EPL Preview – Gameweek 6

EPL Gameweek 6

Manchester rivals City and United occupy the top two spots on the ladder with Chelsea, Tottenham and Liverpool falling further behind after they all dropped points. Newcastle have charged up the ladder to claim 4th spot on the back of three consecutive wins.

EPL Match Previews

West Ham v Tottenham – (Sat 9:30pm)
London derbies always produce ferocious contents and this one will be no exception. West Ham have won 3 of their last 4 at home to Tottenham with none of those matches producing more than two goals. The Hammers have also maintained 4 clean sheets in their last 5 Premier League matches at home. Tottenham did everything but score last week but there is no doubt that they are having troubles finding the back of the net. They have failed to score multiple goals in 3 of their 5 league games this season with their defence again holding firm with back to back clean sheets. The two sides have conceded just a single goals between them in their last 6 combined EPL fixtures meaning this one will be much tighter than expected.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($2.10)
Value: HT/FT – Draw/Tottenham ($4.50)

Burnley v Huddersfield – (Sun 12:00am)
Burnley were outstanding in a draw away to Liverpool but after making a handful of changes they were knocked out of the EFL Cup by Leeds. The match was decided on penalties with Tarkowski and Gudmundsson (regular starters) logging 120 minutes. Their recovery leading into this one will be important and they can ill afford to below below full strength in a match where they are a genuine shot at grabbing all 3 points. For Huddersfield coach Wagner has made it clear that avoiding relegation from the Premier League is priority number one. Mooy spent most of the sides league cup loss on the bench with Zanka, Schindler and Lowe, among others, all being spared. Burnely won the last 3 meetings between the two sides all of which were back in The Championship but The Wolf insists that Huddersfield have come a long way since those clashes. They have conceded just 5 goals in their 8 competitive matches this season and that is simply remarkable for a promoted side. The Wolf cannot believe the price on offer for the visitors!
Best: Double Chance – Draw or Huddersfield ($1.65)
Value: Huddersfield WIN ($4.00)

Everton v Bournemouth – (Sun 12:00am)
It has now been over 400 minutes of football since Everton found the back of the net. Yes, they have had a tough run with fixtures against Chelsea, Tottenham and Man Utd in that stretch but that is no excuse for a club of Everton’s stature. Ronald Koeman has a massive problem on his hands and despite providing some handy touches playing Rooney as the target just isn’t working. He has tried using Sandro and Calvert-Lewin but neither have been able to find the back of the net. They will be a different side when Barkley, Bolasie and Coleman return but none of them are close to playing first team football any time soon. Bournemouth on the other hand are on a high after back to back wins over Brighton in the league and cup with Stanislas making his much awaited return midweek. He is a huge in for the Cherries and will give them an additional dimension in attack. He has 7 goals and 6 assists in just 21 appearances last season so look for him to make an immediate impact. Bournemouth have found the back of the net a total of 4 times in their last two trips to Goodison Park and have claimed a total of 4 points from their last 4 league meetings against the Toffees. With Everton in a hole The Wolf says the visitors are every chance of taking a point in this one.
Best: Double Chance – Draw or Bournemouth ($2.05)
Value: Bournemouth Over 1.5 goals ($3.75)

Man City v C.Palace – (Sun 12:00am)
City were flawless in a 6-0 win over Watford but what made their performance all the more impressive was the fact that it came away from home and in pouring rain. Aguero was unstoppable and his combination with David Silva continues to send shivers through the spines of their rivals. No onee has had an answer for them and Palace will join a growing list of teams to experience the full force of a team on a mission! They should almost be accustomed to it… after all they have conceded 20 goals in their last 6 games against City, and you guessed it, all have ended in defeat. City have scored 11 goals in their last 160 minutes of Premier League football! What is even scarier is the fact that Pep has found a way to play both Aguero and Jesus at the same time. Both men have been clinical in front of goal but it is their unselfishness which prevents teams from being unable to send additional bodies at them. Palace sit bottom of the league with 6 losses, no points and not a single goal to show for it. Hodgson will be wondering why he signed up for this gig.
Best: Teams To Score – Man City Only ($1.72)
Value: Man City Over 4.5 goals ($4.75)

Southampton v Man Utd – (Sun 12:00am)
Two incredible saves from Fraser Forster allowed the Saints to claim all three points away to Palace last week and he is a big reason that the club has 3 clean sheets through 5 rounds of the EPL. Continuing that theme will not be as easy this week when they host a rampant United side that has scored 16 goals already this season! The Wolf says not to be fooled by the numbers. Many of United’s wins have been blown out of proportion late on. 10 of their 16 goals have been scored in the final 20 minutes, and many of them have come on the counter. Even if Southampton fall behind they will not leave themselves exposed in the hunt to get back into the game – that simply isn’t their style. Pellegrino is defensive by nature and the Under is 9-2 in his sides last 11 Premier League encounters. There have also been less than 3 goals in 6 of the last 8 league meetings between the two sides and Mourinho is sure to employ the double holding midfield tactic away from home. Look for Fellaini to partner Matic in midfield which will ensure a very controlled tempo throughout. 
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.70)
Value: 1st Half Result – Draw ($2.10)

