a class act. They have played out some thrillers in the past and this one will not disappoint. Goal fest!
Rugby Union: New Zealand 13+ @ $2.05 (v South Africa) – Sun 5:30am
The All Blacks are chasing a world record-equalling 17 straight Test victories when they take on the Springboks in Durban to close out their Rugby Championship campaign. New Zealand are 4-1 against the start during the Rugby Championship, finishing just half a point shy of the start last week. South Africa are 1-4 ATS, beating the line for the first time in the competition last week. The All Blacks have won 12 of their last 14 against the Springboks and all of their 2016 RC matches by 19+ points. The world champs’ backline is on fire while it’s difficult to see where the hosts’ tries will come from – particularly with some key men out wide likely to be ruled out. The Kiwis should coast past the 10.5 start in this one, despite having a hostile Durban crowd to deal with.
NBL: Brisbane +5.5 @ $1.90 (v Sydney Kings) – Sat 5:30pm
The Kings are the hype team of the pre-season but with a roster that still has three slots open, a lack of a genuine point and a real size issue. The lack of coaching experience from Andrew Gaze does little to boost confidence. The Bullets have arguably the best coach in the NBL and a well-balanced roster. The Kings covered just 1 of 3 last season when favoured at home by 4 or more. Don’t buy into the fact that the Bullets are on the short turn around. We will fade the Kings until they
NFL: Minnesota -6 @ $1.90 (v Houston) – Mon 4:00am
The Vikings at home are close to the best bet in the NFL. Since 2011 they are 28-15 ATS with covers in 18 of their last 23. They are 8-4 ATS since 2011 when favoured by more than a field goal. The Texans have covered just two of their last eight and are 7-12-1 ATS since 2011 when getting more than 3 points on the road. Houston have covered just 1 of their last 7 on the road to the NFC. Sam Bradford has slotted in nicely, the rotation of McKinnon and Asiata have stepped up in the absence of Peterson. Combine that with the dynamic Stefon Diggs and Kyle Rudolph and you have more than just a legitimate offence. Let’s not forget they also have the number 1 ‘D’ in the NFL. Houston will struggle to post 10 points.
A-League: Handicap Perth -2 @ $5.00 (v Central Coast) – Sat 10:00pm
The Mariners were horrific last season and The Wolf says it will be much of the same story. Defensively they were abysmal and Paul Okon hasn’t had much time with his squad to address it. Tavares and Faty should help strengthen the middle portion of the field but both have a habit of being ill disciplined which could prove costly in at least a handful of matches. They open their season with a travel to Perth where they have a horrific record, losing their last 4 with a combined score of 13-3. Castro and Marinkovic will completely dominate in the middle of the park while Keogh will contribute with the finishing touches. Perth to kick start their season with a big win.
Feature Match Previews
Rugby Championship: Argentina v Australia – Sun 1:05am
Australia are aiming to end a largely disappointing Rugby Championship campaign on a high when they take on Argentina on the hallowed turf of Twickenham. The teams have met 26 times previously, with Australia winning 20 Tests to Argentina’s five, with one match drawn. The Wallabies have won both encounters at neutral venues, at the 1991 and 2015 World Cups – including a 29-15 semi-final result at Twickenham in last year’s tournament. The Wallabies prevailed 36-20 in Perth last month. The Wallabies will be disappointed with last week’s effort after making up some much-needed ground during their home schedule against South Africa and Argentina. But they should find the going much easier against a flighty Pumas outfit at a neutral venue – where Michael Cheika’s team has enjoyed some recent success – this weekend. The Pumas struggle keeping their minds on the job for 80 minutes, and if the Wallabies can at least hold their own in the lineouts and at scrum time, they should be able to rack up a comfortable win with more space out wide than they were afforded last week.
Best: Australia -6.5 ($1.90)
Value: Australia 11-15 ($6.00)
Super League: Warrington v Wigan – Sun 4:00am
Warrington won two of the three meetings this season. The Wolves won 28-16 and 40-10 in April before Wigan won 35-28 just three weeks again in Warrington. Wigan though have won 7 of the last 10 meetings dating back to the 2013 decider. In the year of the drought-buster, Warrington’s long title absence should come to an end. The Warriors have been hit hard by injury and it is hard to see them being able to hold out a talented Warrington side. The Wolves have bested the Warriors this year and will send out a far more formidable side, particularly up front, where they are experienced and talented. This is the Year of the Wolves.
Best: Warrington WIN ($1.87)