EPL Preview – Gameweek 33

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EPL Gameweek 33

Chelsea maintained their 7 point gap at the top with a win over Bournemouth but will have a much tougher time this week when they travel to Old Trafford. Spurs will look to keep the pressure on with another home win while the writing is on the wall for Arsene Wenger. A loss away to Middlesbrough could very well be the final straw. The Wolf breaks down all of the action for Gameweek 33.

Feature EPL Match Previews

Tottenham v Bournemouth – (Sat 9:30pm)
Spurs continue to put the pressure on Chelsea and they continue to be free money at home. They have won their last 7 across all competitions and extended home win streak in the league to 11. The records continue to tumble for Pochettino’s men. They are 16 games unbeaten at home in the Premier League with 10 clean sheets along the way. Their +21 goal differential at home reflects just how good they have been at White Hart Lane and they are also set to finish on top of rivals Arsenal for the first time since 1995 – a nice bonus for the fans. Bournemouth fought their way to a point at Anfield last week but have just a single goal in their last 3 meetings against Spurs. Harry Kane made his return off the bench last week and The Wolf says he will no doubt find his way onto the score sheet. With 5 first half goals in their last two games look for the hosts to make another quick start.
Best: Teams To Score – Tottenham Only ($2.20)
Value: 1st Half Tottenham Goals Over 1.5 ($2.85)

Southampton v Man City – (Sun 02:30am)
The Saints have left it late but are playing some of their best football. Their only loss in their last 5 came away to Spurs and they are coming off back to back wins over Palace and West Brom. They can thank their defence for the improvement and their 37 goals conceded gives them the 6th best defensive record in the league. City ended their winless run with a win over Hull but again conceded a nothing goal late on. One thing we have come to learn this season is that City love to make it a shootout – especially on the road. There have been 55 goals in their 16 away games this season at an average of almost 3.5 goals per game. Both teams have found the back of the net in 9 of the last 11 meetings with the same amount producing at least 3 goals. The Wolf says we will keep things simple- both teams to score in a game that could produce in excess of 4 goals.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.61)
Value: Over 3.5 goals ($2.75)

West Brom v Liverpool – (Sun 10:30pm)
Wolf followers will still be trying to figure out how out Stoke double chance bet against Liverpool last week got rolled. Down by a goal Jurgen Klopp brought on his  two stars Coutinho and Firmino – and boy did they deliver. A goal each within minutes put Liverpool ahead but The Wolf saw too many flaws in their performance to think that they could do it again. The Baggies have won 4 of their last 6 at home in the EPL while Liverpool have managed just the single win in their last 6 trips. The Reds have not won at The Hawthorns in the league since 2011 with 3 draws and one loss since. Liverpool have managed just two goals at the venue in those 4 games and The Wolf says there is no reason for them to be odds on in betting. With both teams finding the net in 72% of Liverpool league matches we will again stick to the trends.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.72)
Value: Draw ($3.75)

Man Utd v Chelsea – (Mon 1:00am)
The bitter rivalry that is Man Utd versus Chelsea resumes and it is one that the Blues have dominated in recent seasons. Chelsea are undefeated in their last 12 across all competitions against United and it comes on the back of their defence. The Unders is 8-2 in the last 10 encounters with the Red Devils managing just 3 goals in that stretch. The Wolf says those scoring woes will continue as United have averaged little over 1 goal per game at Old Trafford this season. They have won only 6 of their 16 games at home and a stadium that used to be a fortress is anything but. Under Mourinho the Red Devils have struggled to break down sides who employ defensive tactics. Chelsea will do exactly that – set up nice and compact at the back and use their counter attacking prowess. It is amazing that United have gone 21 games unbeaten in the league and have still failed to break into the top four. The reality is that you have to score goals to succeed in the Premier League and they have failed to do so on a consistent basis. We will be lucky to see more than a single goal.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.60)
Value: Under 1.5 goals ($3.00)

Middlesbrough v Arsenal – (Tue 5:00am)
Arsenal’s top 4 chances went down the drain with the loss to Crystal Palace and the Arsene Wenger saga continues. The Wolf has been of the opinion that the Gunners should keep him but with the long serving manager failing to accept the offer put forward to him he is starting to change his thoughts. Sanchez and Ozil will definitely leave in the summer and they will miss out on the Champions League for the first time in memory. In theory the loss of Wenger would only magnify the problem and they would barely be able to attract any sort of quality to the club without him. That was the view of Wolfy but after some of their recent performances it appears that Wenger has lost the dressing room! They lack energy and any sort of determination and have 4 wins in their last 14 (two of which came against inferior FA Cup opposition). Historically Arsenal have come up trumps in the closing two months of the season but they will fail this time around. Middlesbrough have conceded fewer goals than the Gunners this year which further highlights just how bad they have been. With Arsenal losing their last 4 away matches in the league and conceding 3 goals in each of those matches we would be crazy to have a cent on them!
Best: Double Chance Middlesbrough or Draw ($2.35)
Value: Middlesbrough Over 1.5 goals ($4.30)

Best Bets

Best: Teams To Score – Tottenham Only ($2.20)
Best Value: Southampton v Man City – Over 3.5 goals ($2.75)

Results

Best Bets
Gameweek 32: 5-5
Gameweek 32 ROI: 87.60%
Overall: 115-148
Overall ROI: 86.16%

Value Bets
Gameweek 32: 1-9
Gameweek 32 ROI: 26%
Overall: 68-195
Overall ROI: 92.46%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 87.65%