The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – October 27
It’s a huge weekend across the board with loads of football, a stack of NFL games and non-stop action in the NBA.
EPL: Teams To Score – Arsenal Only @ $2.00 (v Swansea) – Sun 1:00am
The Gunners posted their biggest win of the season and The Wolf is hoping Wenger will again start with the quarter of Sanchez, Ozil, Lacazette and Ramsey. They were absolutely brilliant in attack and could have won by more! For all the talk about Ozil being lazy his vision and passing is second to none. Moreover, Sanchez is a different player when the German is on the field. Sanchez feeds of Ozil’s understanding of the game and his ability to put together a series of short intricate passes. Arsenal have scored 7 goals in their last two against the Swans so look for them to build on last weeks performance. Swansea have failed to score in 3 of their 4 away matches in the league this season and will again fail to contribute when they take the field at the Emirates.
NFL: Over 50 points @ $1.91 (Dallas @ Washington) – Mon 7:30am
It would be impossible for the Falcons not to have scars after their capitulation in Super Bowl 51. The Falcons raced out to a 28-3 lead before the Patriots led by Tom Brady produced the biggest comeback in Super Bowl history to record an unlikely 34-28 victory. The Wolf is expecting another high-scoring affair in this one. The Patriots defence has allowed 300+ passing yards to every QB they’ve faced this year, while the Falcons will be determined to get their offence flowing after disappointing home losses to the Bills and Falcons. There’s no doubt they’ll have a chip on their shoulder and will want to expose the Patriots struggling secondary like every other team has this season. Overs is 5-2 in the last 7 meeting between these sides, while the Falcons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Wolf is keen on theFalcons with the start and the overs in a shootout.
A-League: Melbourne WIN @ $1.95 (v Central Coast) – Sun 7:00pm
In what is a true reflection of a bad teams the Mariners have taken the lead in all three of their A-League matches this season but have only a single point to show for it! They have conceded 9 goals this season – 4 of which have come in the final 10 minutes of matches. The Victory may be on the same points as the Mariners but The Wolf says not to be fooled by where Melbourne sit on the ladder. They have faced Sydney, Melbourne City and Adelaide – the three sides that The Wolf has joining the Victory in the top 4 heading into the finals. Melbourne were also hindered by the international break with several key players unavailable. Then there is the fact that they have been well in every match they have contested this season. Melbourne have won the last 4 and 10 of the last 11 meetings with the Mariners scoring just a single goals in their last 360 minutes of football against the Victory. Melbourne will start their charge up the standings.
Tennis: Over 23.5 games @ $1.91 (Zverev v Tsonga) – Sat 3:30am
They have met twice over the last year and both matches were absolute thrillers. Both went the distance with the opening set being settled in a breaker each time. Zverev may have had the better season of the two but it is Tsonga who is on fire having won 6 straight matches and storming to the title in Antwerp a week ago. They will again go the distance according to Wolfy and he says those wanting to back a winner should be on Tsonga.
EPL: Bournemouth Over 1.5 goals @ $3.25 (v Chelsea) – Sun 3:30am
The Cherries have been better than their record suggests and they are finally being rewarded for playing good football. The duo of Stanislas and Ibe have given them more potency in attack and we rarely see them fail to score at home. They have scored multiple goals in 6 of their last 10 home games in the league and The Wolf is expecting them to do the same against a Chelsea side that have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 6 matches. With Kante still sidelined The Wolf says we will continue to back Chelsea’s opponents to score multiple goals. The Blues have conceded 2 or more in 3 of their last 4 matches across all competitions. Last week we were on Watford Over 1.5 goals at $4.50 and this week it will be Bournemouth who deliver.
EPL: Man Utd v Tottenham – (Sat 10:30pm)
United suffered their first defeat of the season away to Huddersfield last week while Tottenham crushed Liverpool. The results mean that their are tied on 20 points – 5 adrift off Man City. The script was flipped in the midweek EFL Cup fixtures. A second string Mourinho side won in Swansea while Spurs let a 2 goal lead slip against rivals West Ham. In another blow they may be without star striker Harry Kane after he picked up a hamstring injury against Liverpool. The home team has dominated this matchup in recent seasons winning the last 5 meetings. Scoring at Old Trafford has been a real problem for Spurs who have failed to find the back of the net in their last 3 trips to the venue. The last encounter between them was the first in 6 in which both teams found the back of the net. They are two very disciplined defensive sides and The Wolf is expecting very few goals.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.72)
Value: Both Teams To Score – NO ($2.00)
Pittsburgh @ Detroit – (Mon 11:30am)
It looks like the Steelers have finally worked out the formula for success – give the ball to Le’Veon Bell! Bell carried the ball 35 times for 134 yards in last week’s win over the Bengals and carried the ball 32 times for 179 yards and a TD in the Week 6 win over the Chiefs. Feed the Bell! Big Ben’s woes on the road have been well-documented, but if there is heavy dose of Bell against the Lions, he won’t have to make too many decisions. The Lions are coming off the bye, but were gashed by the Saints running backs for a combined rushing total of 189 yards in Week 6. Lions QB Matthew Stafford should have enjoyed the week off to recover from a rib injury and will realise there is now an opportunity to do something in the NFC North after the collarbone injury suffered by Packers QB Aaron Rodgers. The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Steelers look to have finally found some momentum and should cover in Detroit before heading on bye.
Best: Pittsburgh -2.5 ($1.83)