EPL Preview – Gameweek 9

EPL Gameweek 9 Preview and Tips

Can anyone catch a rampant Manchester City… With Chelsea getting the wobbles and Spurs hosting Liverpool we could see the Manchester clubs skip away at the top.

EPL Match Previews

Chelsea v Watford – (Sat 10:30pm)
This shapes as a real danger game for Chelsea. In Kante’s absence they went down away to Palace in the league last week and let a 2-0 lead slip in the UCL midweek. Conte admitted that he got it wrong against Roma so we are unlikely to see Luiz in midfield again. Not that he played poorly – after all he did put them ahead, it just meant that they had fewer options out wide as Bakayoko and Fabregas are also central players. They looked a much better side when Pedro and Willian came on while Morata’s earlier than expected return is also a positive. Continuity was the key to Chelsea’s success last season and we have already seen the effect that injuries can have. Watford are no slouches either. They sit 4th on the ladder, 2 points ahead of the Blues and deserve more credit than they are getting. Their only loss came at the hands of a rampant Man City and last weeks come from behind win over Arsenal further highlights that they are a genuine top 8 side this season. Chelsea may be undefeated in their last 12 across all comps against Watford but The Hornets have more than made it interesting. They took the lead at Vicarage Road last season and scored 3 times in a loss at The Bridge. Watford are undefeated away from home in the EPL this season (3 wins and a draw) and have scored multiple goals in all four of those game. Richarlison has been outstanding on the left wing and his combination with Holebas continues to create an abundance of goal scoring opportunities. The Wolf has them finding the back of the net more than once and that will be good enough for at least a point.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.90)
Value: Watford Over 1.5 goals ($4.50)

Huddersfield v Man Utd – (Sun 1:00am)
Aaron Mooy’s Huddersfield have been hit by Premier League reality. After winning their opening two games they have registered 3 draws and 3 losses since – finding the back of the net just once in a 6 game stretch. That goalless drought is set to continue when they host a Mourinho led United that have maintained 7 clean sheets in their 8 league games. Many have been critical of the ‘defensive’ tactics but The Wolf has praised them. Any side that can go to Anfield and maintain a clean sheet deserves to walk away with a result. With a busy schedule ahead that includes matches against Tottenham and Chelsea we should see them continue with the same tactics away from home. Huddersfield have not shown enough in attack to convince The Wolf that they can break down a tactically proficient United defence. Rashford limped off against Benfica and is likely to miss out. The Wolf says we will back the Unders in Man Utd road games until Pogba and co return.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.90)
Value: Under 2.5 goals & Man Utd ($2.85)

Man City v Burnley – (Sun 1:00am)
We could be hearing cries of ‘pray for Burnley’ by half time in Man City turn up and are in the mood. They have scored 24 goals in their last 5 league games including a 7 goal clinic at home to Stoke a week ago. They looked just as good in the opening 20 minutes against Napoli before switching off. As if they needed any more help they will be boosted by the return of Aguero – the best striker in the Premier League according to Wolfy. Guardiola will not be taking Burnley lightly. They are undefeated in their last 6 league games and have taken points away to Chelsea, Spurs and Liverpool already this season. They have done so on the back of their defence and the Under is 7-0 in their last 7 EPL fixtures as a result. All of these facts are reason why we will see City at their very best! The midfield of De Bruyne, Silva, Sane and Sterling have been in some mood which will provide the Aguero/Jesus combination with an unlimited amount of goal scoring opportunities.
Best: 1st Half Man City Over 1.5 goals ($2.10)
Value: Man City Over 4.5 goals ($3.50)

Everton v Arsenal – (Sun 10:30pm)
The hole at Everton continues to get deeper. They sit 16th in the league and after a loss at home to Lyon and all but done in the Europa League. The Toffees have won just 2 of their last 12 across all competitions and have averaged less than one goal per game in that stretch. The only positive for them is that Arsenal are also having their own struggles. The Gunners slipped out of the top 4 after a loss away to Watford and have managed just a single away league goal this season (4 matches). Nevertheless, Wenger’s side have a good record against Everton and head to Goodison Park have won 4 of their last 5 EPL encounters. Ronald Koeman has not been able to find a solution for his sides scoring woes and The Wolf simply cannot have a piece of them at the moment. Arsenal will dominate the stat sheet in terms of chances created and if they can convert them they will be winning by multiple goals.
Best: Arsenal WIN ($1.90)
Value: Handicap Arsenal -1 ($3.40)

Tottenham v Liverpool – (Mon 2:00am)
Spurs are the real deal! They are undefeated in their last 10 competitive matches and are coming off a draw against Real Madrid at the Bernabeu in a match they very well could have won. The biggest hurdle they face this weekend is history. It has been 11 meetings since they have won against Liverpool and they have managed just the one goal in their last 4 league games at home to the Reds. In addition, there is no hiding the fact that Liverpool have collected more points against the top 6 sides than any other team in the league over the last few seasons. Tottenham will dominate possession and that will suit Liverpool who like to maintain a high press and hit on the counter. There are always question marks over the Liverpool defence especially away from home where they have conceded 11 goals in their 4 away games this season. If Liverpool can be the first team to score we are in store for a beauty!
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.50)
Value: HT/FT – Liverpool/Draw ($15.00)

Best Bets

Best: Chelsea v Watford – Both Teams To Score YES ($1.90)
Best Value: Man City Over 4.5 goals ($3.50)

Results

Best Bets
Gameweek 8: 5-5
Gameweek 8 ROI: 84.1%
Overall: 37-43
Overall ROI: 90.21%

Value Bets
Gameweek 8: 3-7
Gameweek 8 ROI: 76%
Overall: 12-68
Overall ROI: 62.91%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 76.56%