EPL Preview – Gameweek 30

EPL Gameweek 30 Preview and Tips

The highlight this weekend takes us to Old Trafford for the clash between bitter rivals Man Utd and Liverpool. They sit 2nd and 3rd respectively on the ladder and a win for either side will all but solidify a spot in the top 4.

EPL Feature Previews

Man Utd v Liverpool – (Sat 11:30pm)
This clash needs no introduction! One of the biggest rivalries in world football resumes and for the first time in a while we see the two most successful clubs in English football back at the top. They sit 2nd and 3rd respectively in the standings and remain alive in the knockout stages of the Champions League. there are a few things that we cannot ignore when these two meet. To begin with there are very few goals. Traditionally they are involved in physical/tactical battles that result in very few chances. The Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings across all competitions and who can forget the dour 0-0 draw they played out at Anfield earlier this season. On that occasion both managers opted to play double holding midfielders and The Wolf says not to be shocked if we see a repeat at Old Trafford. The Reds have won just one of their last 11 at the venue. Furthermore, Man City are the only side to win in the last 42 Premier League fixtures at the historic venue. The Wolf says to be all over the Unders and rates the draw as the value bet.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.90)
Value: Draw ($3.20)

Chelsea v C.Palace – (Sun 2:00am)
To say that Chelsea’s performance against City was embarrassing is an understatement. They played extremely negative football and clearly failed to learn a lesson from the second half against Barcelona. There is no reward for 5th place and Conte’s tactics we those of a side that simply didn’t want to lose by 5. With the standings the way they are goal difference will not be a determining factor in terms of Chelsea making the top 4 – but point will be! Conte was clearly more concerned about suffering a demoralising loss rather than trying to earn a valuable point. Now they must deal with a Palace side that have been playing with no fear. Spurs needed a 88th minute strike from Kane to take all 3 points while Man Utd had to come from 2 goals down. Hodgson’s men have found the back of the net in their last 8 away matches across all competitions and will Chelsea in limbo this one is there for the taking. Palace have a fantastic record against the Blues winning the last two meetings and 4 of the last 8. Benteke has been very effective at the point in recent weeks and The Wolf expects him to causer the Blues defence a lot of headaches. The price on offer for Palace is insane!
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($2.20)
Value: C Palace WIN ($11.00)

Arsenal v Watford – (Mon 12:30am)
The Gunners 4 game losing streak came to an end thanks to a 2-0 win over AC Milan in the Europa League. With Wenger’s side now 13 points adrift of 4th place Spurs, the Europa League is their only path to next season’s Champions League. The rumours around the longest current serving manager in English football continue and will only get worse if the results do not improve. Arsenal have won just 2 of their last 9 EPL matches and have lost their last two against Watford – both by a 2-1 scoreline. The Hornets have climbed into the top half on the back of 3 wins in their last 4 and it is hard to see a dysfunctional Arsenal defence keeping them out. Watford have managed to score multiple times in 3 of their last 5 against their more fancied opponents and with no clean sheet in the league for Arsenal since mid December The Wolf has found us plenty of value. There have been 3 or more goals in the last 10 meetings between them so look for this one to go end to end throughout.
Best: Over 3.5 goals ($2.30)
Value: Watford Over 1.5 goals ($3.25)

Bournemouth v Tottenham – (Mon 3:00am)
Spurs blew it against Juventus in the Champions League and The Wolf says bouncing right back will not be easy. Vitality stadium has not been an easy trip for sides in 2018 with Bournemouth undefeated in their last 6 matches at the venue. Even more impressive is their goal scoring streak in that time. They have scored multiple goals in all 6 of those matches while spurs have looked vulnerable away from home. They have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches in the Premier League which has The Wolf sensing an upset. Look for Stanislas, Wilson and King to really push forward with fatigue to play it’s part with Tottenham playing their 11th match in a little over a month.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.65)
Value: Double Chance Bournemouth or Draw ($2.30)

Stoke v Man City – (Tue 7:00am)
Will we be reading anything into City’s 2-1 loss against Basel… NO! They were home and hosed following their 4-0 win in the first leg, rested all of their key players and completely dominated possession. What we will be doing is looking at the 3 wins they posted prior to that – two over Arsenal and one over Chelsea. With such a big lead in the league this is about the time when we will see them display some form of complacency before becoming laser focused for their Champions League matches. De Bruyne, David Silva and Aguero will return to the starting line-up and that means goals galore. goals has also been the theme in the meetings between them and The Potters in recent seasons. They have produced at least 4 goals in 4 of the last 6 meetings with City routing The Potter 7-2 last time out.
Best: Over 3.5 goals ($2.25)
Value: Over 4.5 goals ($4.00)

Gameweek 29 Best Bets

Best: Man Utd v Liverpool – Under 2.5 goals ($1.90)
Value: Stoke v Man City – Over 4.5 goals ($4.00)

Results

Best Bets
Gameweek 29: 4-6
Gameweek 29 ROI: 78.6%
Overall: 142-148
Overall ROI: 95.14%

Value Bets
Gameweek 29: 3-5
Gameweek 29 ROI: 154%
Overall: 62-228
Overall ROI: 80.39%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 87.76%

Discuss