The Wolf’s Sporting Guide – August 25
It all goes on the line in the final round of the AFL while in the world of tennis the young guns try to upstage the old faithful at the US Open.
AFL: Fremantle +42.5 @ $1.91 (v Essendon) – Sun 1:10pm
Despite coming off back-to-back 100 point losses, Fremantle are the best of the week getting a big start interstate to Essendon. The Bombers could well tighten up here and they are certainly the easiest opposition the Dockers have faced in recent weeks. Fremantle have covered 7 of their last 9 day games and have also won 4 straight against the Bombers. Essendon are poison as a favourite at the Dome going 7-20 ATS and simply cannot be trusted!
NRL: South Sydney +14 @ $1.91 (v Melbourne) – Sat 5:30pm
It’s not often that we take on the Storm but The Wolf says that there are more than enough angles to make Souths at the line a good bet. To begin with the Storm have clinched the minor premiership and despite all of their stars being named The Wolf is adamant we will see at least one or two late withdrawals. Melbourne have covered just 1 of their last 4 as a home favourite of 12.5 or more while Souths have covered 7 of their last 10 matches interstate. The total has failed to top 34 points in 11 of the last 12 meetings. A low scoring encounter makes the start even bigger.
EPL: Both Teams To Score – YES @ $2.05 (Man Utd v Leicester) – Sun 2:30am
Leicester’s energy levels have been incredible so far this season! Vardy is back to his best and Mahrez looks to have his confidence back. United did the double over Leicester last season but the history between the two makes for interesting reading. Since Leicester returned to the top flight in 2014 the pair have played 7 times across all competitions. Both teams have scored in 6 of the 7 matches with at least 3 goals in 5 of them. The Foxes have also found the back of the net in 6 of their last 7 away EPL fixtures. They have also scored in each of their last 4 trips to Old Trafford. On the back of those stats The Wolf is shocked at the prices on offer in this one!
EPL: Man City Over 3.5 goals @ $3.80 (v Bournemouth) – Sat 9:30pm
With Afobe and King up front Bournemouth have been playing very direct and The Wolf expects that trend to continue at home this week. It is a tactic which has failed them against City though with the Manchester club winning it’s last 4 against the Cherries. City have been completely dominant in those encounters with a combined score of 15-1 across the 4 matches. The Wolf cannot get enough of the Silva/Aguero combination and says this could be the match where City explode.
NRL: Penrith v St George – (Sun 4:00pm)
The Panthers are an outside chance of finishing in the Top 4, while the Dragons season could be over with a loss at the foot of the mountains on Sunday. Matt Moylan is out for the Panthers with a hamstring injury, while Dragons centre Euan Aitken has been ruled out for the year due to a shoulder injury. The Dragons have won three straight against the Panthers but the pair haven’t played in Penrith since 2014. The Panthers have in fact won the last three clashes at home and are riding a 7 game win streak. Seven of the last eight matches have failed to top 35 points and this one will be no exception. It’s finals football come early! Penrith to get home in a low scoring affair.
Best: Penrith 1-12 ($3.00)
Other: Under 40.5 ($1.88)
AFL: Richmond v St Kilda (Sun 3:20pm)
A mammoth game for the final round with Richmond fighting for a Top 4 spot and St Kilda needing to win to be any chance of playing finals footy. St Kilda have won the last two matches against Richmond including a 67-point thumping in Round 16. They have also covered four straight against the Tigers. The Wolf has labelled the Under in this game as the top total bet of the week. The Tigers have some huge under angles at play here while the Saints are a big under team as a notable outsider in Melbourne. The Tigers are 11-4 Under in Melbourne after keeping an opponent to under 60 points and 9-3 after scoring 120 or more themselves. St Kilda’s runaway win in their last meeting and the enormity of this game should see defence reign supreme.
Best: Under 169.5 points ($1.88)
Prop: Seb Ross 110+ Fantasy Points ($2.40)