EPL Gameweek 7
The Premier League ladder is starting to take shape… City, Man Utd, Chelsea, Liverpool, Arsenal and Spurs all had wins last week but will all of them backing up from European commitments things may not go according to plan this weekend. Chelsea host top of the table City in the match of the round before we head into yet another dreaded international break.
EPL Match Previews
Huddersfield v Tottenham – (Sat 9:30pm)
The fairy tale start wasn’t going to last forever for Huddersfield but they have done well to hang in there. Losing in the EFL Cup is always a positive for teams like Huddersfield according to The Wolf as staying in the Premier League should always be priority one! They are in a great position to survive and theur defence is looking very reliable. Despite no wins in their last 4 and only 5 goals scored in their 6 games they are holding down a spot in the top half. They have conceded only 3 goals which gives them the 3rd best defence behind the two Manchester clubs. The line of Schindler, Zanka, Lowe and Smith will face their toughest test yet with the Mooy v Eriksen matchup to be a real eye catcher. Eriksen didn’t play in the midweek UCL win over APOEL due to illness but will be back on hand for this one. Kane bagged a hat-trick midweek to add to his brace against the Hammers and looks to have finally hit his straps. The Under is 5-0 in Huddersfield’s last 5 league games and until a side can put them to the sword we will have to give their defence the respect it deserves.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($2.05)
Value: 1st Half Draw ($2.35)
Bournemouth v Leicester – (Sun 12:00am)
Leicester have played much better football than what they have to show for it. A Vardy missed penalty was the latest thing to cost them points but The Wolf says to stick with them. The fact that they are scoring goals against the top sides is a great sign. In their four games against Arsenal, Man Utd, Chelsea and Liverpool they scored a total of 6 goals – more than what some of the top sides would score in the same stretch of games. Bournemouth have lost 5 of their 6 league games this season with Surman and Gosling unable to win the midfield battle. Stanislas added plenty to their attack in his return last week but The Wolf has concerns over the Cherries ability to slow teams town in the centre of the park. He says this will be the start of a Leicester resurgence and rates them as one of the value bets of the week!
Best: Leicester WIN ($2.50)
Value: Leicester Over 2.5 goals ($5.00)
Man Utd v C. Palace – (Sun 12:00am)
This one is a tale of two tapes… United are firing on all cylinders while Palace are turning up to gun fights without a weapon and no body armour to speak of. A draw away to Stoke is the only blemish on a otherwise perfect start to the season for Mourinho’s men. Their 6 wins in the league have all come with a clean sheet with a total of 10 goals scored in their 3 games at home. Old Trafford has returned to the fortress it once was with the combination of Lukaku and Mkhitaryan on fire. For Palace things have gone from bad to worse. Hodgson was supposed to be the Selhurst Park saviour but a 5-0 thumping at the hands of Man City will not have helped team morale. They are yet to find the back of the net in the Premier League and with back to back matches against Man Utd and Chelsea that will not be changing. With the international break to follow there will be no holding back from Mourinho in this one. The direction will be to put the pedal to the metal for the full 90 minutes.
Best: Teams To Score – Man Utd Only ($1.55)
Value: Man Utd Over 4.5 goals ($7.00)
Stoke v Southampton – (Sun 12:00am)
Since gaining promotion to the Premier League back in 2008 Stoke has finished no worse than 14th and have in fact finished in the top half in 3 of the last 4 seasons. They have done so on the back of their defence, conceding just over 50 goals per season (2013-16), but this year they have failed to live up to the billing. They have already conceded 10 goals and have just the one clean sheet in their last 6 competitive matches. Southampton on the other hand have conceded just 5 goals this season, have maintained 3 clean sheets and held Man Utd to just a single goal last week. The Under is 6-1 in their 7 matches this season as a result and they are in fact undefeated in their last 4 home league games. The Saints have lost just 1 of their last 6 away to Stoke across all competitions and with The Potters struggling to find some form The Wolf has Southampton walking away with a point.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.61)
Value: Draw ($3.20)
West Brom v Watford – (Sun 12:00am)
Cancel out the 6-0 loss to City and Watford have had the perfect start to the season. They took points off Liverpool on the opening day and gave gone from strength to strength winning all 3 of their away fixtures to sit 6th on the ladder. West Brom will be happy with their start but could have made more of a favourable run – Arsenal are the only top side that they have faced. The Baggies have had some real problems at The Hawthorns dating back to last season. They have won just 1 of their last 7 EPL games at home and have failed to score in 5 of those matches! We have seen no more than a single goal in 6 of the last 7 EPL matches at The Hawthorns and with Watford finding the back of the net in their last 4 away games The Wolf will be backing the visitors!
