EPL Gameweek 24 Preview and Tips
The Invincibles will live on thanks to Liverpool but the pressure this week is on a London side that wears blue – Chelsea. They have drawn their last 5 across all competitions and will be missing several players through suspension.
EPL Feature Previews
Brighton v Chelsea – (Sat 11:30pm)
The Wolf says not to be fooled into thinking that this is a automatic 3 points for Chelsea. In fact, he is of the opinion that the Blues will not win. They needed penalties to get by Norwich in their FA Cup replay and have now draw their last 5 matches. Even more concerning is the fact that they have managed just a single goal in their last 4 matches across all competitions. If that wasn’t bad enough they are without Morata and Pedro who are both suspended after being sent from the field against Norwich. Brighton have lost just 1 of their last 10 league games at home with 3 clean sheets in their last 5. Chelsea’s attack has looked lifeless as of late and The Wolf is more than happy to be taking them on.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($1.65)
Value: Draw ($3.80)
Arsenal v C.Palace – (Sun 2:00am)
Things are looking very dull for Arsene Wenger. Alexis Sanchez is off to Old Trafford while Walcott is packing his bags for Everton. We could see a real roster overhaul over the next 12 months for the Gunners and it is not a good sign for their loyal supporters. It’s as if Wenger does not want to finish in the top 4 and they most probably won’t. They are 8 points adrift of 4th placed Chelsea and their goals difference of +11 is at least 14 worse than any of the sides above them. They have conceded more goals than Burnley and even 16th placed Brighton! The loss to Bournemouth means their winless run now stands at 5 games across all competitions and it is not much better in the league where they have won only 2 of their last 9 since the start of last December. Defensively they have looked lost conceding multiple goals in 3 of their last 4 Premier League games at home. Palace are unbeaten in their last 5 road games in the league with wins in 2 of their last 3. They have scored 6 and conceded just twice in that 5 game stretch. Against a unsettled Arsenal squad the wolf has them raising some eyebrows.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.60)
Value: C.Palace Over 1.5 goals ($3.30)
Burnley v Man Utd – (Sun 2:00am)
In what can only be described as a statistical anomaly, Man Utd have scored almost twice as many goals in their last 5 away league games (13) than they have at home (7). The ability to score away from home is the reason why they have collected 13 of a possible 15 points in that stretch. The Wolf says the reason they find it easier to score is because their opponents look to play on the front foot at home and it leaves them exposed on the counter – an area where the Red Devils have been effective all season long. Burnley have been outstanding at Turf Moor all season long but have lost back to back matches at the ground (Spurs and Liverpool). They have failed to collect any points at home to top 6 opposition this season and will again go down in a surprisingly high scoring counter.
Best: Man Utd WIN ($1.57)
Value: Over 2.5 goals ($2.15)
Man City v Newcastle – (Sun 4:30am)
City’s undefeated run came to an end in an epic against Liverpool but it is not all bad news according to The Wolf. They can now stop worrying about records and focus on what matters most – winning trophies. There is no secret to how the script will play out in this one. When they met at St James Park during the festive period Newcastle defended their hearts out in a 1-0 loss but holding on at the Etihad will not be as easy. David Silva looks set to return to the starting line up and that means goals galore! The Wolf will be shocked to see Newcastle push any significant amount of number forward but once they concede they will be forced to chase the game. City have scored 11 goals in their last 3 EPL fixtures at home and if they can get on the board early this one could get out of hand for Benitez and his side. With the Magpies set to employ very negative tactics a Man City clean sheet is way over the odds!
Best: Teams To Score – Man City Only ($1.83)
Value: Man City Over 3.5 goals ($2.30)
Southampton v Tottenham – (Mon 3:00am)
Spurs were the big winners over the Christmas period claiming 13 of a possible 15 points in their last 5. They can thank Harry Kane who has 10 goals in the clubs last 6 across all competitions. Nevertheless, the men in white have won 2 of their last 7 away EPL matches and Southampton will not be sitting back. Their matches at St Mary’s Stadium have been a lot more open than we are used to seeing. Both teams have found the back of the net in the last 5 league games at the venue with the Over going 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two. There have been 4 or more goals scored in 5 of that 9 game stretch with Kane bagging a hat-trick when they met on boxing day. There will be goals!
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.80)
Value: Over 3.5 goals ($3.10)
Swansea v Liverpool – (Tue 7:00am)
The Wolf was very vocal about Liverpool’s goal scoring prowess and it was on full display as they ended City’s undefeated run. Their pressing is the most effective in world football but people have to realise it is also the reason why they are susceptible at the back. Defending from the front leaves holes in the middle of the park which in turn isolates their defenders. They will not be changing their style under Klopp and it is great news for betting. Simply back both teams to score and the Overs – especially in their away games. The Overs is 9-0 in their last 9 away games across all competitions and there have been 5 goals in each of the last two meetings. Overs, Overs, Overs!
Best: Over 3.5 goals ($2.60)
Value: Over 4.5 goals ($4.75)