EPL Preview – Gameweek 37

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EPL Gameweek 37

Tottenham’s title hopes came to an end with a loss against West Ham last week and Chelsea can now claim the title with a win away to West Brom. Liverpool, Arsenal and Man City continue their battle for the final two Champions League spots while Mourinho is set to rest several stars with his side now dedicating all resources to the Europa League – their last chance at qualification for the Champions League next season. Several sides have little to play and The Wolf says we should see some surprising scorelines as a result.

Feature EPL Match Previews

West Brom v Chelsea – (Sat 5:00am)
Spurs loss to the Hammers last week ended the chase for the title and this will be nothing but a celebration for Chelsea. A win for the visitors will secure their 6th Premier League title and second in three years. Chelsea have been a model of consistency since Roman Abramovich purchased the club. This will be the 12th time in the last 14 seasons that they have finished in the top 3 and credit must go to Antonio Conte who was able to turn things around following a very rough start to the season. Back to back losses against Liverpool and Arsenal sounded alarm bells but the Italian rallied his troops and the 14 game win streak that followed allowed them to take control. They haven’t looked back since and will look to close out in style. The Wolf says they will not have it all their own way. West Brom have won 3 of their last 5 Premier League game at home to Chelsea, have found the back of the net on all 5 occasions with a total of 9 goals in that stretch and have scored multiple goals in 3 of their last 4 at home to the Blues. Both teams to score is a huge price!
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($2.30)
Value: West Brom Over 1.5 goals ($7.00)

Man City v Leicester – (Sat 9:30pm)
With Arsenal and Manchester United breathing down their necks City responded with arguably their best performance of the season. They had 5 different scorers in a 5-0 win over Crystal Palace and will look to maintain 4th spot by grabbing all 3 points. Leicester’s reign as Premier League Champions will come to an end in a little over a fortnight but they have salvaged what looked like being a horrific season. They were battling to avoid relegation for most of it but 1 loss in their last 14 league games since Ranieri was fired has seen them move into the top half. They were also the last English team standing in the Champions League where they came up just short against Atletico in the quarters. They are undefeated in their last 3 against Man City with 2 wins and a draw and have consistently troubled their more fancied opponents. The Over is 5-3 in the last 8 meetings and with a total of 27 goals in those fixtures The Wolf is expecting the flood gates to open on both ends of the pitch.
Best: Over 3.5 goals ($1.90)
Value: 2nd Half Over 2.5 goals ($3.00)

Stoke v Arsenal – (Sun 2:30am)
Are Arsenal about to get out of jail yet again… A month ago The Wolf had completely written off their chances of making the top 4 but a miraculous turn around in form and some help from their rivals has put them right back in the hunt. They benefited from Man Utd resting players for their Europa League clash and found goals in the second half from Sanchez and Giroud against Southampton midweek – all after the saints had taken points off Liverpool at Anfield. The Gunners have won 4 of their last 5 in the league but their away for is concerning having lost 5 of their last 7. What is even more concerning is the fact that Stoke has been far from a happy place to travel to. Arsenal have walked away will all 3 points in just 1 of their last 8 trips to Stoke (lost 4, drawn 3) and it is their second worst win % away from home behind their travels to Old Trafford. Surprisingly the Gunners have failed to find the back of their net in 3 of their last 4 away to Stoke which makes it hard to understand how they can be so short in betting. The Wolf will be taking the Potters in the double chance market.
Best: Double Chance Stoke or Draw ($2.10)
Value: Under 2.5 goals ($2.35)

West Ham v Liverpool – (Sun 11:15pm)
Reds fans will be biting their nails and grinding their teeth over the coming weeks with a all important top 4 finish right in the balance. They have been their own worst enemy with two draws and a loss in their last three games at home. What’s worse is that those results were against Southampton, Palace and Bournemouth. They really should have solidified a top 4 finish and playing on the road might actually help them. They have won their last 3 away games in the league and maintained clean sheets in their last two, something which they have struggled to do all season long. The goals have dried up with just 5 goals in their last 5 games with the Under going 5-2 in their last 7 away matches. With the Hammers coming off 3 consecutive clean sheets and a win over Tottenham The Wolf is predicting Liverpool to drop points yet again!
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($2.05)
Value: Draw ($3.80)

Tottenham v Man Utd – (Mon 1:30am)
Spurs 9 game win streak and title chase came to an end last week in a 1-0 loss to London rivals West Ham. Man Utd also suffered defeat after Mourinho played a second string side against Arsenal. With the top 4 now out of reach we will see him commit all resourced to the Europa League final where victory would give them automatic qualification to next season’s Champions League. That means no Pogba, Rashford, Mkhitaryan, Bailly or Valencia. It also means a gift 3 points for a Tottenham side that is undefeated in the league at home this season. They have won their last 13 EPL fixtures at White Hart Lane, maintaining a clean sheet in 9 of those matches. Pochettino’s side may have secured a spot in the UCL for next season but that does not mean they will switch off. This is their last home game of the season and they will want to give their fans one last flawless performance. Sides managed by Jose Mourino haven’t scored away to a top 6 side since January 2015- that’s 7 matches. The Wolf says Spurs will extend that run to 8!
Best: Tottenham WIN ($1.72)
Value: Teams To Score – Tottenham Only ($2.70)

Best Bets

Best: Man City v Leicester – Over 3.5 goals ($1.90)
Value: Teams To Score – Tottenham Only ($2.70)

Results

Best Bets
Gameweek 35: 5-5
Gameweek 35 ROI: 101.5%
Overall: 129-159
Overall ROI: 91.21%

Value Bets
Gameweek 35: 3-7
Gameweek 35 ROI: 124%
Overall: 74-214
Overall ROI: 92.47%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 91.84%