Best: Under 1.5 goals ($2.60)
Value: Correct Score Watford 1-0 ($8.00)
West Ham v Swansea – (Sun 12:00am)
Finding the back of the net has been a huge problem for Swansea since the departure of Sigurdsson and it should come as no surprise. Renato Sanches was supposed to fill the void but that has failed to eventuate but Bony made his return to the starting lineup last week and will be even sharper this time around. The Hammers have been a model of inconsistency and Slaven Bilic will be livid at the fact that his side have conceded 13 goals this season (most in EPL). Talk continues to circulate that this is his last straw and if that is the case his side will not be sitting on their hands in this one. We saw them really open up against Spurs when they went down 3-0 and this time The Wolf is expecting them to go for it from the opening whistle. Antonio has been cleared and Lanzini is set to make his return. Bilic will survive for at least one more week.
Best: West Ham WIN ($1.83)
Value: Over 2.5 goals ($2.00)
Chelsea v Man City – (Sun 3:30am)
The match of the round takes us to Stamford Bridge for a fixture that could have a significant bearing on the title chase. We have seen everything from goals to red cards in recent clashes between these two and this one will be no exception. Both sides have started the season on fire! City have won 7 straight across all competitions with Chelsea posting 6 wins and a draw in the same stretch. There really has been no stopping the men from Manchester. They have scored 16 goals in their last 3 EPL matches alone with Aguero claiming 5 of them. The Argentine has also scored 5 in his last 4 against Chelsea so shutting him down will be a problem. There have been at least 3 goals in each of the last 5 clashes between the two sides and with both of them in red hot form Over 2.5 goals looks the bet of the weekend. Interestingly it has been 6 matches since they have shared the points meaning we will more than likely see a 6 points swing. The Wolf cannot look past the City midfield. The passing ability of Fernandinho, Silva and De Bruyne is second to none in the league and The Wolf has them controlling possession. That means less forward runs from Alonso and Moses which will limit the supply to Morata. The Wolf had Aguero bagging a brace until a cab driver rammed his cab into a pole and fractured Aguero’s ribs. Jesus will have to carry the load instead and The Wolf says hes up for it.
Best: Over 2.5 goals ($1.65)
Value: Over 2.5 goals & Man City ($3.20)
Arsenal v Brighton – (Sun 10:00pm)
Brighton & Hove are quickly beginning to find out how hard it is to score on the road in the Premier League, let alone win games. They have collected just a single point from their 3 road games and have found the back of the net on just one occasion. Now they travel to the Emirates with Arsenal in the best form we have seen for some while. Sanchez is right back into the swing of things while Lacazette has slotted right in adding 4 goals already. The combination or Ramsey and Xhaka is working a treat in holding midfield and is a key reason as to why the back three system is working a treat. Arsenal have won their last 8 EPL home games, holding their opponents to nil in 6 of those games. Brighton will be pinned in their own half for almost the entirety of this match and will finally succumb to the pressure. This one could get ugly!
Best: Teams To Score – Arsenal Only ($1.85)
Value: Arsenal Over 4.5 goals ($7.00)
Everton v Burnley – (Mon 12:15am)
The pressure is building a Goodison Park. The Toffees sit 14th on the ladder, are coming off a draw at home to lowly Apollon in the Europa League and cannot generate anything in the final third of the field. They needed a late double from Niasse to beat Bournemouth with Koeman reaching into the deepest corners of his squad. Niassie, who has now scored 3 goals in his last two matches for the club is ineligible for the Europa league as he wasn’t listed as part of the 25 man squad. It means he will play a more prominent role in the league and if his recent form is anything to go by we could see Rooney part way at some point. He’s been in the trenches… needed stiches after being elbowed to the eye against Bournemouth before his hand was trot on in the Europa League. Now it’s Burnely’s turn and The Wolf has them giving it a real crack. We saw them take points off Liverpool at Anfield a fortnight ago and have found found the back of the net in 13 of their last 15 away league fixtures. With Everton maintaining just the 1 clean sheet in the Premier League so far this season we will continue to back Burnley to score on the road.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES (2.00)
Value: Burnley Over 1.5 goals ($4.20)
Newcastle v Liverpool – (Mon 2:30am)
The first reaction to the market will be that Liverpool are a good price… don’t be fooled says The Wolf. The Reds have won just 2 of 6 away from home this season and the two win (Hoffenheim in Europa and Leicester) were less than convincing. Defensively Liverpool have failed to live up to the billing on the road. They have conceded in each of their 6 away games this season with total of 14 goals allowed in that stretch – more than 2 per game! What is even more concerning is that the goals have dried up in attack. They have managed just 7 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions and the suspension of Mane against Manchester City has proved a real turning point. Liverpool have a terrible record at St James Park. In the last 6 Premier League meetings at the venue Newcastle have registered 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. How Liverpool are odds on is beyond all belief! In addition the Magpies have won 3 of their last 4 league games and have allowed just 2 goals in their last 4 matches. DO NOT put Liverpool in your multi’s!
Best: Double Chance Newcastle or Draw ($2.00)
Value: Correct Score Newcastle 1-0 ($15.00)
Gameweek 6: 6-4
Gameweek 6 ROI: 110.90%
Overall ROI: 94.21%
Gameweek 6: 2-8
Gameweek 6 ROI: 77.50%
Overall ROI: 61.03%
Overall ROI: 77.62%