EPL Preview – Gameweek 14

EPL Gameweek 14 Preview and Tips

Both Manchester clubs and Arsenal escaped with all 3 points in their respective matches but Spurs were not so lucky dropping points at home. With Liverpool and Chelsea sharing the points Arsenal have made their way into the top 4 for the first time season. Gameweek 14 is our first dose of midweek EPL action and The Wolf is expecting some very interesting results.

EPL Match Previews

Leicester v Tottenham – (Wed 6:45am)
This will be the 10th meeting between the two sides in less than 3 years and there has been no shortage of entertainment when they meet. Harry Kane scored 4 in a 6-1 win when they last met but they Foxes have more than held their own. They have had their struggles at home winning just 1 of their last 5 league games at King Power Stadium with Spurs losing their last two away to Arsenal and Man Utd. They have really missed Alderweireld at the back and have collected just a single point in their last 3 league games without him. We saw Davinson Sanchez muscleded off the ball by Rondon at the weekend and you can expect Vardy to be even more physical. Spurs have been very reliant on Kane with the star striker scoring 9 in 9 EPL appearances but The Wolf is concerned with very few contributions coming outside of him. Leicester will bring a real physical presence to this game and with Tottenham struggling away from home in the EPL The Wolf is happy to lay them. The home side to score multiple goals which will be good enough for at least a point.
Best: Double Chance – Leicester or Draw ($1.85)
Value: Leicester Over 1.5 goals ($3.10)

Watford v Man Utd – (Wed 7:00am)
The Wolf got right behind Watford at the weekend and they delivered in a big way with arguably the performance of the week in a 3-0 win at St James Park. Cleverley and Doucoure have been dominant in midfield and the highlight is Watford’s ability to switch the point of attack. It allows them to get Richarlison into space out wide and he is proving to be a genuine star. United really got away with one at home to Brighton with Mourinho opting to start Mata and Martial with Pogba back into a deeper role. Mkhitaryan looks to have fallen out of favour with Mourinho after opening the season with 5 assists in 3 games. Watford deserve to be respected and in the battle of Portuguese managers The Wolf is expecting tactics to reign supreme. The Under is 4-1 in United’s last 5 away games across all competitions and we will again see a defensive mentality employed on the road by the Red Devils. United have scored a total of just 11 in their last 10 matches (all comps) and with Watford posting consecutive clean sheets in their last two there will be little between them. The visitors may have one eye on their trip to Arsenal at the weekend and The Wolf says it is a dangerous formula. Watford look real value for the upset and if they can pull it off it will be on the back of a clean sheet.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($2.00)
Value: Teams To Score – Watford Only ($8.00)

Arsenal v Huddersfield – (Thur 6:45am)
The Gunners were gifted all 3 points against Burnley as Sanchez scored a injury time penalty for the second consecutive meeting. It was a significant result as it means Arsenal are now in the top 4 for the first time this season. It has not been easy for Wenger’s side on the road but at The Emirates they have been flawless winning their last 11 EPL matches at the venue. Huddersfield will consider themselves unlucky not to get a result at home to Man City and this shapes as a far more difficult task. The Premier League newcomers are yet have had huge troubles away from home this season. They have failed to scroe in their last 5 games away from home and were comprehensively beaten 4-0 at Bournemouth last time they travelled. With Arsenal maintaining 8 clean sheets in their last 10 EPL fixtures at home the result in this one is inevitable. Arsenal to win, maintain a clean sheet and switch off in the final 20 in preparation for the huge match at the weekend against Man Utd. 2-0 has been the final score in 5 of their last 9 home EPL matches.
Best: Teams To Score – Arsenal WIN ($1.75)
Value: Correct Score Arsenal 2-0 ($6.50)

Chelsea v Swansea – (Thur 6:45am)
Chelsea have a very favourable run in the league through to the new year and The Wolf is expecting them to go on a real winning streak. They came away with a share of the points from Anfield but back at home for matches against Swansea and Newcastle we should see them grab all 6 points. Hazard continues to grab the attention of The Wolf who can see the Belgian having a field day against Swansea. Chelsea have score multiple goals in 5 of their last 6 against the Swans with a total of 16 in the last 6 meetings. The Welsh side have had next to nothing going forward and with Tammy Abraham ineligible to play against his parent club they face an even bigger problem. Renato Sanches has no goals and no assists through his 7 EPL appearances as the Swans attack continues to struggle. They will not be keeping Chelsea at bay and with no spark going forward this one will get ugly.
Best: Teams To Score – Chelsea Only ($1.70)
Value: Chelsea Over 3.5 goals ($3.40)

Man City v Southampton – (Thur 7:00am)
Southampton added to Everton’s woes with a crushing 4-1 win in what was the Saints breakout performance of the season. It was the first time in 25 league matches that they managed to score 4 goals but we are unlikely to see a repeat any time soon with matches against City, Arsenal, Leicester, Chelsea, Tottenham and Man Utd – all before the turn of the new year. Even with 4 goals last week they still have a total of just 13 in 13 league games – NOT GOOD ENOUGH. We know that they have the defence to keep things tight at the back and that will again be the aim at Emirates Stadium. Maintaining a clean sheet away to City is aiming high to say the least. There is no doubt that City have not been as clinical in recent weeks but they continue to find a way late. The have won the second half in 5 straight matches and after a quick start we will see them go on with it. Take City to win both halves.
Best: City Win Both Halves ($1.90)
Value: 2nd Half Man City Goals 3+ ($4.00)

Stoke v Liverpool – (Thur 7:00am)
Stoke have traditionally made it tough for Liverpool holding them to 1 or fewer goals in 14 of the last 22 meetings across all competitions but this is not a traditional Stoke side. The Potters have conceded multiple goals in 9 of their last 11 with the Over going 9-2 in that stretch – unheard of for a side that has had a defensive identity for well over a decade. The absence of Cameron and Glen Johnson has not helped but it should not be used as an excuse. Now they host a Liverpool side that is renowned for putting relentless pressure on their opponents. The Reds have scored 3 or more in 5 of their last 6 competitive matches and The Wolf is adamant that this will be a very open encounter. The two sides will trade goals at a rapid rate with both of them to score multiple goals. Mane, Coutinho and Firmino are likely to be inserted into the starting line up after coming off the bench and their injection of speed will be a real factor in this one. Get right around the Overs. 
Best: Over 2.5 goals ($1.57)
Value: Over 4.5 goals ($4.50)

Gameweek 14 Best Bets

Best: Teams To Score – Arsenal WIN ($1.75)
Best Value Bet: Stoke v Liverpool – Over 4.5 goals ($4.50)

Results

Best Bets
Gameweek 13: 4-6
Gameweek 13 ROI: 104.3%
Overall: 64-66
Overall ROI: 97.85%

Value Bets
Gameweek 13: 3-7
Gameweek 13 ROI: 99%
Overall: 25-105
Overall ROI: 76.69%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 84.32%