EPL Preview – Gameweek 4

EPL Gameweek 4

The Premier League returns after the dreaded international break. More important than that was the closing of the transfer window. Swansea landing Renato Sanches on loan from Bayern Munich was the biggest result while Liverpool swooped on Oxlade-Chamberlain but the Wolf says it has more to do with the players that stayed in the EPL rather than any new additions. Arsenal were able to hold on to Alexis Sanchez and Ozil with Diego Costa remaining in Chelsea blue.

There will be no shortage of action on the field this week with Man City hosting Liverpool in a blockbuster to start the round. Everton take on Spurs while Man Utd and Chelsea are both on the road. The Wolf breaks down Gameweek 4.

EPL Match Previews

Man City v Liverpool – (Sat 9:30pm)
The Premier League returns this weekend and what better way to kick things off than the blockbuster between Man City and Liverpool. Both sides tasted victory before the break but did so in very different style. City needed a injury time winner from Sterling who subsequently got sent when given a second yellow for over-celebrating. The Reds on the other hand crushed Arsenal from pillar to post in a 4-0 demolition. Klopp’s side are renowned for results against the big sides yet they continue to get no respect from the bookies in these games. Liverpool went undefeated against top 6 sides in the league last season. The Reds are also undefeated in their last 6 meetings with the men from Manchester which includes win in 4 of the last 5 Premier League encounters. The Wolf says to back Liverpool in the double chance market and rates them as huge value for the win!
Best: Double Chance – Draw or Liverpool ($1.83)
Value: Liverpool WIN ($4.00)

Arsenal v Bournemouth – (Sun 12:00am)
The transfer window is closed and Arsene Wenger should at least be commended for being able to keep Alexis Sanchez and Ozil in the squad. Oxlade-Chamberlain is far from a big loss especially with thew amount of depth the Gunners have in midfield. Arsenal do have a problem though and it is their recent run of results. They are coming off back to back losses and have failed to score in back to back league games for the first time since their opening two games of the 2012/13 season. On that occasion they ended the drought with back to back wins over Liverpool and Southampton – scoring 8 goals along the way and they have scored plenty against the Cherries in recent seasons. Arsenal have won 3 and drawn 1 in their last 4 against Bournemouth scoring multiple goals in each game with a total of 10 ion that stretch. Nevertheless, Bournemouth have lost just 2 of their last 7 away league games and have been able to pick up points away to Man Utd, Southampton, Liverpool and Leicester. Wenger is likely to drop Holding after his shocker while we will get to see the trio of Sanchez, Ozil and Lacazette all start for the first time in the EPL. Unfortunately The Wolf cannot trust the Gunners defence at the moment and the Cherries can make them pay. Since being promoted to the EPL Bournemouth have scored in 26 of their 39 away league games – that’s 67%. If Arsenal are to get out of their mini slump they will have to find the back of the net several times to do so. They could combine for a handful!
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.57)
Value: Over 3.5 goals ($2.05)

Everton v Tottenham – (Sun 12:00am)
No more than a single goal has separating these two sides in the last 11 meetings. Despite how close it has been Spurs are unbeaten in the last 9 meetings with 4 wins and 5 draws. If the Toffees are the turn things around this may very well be the time to do it. Pochettino’s side have had a forgettable start to the season with a loss at home to Chelsea followed by a draw to Burnley. Kane is yet to score and they are lacking in both confidence and momentum – two of the key components required to beat quality opposition. One could argue that it is Everton who are on top in terms of the morale battle. The return of Rooney to Goodissson Park  has boosted the entire club and it’s fan base while the Sigurdsson could prove to be the signing of the season. Under 2.5 goals has grabbed the cash in 6 of the last 8 meetings and with Spurs struggling to find the net The Wolf says the history of tight tussles between them will continue. The value in this one is in the home side.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.90)
Value: Under 2.5 & Everton WIN ($6.00)

Leicester v Chelsea – (Sun 12:00am)
In theory Daniel Drinkwater shouldn’t wait long to take on his former club but The Wolf says he is unlikely to get any game time at the Blues and simply cannot understand his signing. It will be an unusual sight for both Drinkwater and Kante to return to the King Power Stadium but don’t for a single second thing that the Foxes will be taking it lightly on their former team-mates. Vardy has already thrown out a public warning that it’s ‘on’ and says any hopes from Conte to play a defensive game will be thrown out of the window. There have been at least 3 goals in 10 of the last 12 meetings between the clubs across all competitions and the likely return of Hazard will only put more firepower on the pitch. He played all 90 minutes in both Belgium fixtures over the international break and is likely to join Morata and Perdo in attack. Leicester have won 6 of their last 8 league games at home and are a different side in front of their own fans. They have found the back of the net in 8 straight home games and managed multiple goals in 6 of them. Cheslea are in for a real test!
Best: Over 2.5 goals ($1.72)
Value: Leicester Over 1.5 goals ($3.25)

Stoke v Man Utd – (Sun 2:30am)
The Wolf may have to start giving Man Utd a little more credit than he has. Three straight wins with clean sheets to boot have them sitting top of the league but more importantly for Mourinho his two key signings are contributing. People see the goals and think that Lukaku has been worth every penny but it is Matic that in fact holds the key. As we saw with Leicester two years ago and Chelsea last season it is the man in holding midfield who has the largest impact on a football side. Wolfy is referring to Kante – the man who beat Matic out of his job last season but the Serbian will get his chance to shine at Old Trafford, and shine he will according to The Wolf. His presence in midfield has allowed Pogba and Mkhitaryan to run free and they have been brilliant combining for 2 goals and 7 assists already! They will need to be at their best this weekend as Stoke have done more than trouble them in recent seasons. United has won only 2 of it’s last 7 league games against the Potters. Dig deeper and you will see that Stoke are undefeated at home to the Red Devils in their last 4 (2 wins and 2 draws). Man U have never scored more than two goals away to Stoke in the Premier League era so any idea that they will dominate can be put to the side. Stoke at home should NEVER be paying $7 and the potential absence of Shaqiri will lead to Mark Hughes setting up even more defensive than we are used to seeing. 
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.90)
Value: Stoke WIN ($7.00)

Best Bets

Best: Double Chance – Draw or Liverpool ($1.83)
Best Value: Stoke WIN ($7.00)

Results

Best Bets
Gameweek 3: 7-3
Gameweek 3 ROI: 154.80%
Overall: 13-17
Overall ROI: 91%

Value Bets
Gameweek 3: 2-8
Gameweek 3 ROI: 100%
Overall: 6-24
Overall ROI: 87.04%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 89.52%

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