EPL Preview – Gameweek 28

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EPL Gameweek 27

A split round this week with EPL and FA Cup action. Man City kick things off with an unusual Thursday game while Liverpool look to build on their win against Arsenal when they host Burnley.

Feature EPL Match Previews

Man City v Stoke – (Thur 07:00am)
With 5 goals in his last 3 matches for City, Aguero is BACK! City are undefeated in their last 9 across all competitions and are finally starting to look like the offensive juggernaut we expected leading into the season. The Wolf doesn’t want to say this but there best player this season has been a man that he has been super critical of in the past – Raheem Sterling. The English international has been a huge beneficiary of Pep’s style and has been able to consistently find himself in advances positions. He has improved his decision making and although still below a world class level, his finishing has also improved. In what is a busy schedule, Guardiola will play a full strength side in this one before resting his stars in the FA Cup tie against Middlesbrough so that they can be ready for the return leg against Monaco in the UCL. Stoke were money for the Wolfpack at home to Boro last week but away from home they are in trouble. The Potters have lost 5 of their last 6 away from home, have failed to score in their last two away games and have conceded 17 goals in their last 4 against top 6 sides (Spurs, Chelsea, Liverpool, Arsenal). Stoke have struggled against City in the past conceding 4 goals against them in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The Etihad Stadium crowd will have plenty to cheer about.
Best: Both Teams To Score & Man City WIN ($2.80)
Value: Man City Over 3.5 goals ($3.20)

Everton v West Brom – (Sun 2:00am)
One result can have a huge bearing on a teams season and Everton’s loss to Spurs last week would have hurt. Liverpool’s win over Arsenal means they are now 8 points adrift of 4th place and with matches against the Reds and Man Utd in the coming weeks this is a must win. The Wolf says despite playing at home they will be up against it. The Baggies are undefeated in their last three trips to Goodison Park with a win and two draws. They have shut Everton out in all three of those matches and their defence away form home has been a feature yet again this season. They have lost just 5 games on the road this season and the 17 goals conceded in away games is 5th best in the EPL. West Brom will be tough to break down and The Wolf says we will get great value backing the draw.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.70)
Value: Draw ($3.60)

Liverpool v Burnley – (Mon 2:00am)
Jurgen Klopp would probably prefer to play Arsenal again this week or any of the other top 6 sides. After all his side has collected 11 of a possible 15 points against the top sides in 2017 and just 1 of a possible 12 against Sunderland, Swansea, Hull and Leicester – all sides ranked 14th or worse! Maximum points in those games would see them in second place just 3 points behind Chelsea, instead they are battling for a spot in the top 4. The Reds really cannot be trusted in a game like this and anyone taking the $1.22 about them to win is mad according to The Wolf. Burnley have collected a league worst 2 points away from home this season and that is despite finding the back of the net in their last 6 road games. Liverpool have been a model of inconsistency and in fact lost to Burnley earlier in the season. The Wolf says this is a huge danger game for the Reds. There has been no more than 2 goals in 7 of the last 9 meetings between them so don’t be fooled into thinking that Liverpool will put 5 past them. Liverpool 1-0.
Best: Under 3.5 goals ($1.60)
Value: Under 2.5 goals & Liverpool WIN ($3.60)

Best Bets

Best: Both Teams To Score & Man City WIN ($2.80)
Best Value: Under 2.5 goals & Liverpool WIN ($3.60)

Results

Best Bets
Gameweek 27: 3-7
Gameweek 27 ROI: 68%
Overall: 91-127
Overall ROI: 83.13%

Value Bets
Gameweek 27: 4-6
Gameweek 27 ROI: 116.50%
Overall: 53-165
Overall ROI: 84.88%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 84.51%