Stoke v Chelsea – (Sun 12:00am)
Everyone knows that Stoke are a completely different proposition at home but they are down on troops for this one. Zouma cannot play against his parent club as part of the loan deal while Cameron and Shawcross are also likely to miss out. It leaves them skinny at the back – not something you want to say when you are hosting the champions. Shaqiri and Choupo-Moting have looked great in recent weeks which should see the hosts get their fair share of opportunities. Chelsea may be one of the most difficult sides to break down but Stoke have found the back of the net in 12 of their last 13 EPL fixtures at home! The Over is 5-2 in their last 7 league games at home and Chelsea have maintained just 2 clean sheets in their last 10 away from the Bridge. The suspension of David Luiz will force a change at the back and that is music to the ear of Potters fans. Stoke have already taken points from Arsenal and Man Utd at home this season and The Wolf says Chelsea, who have only won 3 of their last 8 away to Stoke (all competitions), will be the next to drop points in Staffordshire. 
Best: Over 2.5 goals ($1.90)
Value: Stoke Over 1.5 goals ($4.20)

Swansea v Watford – (Sun 12:00am)
The home side is undefeated in the last 5 of this series and have in fact won by a scoreline of 1-0 in 3 of the last 4. The last 4 meetings have produced a total of just 3 goals and The Wolf says that isn’t about to change. Watford may have won their last two away games in the league but they have failed to score in 2 of their last 3 league games including a 6-0 shellacking at the hands of Man City. The Swans have been embarrassing in attack to begin their campaign. With just 2 goals in 5 EPL matches something has to change. They were gallant in a 0-0 draw away to Spurs last week but they will have to do more than just defend if they are to survive in the top flight. Wilfried Bony looks set to make his return to the starting line up after a solid outing in the sides EFL Cup win and should make an immediate impact. With Prodl, Kaboul and Vritos all unavailable for Watford the Swans are a good chance to secure all 3 points. 
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.70)
Value: Correct Score Swansea 1-0 ($8.00)

Leicester v Liverpool – (Sun 2:30am)
King Power Stadium has not been a happy hunting ground for Liverpool. A 2-0 defeat just days ago in the League Cup means they have now lost their last 3 games away to Leicester. This will be a very different match the the on we saw midweek, mainly to due to the fact that both managers rested all of their key players. Vardy, Mahrez and Ihenacho were all given a rest while for Salah, Firmino and Sturridge all failed to suit up for the Reds. Liverpool are now winless in their last 4 matches across all competitions and despite Klopp’s insistence that they have the quality and depth to contend in all competitions his side continues to come up short. The Wolf insists that Liverpool should not be odds on for this one. He warned us to steer clear of the Reds against Burnley and says this is a far more difficult task. Leicester have scored in 9 straight games at home – finding the net on multiple occasions in 6 of those matches. If Liverpool are to take anything out of this one they may very well have to score 3 goals!
Best: Double Chance – Leicester or Draw ($1.83)
Value: Over 3.5 goals ($3.00)

Brighton v Newcastle – (Mon 1:00am)
The Wolf said it would only be a matter of time before Newcastle started to win games and they have done just that. Three straight wins has them sitting 4th and with Liverpool the only ‘big’ side they face in their next 6 games they are every chance of maintaining a spot in the top half. They should have scored 4 or 5 against Stoke last week with Atsu and Ritchie looking very dangerous on the flanks. It is rare for a promoted side to have names like Shelvey, Gayle and Diame coming off the bench and they can thank Rafa Benitez for it. His decision to stay with the club when they were relegated is the reason they have both been promoted and been able to maintain a strong squad. Most importantly, he has installed some very effective defensive structures that will allow the Magpies to be competitive in all of their fixtures. Brighton face Arsenal and Everton following this fixture which makes the 3 points on offer all the more valuable. Newcastle did the double over Brighton last year in The Championship and The Wolf expects that trend to continue. Newcastle will create the bulk of the chances and if they can take them they should win by multiple goals. 
Best: Both Teams To Score – NO ($1.72)
Value: Newcastle WIN ($2.75)

Arsenal v West Brom – (Tue 5:00am)
We could look back at Arsenal’s 4-0 loss to Liverpool as a pivotal turning point of their season. They have since gone undefeated and have conceded only once in a 4 game stretch. They were brilliant defensively against Chelsea and The Wolf expects Ramsey and Xhaka to lock down the central midfield roles. Sanchez and Ozil are likely to return to the starting XI with The Wolf predicting something explosive from the Gunners. We are yet to see a complete performance from them and West Brom’s run of results has been disguised by the fact that they are yet to play any of the contenders. Arsenal have won their last 6 at home to the Baggies with the visitors scoring just a single goal in that stretch. It’s a concerning stat and with the Gunners really tightening things at the back they should be able to maintain another clean sheet. 
Best: Teams To Score – Arsenal Only ($2.40)
Value: 1st Half Correct Score Arsenal 2-0 ($5.50)

Best Bets

Best: Teams To Score – Man City Only ($1.72)
Best Value: Stoke Over 1.5 goals ($4.20)

Results

Best Bets
Gameweek 5: 4-6
Gameweek 5 ROI: 78.60%
Overall: 18-22
Overall ROI: 90.87%

Value Bets
Gameweek 5: 0-10
Gameweek 5 ROI: 0%
Overall: 7-43
Overall ROI: 57.73%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 74.30%

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