EPL Preview – Gameweek 26

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EPL Gameweek 26

We have a very interesting week ahead in English football. Several sides are backing up from European commitments while two matches have been postponed to accommodate for the league cup final. The Wolf gives us his rundown of Gameweek 26 and has included a special preview for the EFL Cup Final between Manchester United and Southampton.

Feature EPL Match Previews

Chelsea v Swansea – (Sun 2:00am)
Unlike the majority of other top 6 sides Chelsea have had the luxury of rest. With no UCL, Europa or League Cup commitments to worry about their top players come into this one with a full weeks rest. It’s effectively a fortnight off with their previous match a comfortable 2-0 FA Cup win over Wolverhampton. The Wolf says not to underestimate the value of rest and being able to play a consistent starting XI. Swansea come into this one on the beak of 3 wins in their last 4 but despite their recent goal scoring spree (8 goals in last 4) The Wolf cannot see them breaking through the Blues – especially with Kante and Matic holding fort in the middle of the park. The Swans are undefeated in their last 3 against Chelsea but prior to that Chelsea had won 6 in a row – maintaining a clean sheet in 5 of them. The side has returned to the form that saw them win the title in 2015 and The Wolf expects the result to replicate that. Keep an eye out for Diego Coast as he has scored 7 goals in his 4 matches against the Swans.
Best: Teams To Score – Chelsea Only (1.95)
Value: First Goalscorer – Diego Costa ($3.40)

Everton v Sunderland – (Sun 2:00am)
The Toffees clearly have European aspirations for next season and despite going a stretch of 10 league games with a single win,  their current 8 game unbeaten run has seen them climb to 7th. They have posted wins over Arsenal, Southampton and City since December and have finally found their scoring touch – especially at Goodison Park where they have scored 13 goals in their last 3. Against relegation bound Sunderland they cannot afford to slip up as they did in a 2-0 loss here back in 2015. They have rectified that since with 3 dominant wins, scoring 12 and conceding just twice. The Black Cats have conceded two or more goals in 4 of their last 5 away games in the league and have earned just a single point against top half opponents away from home this season. If Everton get one early they could really run up a score.
Best: HT/FT – Everton/Everton ($2.00)
Value: Everton Over 3.5 goals ($4.80)

Tottenham v Stoke – (Mon 12:30am)
The Wolf continues to be bemused by the inconsistency in Tottenham’s performances. At home they are a juggernaut with 10 consecutive win but it has been a very different story on the road where they have won just 3 of their last 15 across all competitions. Luckily for them they are at White Hart Lane for this one and that spells trouble for Stoke who have lost 4 of their last 5 road league games. Spurs have kept 5 of the last 6 visitors scoreless in the EPL and The Wolf says Stoke will find it tough with several key figures on the sidelines. Xhaqiri and Johnson look set to return but The Wolf doesn’t think they have enough fire power to take points back home with them. Tottenham have registered back to back 4-0 wins over Stoke with Kane and Dle Alli each scoring three times. With the form they have been in Stoke will do well to stop them from scoring! The Wolf loves to back Stoke at home against big opponents but on the road he has advised us to steer clear.
Best: Over 2.5 & Tottenham WIN ($1.85)
Value: Second Half Over 2.5 goals ($3.75)

Leicester v Liverpool – (Tue 7:00am)
The defending champions are in complete shambles in the Premier League and are in serious risk of relegation! The have lost their last 5 EPL matches and failed to find the back of the net in over 600 minutes of Premier League football – almost 7 games. Ranieri has been sacked and wrongly so according to The Wolf. Liverpool ended their winless run with a victory over Spurs and one has to wonder where they would be if they were to improve their results against teams in the bottom half. On what we have seen from Leicester this one will be one way traffic for the visitors but The Wolf says to think again…  Leicester may sit 17th on the ladder with just 21 points but they have lost just 1 of their 6 matches when backing up from the Champions League. They have in fact accumulated 11 of their 21 points in the 6 matches following their UCL commitments and The Wolf says despite the travel from Seville they can take something out of this one. The Reds have won just 1 of their last 5 away matches across all competitions and are a special for dropping points when they start odds on favourites. There are always fewer goals in night matches and on what will likely be a slippery King Power Stadium, The Wolf says there will be a struggle for supremacy. The Under is 4-0 in Liverpool’s last 4 away games and after struggling away to Hull and Plymouth The Wolf cannot see them collecting all three points.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($2.00)
Value: Draw ($3.80)

EFL Cup Final Preview

Man Utd v Southampton – (Mon 3:30am)
We were oh-so close to getting a Man Utd/Liverpool final but the Reds failed to hold up their end of the bargain and Southampton deserve full credit for their performances in the semi final tie. Their defence in this competition has been outstanding and they are yet to concede having posting 5 clean sheet victories – including two against Liverpool and a away win over Arsenal. They will be without Van Dijk and Charlie Austin while for the Red Devils, Phil Jones looks to be the only one unavailable. It will be interesting to see Mourinho’s selections with the short turn around after their trip to Saint Etienne. The pair have traded wins over their last 4 meetings but it is United who have lost just 1 of their last 24 across all competitions. Mourinho has proven to be a master in big game matches in the past and Wolfy says he will again opt to play a very conservative style in a winner takes all match. United should be able to control the match with Pogba and Herrera in central midfield but The Wolf says they will need to be weary of the Saint counter attack. Tadic and Redmond love to attack with speed with Cedric and Bertrand no slouches down the flanks. The Under is 5-2 in their last 7 encounters and with 5 of the last 12 finals going to extra time The Wolf says the value is in the draw.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.66)
Value: Draw ($3.40)

Best Bets

Best: Teams To Score – Chelsea Only (1.95)
Best Value: Everton Over 3.5 goals ($4.80)

Results

Best Bets
Gameweek 25: 7-3
Gameweek 25 ROI: 145.20%
Overall: 84-116
Overall ROI: 83.17%

Value Bets
Gameweek 25: 2-8
Gameweek 25 ROI: 62.50%
Overall: 46-144
Overall ROI: 86.52%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 84.85%