EPL Gameweek 2
The Wolf’s EPL value bets took off where they ended last season – ON FIRE!!! His value bets has a ROI of 195.5%. He tipped us into Swansea ($3.85) said there would be Over 3.5 goals in the Arsenal/Liverpool clash ($3.40) and predicted a 1-1 draw between Middlesbrough and Stoke ($6.50).
This week we will see the start of a new era of for the EPL with early morning (our time) Saturday matches to kick of the round. Manchester United and Southampton will do the honours while the match of the round takes us to King Power Stadium where Champions Leicester will play host to Arsenal. As always The Wolf has given us a best bet and value bet for all 10 matches.
Feature EPL Match Previews
Man Utd v Southampton – (Sat 5:00am)
If the opening match of the season is anything to go by Manchester United fans will have plenty to cheer about as the season goes on. They were dominant in a 3-1 win away at Bournemouth and the only blight on their performance was the fact that they failed to maintain a clean sheet. Outside of that, Ibrahimovic and Rooney both found the back of the net in what looks like a completely different team to the one we have seen since the departure of Sir Alex Ferguson. Zlatan has completely transformed their attack. His presence immediately draws multiple defenders and his ability to play with his back to goal allows United to get numbers forward. That was most evident with Antonio Valencia who looks set to make the right back role his own under Mourinho. He was brilliant going forward and will give the Red Devils an additional outlet in attack that they have been missing. Meanwhile Southampton were caught off guard early by Watford but there were great signs with Tadic and Redmond looking dangerous throughout the match. The Wolf has slight concerns over the Saints defence though. Amrabat was able to consistently get into dangerous positions for Watford last week and he can see much of the same coming from Valencia and co. Mourinho will celebrate his first game as manager at Old Trafford with a win.
Best: Over 2.5 goals and Man Utd WIN ($2.20)
Value: Over 3.5 goals ($3.40)
Stoke v Man City – (Sat 9:30pm)
It may have taken a late own goal from Paddy Mcnair but City were able to grab all three points against Sunderland. If you though Pep wasn’t disappointed by the result, think again. In a midweek UCL qualifier against lowly Steaua Bucharest he not only started Aguero, Silva and De Bruyne – they played virtually the entire game despite being up 3-0 after 49 minutes. Aguero scored a hat-trick and should have had 5 after missing two penalties. Clearly Man City are well behind from where Guardiola wants them to be and on the short turn around Stoke poses a significant threat. Stoke have won 2 of the last 4 encounters against City and winning at The Potters home ground is never easy. This is a genuine clash of styles and Stoke will look to use their advantage in strength and height to trouble City. Stoke came out on fire when these two met here last season and the Wolf is expecting much of the same with the trio of Shaqiri, Bojan and Arnautovic to cause the newly formed City back four huge problems. Stoke are huge value at the double chance!
Best: Double Chance Stoke or Draw ($1.95)
Value: Stoke WIN ($5.00)
Tottenham v Crystal Palace – (Sat Midnight)
If Tottenham are to replicate their performance of last season the first two months is critical. Unlike the two Manchester clubs and Chelsea, they have a settled squad and have retained the same manager. That continuity needs to be maximised early on but it wont be easy with matches against Liverpool and Stoke to follow. Another hurdle they face is a reduced capacity at White Hart Lane as redevelopment is now well under way. On paper Spurs starting XI is as good as any but a lack of depth will be their downfall – especially with Champions League commitments. Walker and Rose will continually look to push forward in order to link up with Eriksen and Lamela which means plenty of supply for Kane. The Wolf says Kane is now a marked man and will not be afforded the same amount of space that he has had. Meanwhile Palace have made headlines in the transfer market. Socceroos captain Mile Jedinak has move to Villa in the Championship and fans has had their say lashing out at Pardew. He did however bring Benteke to the club which is a huge signing and fills a massive void that they had up front. The teams have split the last 4 meetings with two wins a piece and The Wolf is expecting a slow start in this one. Palace were the kings of the 0-0 draw at half time last season and away from home they will most definitely come out very compact and conservative.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($2.00)
Value: 1st Half Correct Score 0-0 ($3.25)
Watford v Chelsea – (Sat Midnight)
Chelsea were far from impressive in a 2-1 win over the Hammers and they looked more than just scrappy at the back. Nevertheless, it was an important 3 points and they will take as many as they can get in the first 6-8 weeks as the team adapts to playing under Antonio Conte. They lacked cohesion in attack and what concerned The Wolf more was their lack of composure at the back – something that will have to become a strength if they are to succeed under Conte. To those who don’t know any better the $1.75 about Chelsea looks value. The Wolf says think again and says they should be closer to $2.50! Watford were very dangerous in patches against the Saints last week with Amrabat and Holebas providing very dangerous overlapping runs while combination of Deeney and Ighalo will again reap plenty of rewards in front of goal. The centre of midfield is their weakness so look for Chelsea to play through the middle third with Willian and Hazard. The teams have met three times at Vicarage Road in the Premier League with Chelsea managing just a single victory. The Wolf says we will turn a significant profit laying Chelsea on the road in the first 6-8 weeks and it will all start against Watford.
Best: Team Total – Watford Over 0.5 Goals ($1.57)
Value: Double Chance Watford or Draw ($1.95)
Burnley v Liverpool – (Sat Midnight)
Jurgen Klopp has evidently made use of his first full off season at Anfield. we saw the style that they will play this season – loud and clear! Like all Klopp teams, the Reds will defend from the front and really press the opposing defenders. As a result they will keep a very high defensive line which will allow them to maximise the numbers in the opposition half in order to force turnovers. Very few teams in the league will be able to counter this. To do so you need to have the ability to string together a series of short passes, and do so quickly. Speed is also a key factor and Burnley have neither and that spells trouble. Liverpool will be one of, if not the highest scoring team in the EPL this season. Their dynamic attack will cut through a Burnley midfield that genuinely struggle to create any goal scoring opportunities whatsoever. Jones and Marney will be run off their feet in the centre of the park.
Best: Liverpool -1 ($2.35)
Value: Team Total Liverpool Over 2.5 goals ($3.10)
Leicester v Arsenal – (Sun 2:30am)
This is without doubt the match of the round and it may be just the second week of the season but both sides are already under pressure. Leicester were the first defending champions to lose their opening game of the season while over at Arsenal the knives are already out. A opening round defeat to Liverpool has resulted in even the most loyal Arsenal supporters asking questions. Wenger has spent next to nothing in the transfer market and has again failed to sign a marquee striker. The manager doesn’t want to fork out the money required for Lacazette but as Thiery Henry said “you have to pay”. Just one man has scored 20 goals in a season for Arsenal in the last decade and that man was RVP. The story lines have only added to this one and if last seasons encounters are anything to go by we are in for a treat. The Gunners did the double on Leicester last season, have won 3 in a row against them with the games yielding a total of 13 goals. The Wolf is expecting a huge bounce back from Arsenal and has them winning this one by multiple goals.
Best: Arsenal WIN ($2.40)
Value: Over 2.5 goals and Arsenal WIN ($3.20)