The Wolf’s Sporting Guide

The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – November 24

It’s Thanksgiving in the US which means non-stop sport all weekend long. On the local front there is no shortage either with the Rugby League World Cup and A-League games over 4 days.

Wolf’s Best

A-League: Under 2.5 goals @ $2.25 (Sydney FC v Brisbane) – Sat 7:50pm
The Sky Blues midweek success will come at a price. In what was a epic 2-1 win over Adelaide in the FFA Cup Final they had Ninkovic, Zullo and Mierzejewski all pull up with injuries. As a result we will see a very patient Sydney FC – there is no way they will push the pace in this one! Buijs, Wilkinson, Brilliante, Bobo and O’Neill all logged 120 minutes of football and after what was already a short turnaround we could see it take it’s toll. The Wolf will not write them off no matter who Arnold starts with and he will give the best side in the country the credit they deserve. He also says to pay no consideration to any prior meetings as this is a very unique scenario. Sydney will be without key attacking players and will be relying on their defence to keep them in this game. The tempo will be slow and measured with the Sky Blues to go forward in limited numbers. It makes the Unders a money play and The Wolf is shocked to see the price on offer!!!

Code Bets

RLWC: Australia-24.5 @ $1.90 (v Fiji) – Fri 7:50pm
Many experts were predicting an Australia v New Zealand semi-final, but someone forgot to hand the script to Fiji. The Fijians caused a huge boilover in their quarter-final, grinding out a 4-2 victory over the heavily-favoured Kiwis. It was one of the greatest upsets in Rugby League World Cup history, but they’ll have to lift again for a daunting semi-final showdown against the Kangaroos. Jarryd Hayne was heavily involved in the win over New Zealand, with 18 runs for 111 metres and would love a strong performance against Australia. Meanwhile, it’s been underrated players like Eloni Vunakece and Viliame Kikau in the Fijian pack, who have been the unsung heroes in Fiji’s success and will be looking forward to the test against the Australian pack. The Kangaroos cruised through their quarter-final clash against Samoa with minimal fuss, shutting out the Samoans by 46-0. Sharks winger Valentine Holmes stole the show, scoring five tries and running for 263 metres. Complacency is the only thing that will stop Australia from recording a comfortable victory over Fiji, who have well and truly exceeded expectations already. Australia have played Fiji five times, with the average winning margin 54 points. It might not be a blowout like that here, but Australia should have no problem covering the -24.5 line.

EPL: Teams To Score – Tottenham Only @ $1.85 (v West Brom) – Sun 2:00am
It has been a weird fortnight for Spurs. They have gone down to two of their biggest rivals in the league (Man Utd and Arsenal) but have managed wins in the Champions League over two of Europe’s best – Real Madrid and Dortmund. The difference… both of those losses came away from home. They return to Wembley where they are undefeated in their last 5 and have conceded just a single goal in their last 3 league games at the venue. They should get back on track against a Baggies side that has not won since the 23rd of August. They have lost their last 4 EPL matches and are having huge difficulty creating goal scoring opportunities. Spurs will be clinical but we could see Kane and co rested late with a midweek fixture away to Leicester.

NFL: LA Rams -2.5 @ $1.87 (v New Olreans) – Mon 8:30am
The Wolf is really looking forward to this clash between two of the heavyweights of the NFC. The LA Rams have already exceeded expectations with their 7-3 record to lead the way in the NFC West, while the 8-2 Saints lead the charge in the NFC South, with running backs Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara tearing it up. Saints cornerback Marshon Lattimore has been spotted in a walking boot at practice and would be a massive out if he can’t take his spot here. The Rams will also be without wide receiver Robert Woods, who has been their best receiver this year. It be up to Sammy Watkins to carry the load in his absence, while Cooper Kupp should see more targets in Woods’ absence. The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, while the Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings against the Rams and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 clashes in LA.

Wolf’s Bolter 

EPL: Chelsea WIN @ $3.25 (v Liverpool) – Sun 4:30am
The Reds were on track to register their 5th consecutive win across all competitions but it all fell apart after they let a 3-0 half time lead go to waste. Chelsea on the other hand were clinical against Qarabag. Moreover Conte was able to give Hazard, Kante and Alonso mark in preparation for this one. Liverpool are undefeated in their last 5 against Chelsea (2 wins, 3 draws) with both teams finding the back of the net in all 5 matches. Chelsea have won 5 of 6 away from home in the league this season and we are seeing Hazard get back to his best in recent weeks. Liverpool may have a great record against top 6 sides but The Wolf refuses to trust a counter-attacking side that cannot rely on it’s defence. Liverpool enjoy when sides take it to them but we will not see that from Chelsea. Conte’s men will set up very compact and that will frustrate Liverpool. He is predicting Chelsea to do a Liverpool on Liverpool by hitting them on the counter. 2-1 Chelsea.

Wolf’s Multi 

A-League: Under 2.5 goals (Sydney FC v Brisbane) | Rugby League: England -4 (v Tonga) | EPL: Leicester WIN (West Ham v Leicester)
Combined Odds: $11.00

Feature Previews

Adelaide v Western Sydney – Sun 7:00pm
The Reds find themselves in a similar difficult position to Sydney FC but with one additional problem – additional travel time. It is tough to bounce back on the best of days but after going 120 minutes with Sydney they were SPENT!!! Michael Marrone will spend some time on the sidelines and The Wolf will be surprised if Matmour and Isaias can back up. Absalonsen didn’t make an appearance midweek meaning he is unlikely to take part just a few days later. There is rarely anything between these two when they face off with 5 of the last 7 ending in a draw. In star contrast this will be the Reds 3rd game in a little over a week and the Wanderers first in over a fortnight. Western Sydney have taken the lead in 5 of their 6 matches this season and just haven’t been able to hold on. They look value and The Wolf is going to back them.
Best Bet: Western Sydney WIN ($2.50)
Value Bet: HT/FT – WSW/WSW ($4.20)

Scotland v Australia – Sun 1:30am
How 2017 will be remembered by Wallabies rugby fans all comes down to this game. The Wolf believes it has certainly been a year of significant improvement for the men in gold and there seems to be positive vibes around the current Wallabies squad. However, if they slip up to Scotland, for the second time this year no less, the knives will be out calling for mass changes heading into 2018.  Scotland were extraordinary last week against the AB’s and as the Wallabies have found out in recent times they are by no means easy-beats. However,  the Wolf is predicting that Stephen Moore’s swansong will be enough to lift Australia after last weeks disappointment and ensure an enjoyable flight back home for the Wallabies.
Best Bet: Australia -4.5 ($1.90)
Value Bet: Koroibete to score Try & Australia WIN ($3.25)