The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – July 28
The Wolf returns with his best bets across all sporting codes for this weekend. He is sticking with the Kangaroos at the line again in the AFL, while points should flow in the NRL clash between the Knights and Dragons.
AFL: North Melbourne +16.5 @ $1.91 (Melbourne) – Sat 1:45pm
North got the job done last week – just – as one of the bets of the season and they are again an outstanding bet here against Melbourne. North are usually at their best when playing in Hobart and they have a remarkable run of domination against Melbourne winning 16 straight dating back to 2007. Melbourne are awful bets when favoured covering just 2 of their last 11 when starting favourite. The Demond have covered just 3 of their last 11 days games and The Wolf has again rolled out all 5 chips for the Kangaroos!
NRL: Over 44 points @ $1.90 (Newcastle v St George) – Sat 3:00pm
The Dragons will be on cloud nine after posting 52 points in their 30-point win over the Sea Eagles last week and will be keen to flex their muscles for a consecutive week. It should be a sunny afternoon in Newcastle on Saturday afternoon and The Wolf is expecting the points to rack up again. The last four matches between the two sides have all topped 48 points incluiding the Dragons come from behind 32-28 win at Kogarah a little over a month ago. The Knights are also a different team at home where they have managed to score 20 or more in 3 of their last 4. They will do their bit and that will endure this total eclipses 50 with relative ease.
Super Rugby: Crusaders 1-12 @ $2.75 (Chiefs) – Sat 5:35pm
It doesn’t get much bigger than this. The two most successful New Zealand franchises in history meet in a blockbuster semi final on a cold Saturday night in Christchurch. Clear your schedules Rugby fans cause this a game cannot be missed. Both teams have redhot rosters and will be hoping it all falls into place come Saturday evening. The Wolf feels that the Crusaders will have the wood in the forwards but the Chefs have more talent out wide. With a bit of rain predicted and the Chiefs having to fly around the world and back twice in an 8 day period the Wolf feels the Crusaders will sneak home in classic finals arm wrestle.
AFL: Rory Sloane 130+ Fantasy Points @ $7.00 (Collingwood v Adelaide) – Sun 3:20pm
Rory Sloane is a bit of a rocks or diamonds fantasy proposition this year but his price of $7 for over 130 is just wrong. Sloane has hit 130-plus seven times this year in 17 games including a 134 in last weeks win over the Cats. He went 152, 139, 143, 132 and 155 through rounds 2-6 before tailing off midway through the season. He was back to his best against the Cats and at this price he is a huge chance!
NRL: Melbourne v Manly – Sun 2:00pm
There is plenty of bad blood between these two and they have been involved in some very big clashes over the last decade including multiple Grand Finals. The Storm will be missing Slater and most likely Cam Smith while the Eagles look to bounce back with Koroisau and Green set to return. The Wolf is very cautious here, especially if Cameron Smith doesn’t take his place in the 17. The Storm have a habit of grinding out results despite the make-up of their side and with the minor premiership potentially on the line, they’ll lift for this one. Take the Storm by a margin of 1-12 and the Manly/Melbourne HT/NT double looks the value play according to The Wolf.
Best: Melbourne 1-12 ($2.90)
Other: HT/NT – Manly/Melbourne ($7.25)
Soccer: Real Madrid v Barcelona – Sun 9:30am
The football feast continues with the ICC in America and fans will get to see El Clasico in July. Barcelona were in complete control against Man Utd in the first half of what ended as a 1-0 win. Neymar, Surarez and Messi put on a clinic with the Catalan club starving the Red Devils of possession for a good 15 minute stretch. United showed glimpses on the counter early but once Barca took control they showed very little. Valverde played a separate 11 in the second half while Mourinho played Pogba, Rashford and Lukaku for all 90 minutes in an attempt to salvage something. Real Madrid on the other hand are coming off an embarrassing loss. They conceded 3 goals in the space of 15 minutes against Man City. They lacked fluency with their passing and with no Ronaldo in the side they were clearly missing that clinical finish up front. Wolfy is surprised to see Barca as outsiders.
Best: Barcelona WIN ($2.50)
Value: Barcelona 2-0 ($19.00)