The Wolf’s Sporting Guide

free expert sports tips

The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – August 5

Get The Wolf’s best bets across all codes this weekend including the NRL, AFL and Super Rugby Final. He also has full coverage of the Olympics with best bets and value bets for over 20 sports!

Wolf’s Best

NRL: Canberra +6.5 @ $1.91 (v Cronulla) – Sat 5:30pm
The Titans delivered as out best last week and we will be taking on the Sharks with our best bet yet again. It’s the match of the round without question with the Sharks hosting the Raiders in a match with plenty of finals implications. The pressure on the Sharks’ winning streak has been alleviated a little while the Raiders need to keep winning to claim a Top 4 berth. The Raiders have covered 7 of their last 9 and gone over in eight of those games. Road underdogs of 7 or less off a win are 33-22 ATS in the last seven rounds of the year since 2011. Road underdogs who scored 50-plus the week prior are 7-3 ATS. Canberra have covered 10 of their last 13 as a road underdog and are 6-3 ATS on the road this year. There is a huge statistical push for the Raiders and with Maloney avoiding suspension and Fifita surviving an injury scare we are certain to get all 6 points up until kick off. The Wolf says we may not need them as the Raiders are a chance of an outright win!

Code Bets

AFL: Carlton +9.5 @ $1.92 (v St Kilda) – Sun 1:10pm
The Blues may not have won since Round 11 but they have shown more than enough ticker in narrow losses to the Eagles, swans and Hawks. St Kilda have put together some sterling form at Etihad Stadium during their recent batch of form, peeling off seven wins in a row there before going down to North last week. Away from Etihad it’s been a very different story with their last away win back in Round 3. It opens the door for Carlton who are in form and deserve a win for their recent efforts. The Blues are more than appealing at the line and are are huge shout of an upset win.

Super Rugby Final: Hurricanes -8 @ $1.90 (Lions) – Sat 5:35pm
The Super Rugby season climaxes this weekend as the Hurricanes host the Lions in Wellington, with both franchises chasing their maiden title. The Hurricanes have been as king to The Wolfpack as the Titans have been in the NRL and in the last game of the season they are money! The Hurricanes hold a 15-4 lead in 19 previous clashes with the Lions, including wins in all nine of their home games in the rivalry. The Hurricanes thumped the Lions 50-17 in Johannesburg in Round 10 – the Lions’ last defeat aside from their second-string line-up’s defeat to the Jaguares in the final round. The Hurricanes romped into the final via big home wins over the Sharks (41-0) and Chiefs (26-9). HURRICANES!!!

NRL: Tigers +6.5 @ $1.91 (v Cowboys)
The Tigers sit just outside the Top 8 and will fancy their chances of knocking off a North Queensland team that is almost certain to be without Thurston for the second week in a row. The Tigers have won five of the last six played at Leichhardt. The last two matches these two have played in Sydney have not topped 20 points making the start on offer for the Tigers very juicy. Add the fact that Thurston will be missing and the Cowboys will definitely struggle to post points. The Tigers are a live show in this one even with Robbie Farah and Luke Brooks sidelined. Big home underdogs are great bets this time of year and the Tigers do lift at Leichhardt.

Wolf’s Bolter

Olympics: Women’s Road Race – Armistead WIN ($5.50) – Mon 1:15am
After a huge performance at the Tour de France The Wolf takes his cycling form with him to Rio for the Olympics. The women will cover 137km in the road race across with two laps of the first circuit and only one of the second. Armistead is the World Champion and a silver medallist 4 years ago. She has altered her training schedule this year in order to cope with the demanding Olympic course and she should be the better for it.  She won back-to-back World Cups in 2014 & 2015 and her sole focus this year, ever since her win in the Aviva Women’s Tour, has been this race.  The Wolf is making her his best bet at good odds.

Wolf’s Multi 

Combined Odds $7.50
NRL: Canberra +6.5 (v Raiders) | AFL: Adelaide -80.5 (v Brisbane)  | Super Rugby: Hurricanes -8.5 (v Lions)
It’s a footy frenzy this weekend and The Wolf is going across the NRL, AFL and Super Rugby.

Feature Match Previews

NRL: Gold Coast v NZ Warriors – Sun 2pm
Jarryd Hayne is back and it will remarkably be this weekend with the Gold Coast Titans as they hope to stay inside the Top 8 in an all-important clash with the New Zealand Warriors. Gold Coast are an NRL-best 14-5 ATS while they are 11-8 over. New Zealand are 9-10 ATS with an 11-8 over record. Gold Coast are 6-0 when leading at halftime this year while New Zealand have played in a record five golden point games this year including three straight. This game has plenty to it with a finals berth on the line and Jarryd Hayne returning to the NRL in what was an astonishing announcement on Wednesday. The Titans deserve favouritism here but they are not overly reliable with expectations on them and it is unclear what role Hayne will play. The safest bet in the match is to take the over, which is always an excellent play in day matches at this time of year and these two have a long history of running up big scores.
Best Bet: Over 44.5 ($1.90)
Other: Either Side Under 6.5 ($2.85)
Konrad Hurrell First Try ($11.00)

Olympics: Men’s 50m Pistol
The Wolf will be all over the Olympics and has found yet another red hot special! This is Jin Jongoh’s main event! He is the two time defending Olympic gold medalist, won the 2014 World Championships with a world record score and is a mile in front of his competitors in the world rankings. Ukranian Oleh Omelchuk won the lead in event in Rio and has been his main competition in recent years. Two time World Champion Zhiwei Wang will be right in the mix while India’s Jitu Rai continues to climb the rankings on the back of some very consistent results. They won’t be catching Jongoh in this event.
Best: Jin Jong-oh ($3.00)
Value: Wang Zhiwei ($5.50)