EPL Gameweek 3
It was a tough weekend in the EPL and The Wolf will be hoping to bring his midweek League Cup betting form with him to the big stage. Man Utd continued with their red hot start to the season as Zlatan again found the mark. Man City, Chelsea and surprise packet Hull have also earned maximum points from their two matches but that is set to change this week with the Tigers hosting the Red Devils.
The match of the round takes us to White Hart Lane where Tottenham will host Liverpool in a early season blockbuster. At the bottom end of the ladder Bournemouth travel to Selhurst Park where both they and Crystal Palace will be looking to grab their first points of the season.
Feature EPL Match Previews
Tottenham v Liverpool – (Sat 9:30pm)
Last season Spurs built their success around their defence and they look set to do exactly the same this time around. The settled back four of Rose, Walker, Vertongen and Alderwireld conceded just 35 goals last year (least in EPL) and have continued where they finished having conceded just once from their opening two games. Liverpool were brought right back down to earth by losing 2-0 to Burnley in an abysmal display. As a result we saw Klopp play close to full strength in their midweek EFL Cup fixture with Coutinho and Klavan the only omissions. He also continues to persist with Milner at left back as out of form Moreno continues to warm the bench. They did manage 5 goals against Burton Albion with Sturridge coming on to score a late double. Clearly Klopp was looking to build some confidence heading into this game and the Reds are well positioned with 5 wins and 2 draws in their last 7 against Spurs. History points to a high scoring match but The Wolf disagrees. Tottenham have made it clear that defence is their priority. Liverpool are still trying to form their combinations in attack while for Spurs Harry Kane is yet to find the back of the net in the month of August. Both games ended in a stalemate last season and we will see much of the same in a hard fought draw.
Best: Under 2.5 goals ($2.05)
Value: Under 2.5 goals and Draw ($4.50)
Chelsea v Burnley – (Sat Midnight)
To the naked eye it seems as though Chelsea have gotten off to a flyer. To Wolf says that couldn’t be further from the truth. For all of the his criticism it is Diego Costa who Antonio Conte has to thank for 89th and 87th minute winners against West Ham and Watford. It is their defence though which will concern Conte. They conceded in each of those games and struggled to beat Bristol Rovers midweek in the League Cup. They took a commanding 3-1 lead into the break but after conceding early in the second half Conte brought on Terry, Hazard and Oscar to sure things up. They were virtually full strength and at home in a match that should have been more like a training run. This one will be no walk in the park. Burnley showed that they are more than comfortable without the football and have the speed to break on the counter. In addition, unlike Chelsea they played a second string side in their League Cup defeat – a result they wouldn’t mind with remaining in the top flight being their number one priority. Watford were able to get in behind Chelsea on multiple occasions last week so don’t be shocked when Burnley are afforded the same luxury. Gray and Vokes will pressure Terry and Cahill and The Wolf has Burnley scoring at least once.
Best: Team Totals Burnley Over 0.5 ($2.05)
Value: Draw 1-1 ($11.00)
Everton v Stoke – (Sat Midnight)
We saw the first of a Wolf favourite as Yannick Bolasie made his Everton debut in the League Cup win over Yeovil. He may not have gotten on the score sheet but there were great signs as he linked beautifully with Barkley and Lukaku. Unlike most of the other EPL signs Everton rested most of their regular starting XI and were able to get the likes of Oviedo, Lennon, Holgate and Funes Mori some game time. For Stoke the scoreline was not a true reflection of their performance against Man City last week. They controlled the game for large portions but City had the class in the final third of the pitch which was telling. Stoke have won 3 of the last 4 encounters between the two sides including the last two at Goodison Park. Shaqiri should return form a calf injury and will be a huge inclusion for The Potters. This one could end up being a very open encounter with both teams having class in the middle of the park. Barkley is a STAR according to The Wolf who says he could lead the league in assists this season. for Stoke look out for Bojan’s short passing game in and around the box. His vision is second to none. Both teams to find the back of the net in a high scoring encounter.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.95)
Value: Over 3.5 goals ($3.75)
Leicester v Swansea – (Sat Midnight)
It’s been a tough start for The Foxes and the road ahead will only get tougher as they have absolutely no momentum to work with. It was the key to their success last season and they will need some with encounters against Liverpool and Man Utd over the next month. Swansea got off to a quick start with a win over Burnley but were poor last week in a loss at home to Hull. They were easily exposed on the counter and Hull should have scored more. The loss of Ashley Williams at the back is evident and they will struggle without his leadership. After seeing what Hull did to them on the counter the writing is on the wall against a Leicester outfit that has built their success by playing counter attacking football. They had the better of it against Arsenal and should have had a penalty. The Wolf is expecting them to raid the Swansea goal with Mahrez to steal the show. Leicester to grab their first win.
Best: Leicester WIN ($1.80)
Value: Anytime Goalscorer Riyad Mahrez ($2.60)
Watford v Arsenal – (Sat Midnight)
Arsenal are traditionally fast starters but they have hit more than a bump and although it is early in the season sitting 5 points from the top is a concern. Watford also sit on a single point but have been playing well enough to have at least won one of their matches, especially after having taken the lead in both fixtures. Deeney was their only regular starter to take part in the midweek EFL Cup loss with several names not even making it on to the team sheet. That means we will see them at full strength when they host the Gunners. The Wolf won’t stop raving on about Amrabat and Holebas and they were again heavily involved down the flanks and were able to get in behind Chelsea with ease. Arsenal have already been hit by injury woes with Ramsey joining Mertesacker, Gnabry and Welbeck. Wenger continues do dismiss talks that he needs to make several signings prior to the transfer deadline yet he is yet to start Giroud, opting instead to play Sanchez up front. He has been ineffective in the role. The Chilean is at his best when he gets on the ball regularly and travels into wide areas – two things that he is unable to do when playing with his back to goal as a target. Arsenal did the double over Watford last season but The Hornets did knock them out of the FA Cup. All three meetings had at least three goals and with Watford playing an expansive style under Walter Mazzari we should see just as many when they meet this time around at Vicarage Road.
Best: Over 2.5 goals ($1.80)
Value: Over 3.5 goals ($3.25)
Hull v Man Utd – (Sun 2:30am)
If you didn’t think that Man Utd could win the title this season think again. Zlatan again showed his class with a double last week and his impact cannot be understated. With he and Pogba giving them a strong spine through the middle it has provided Rooney and Martial with both time and space. They were dominant against Southampton and were able to effectively shut down Tadic and Redmon – a duo which The Wolf has marked as very dangerous. Hull have collected just a single point against the Red Devils from their last 8 EPL encounters and despite winning their opening two games The Wolf cannot see United letting up in this one. The key man for the Tigers is Snodgrass and he has been a standout for them thus far. Look for United to double up on him where possible with Fellaini given the task of shutting him down on the counter. United will look to control the tempo of this one which will limit the supply to Snodgrass and Diomande. El Mohamady will have his work cut out for him as will Robertson. Injuries have forced Livermore into central defence and that is great news for Ibrahimovic who will have a field day. United to win and keep a clean sheet.
Best: Teams To Score – Man Utd Only ($2.10)
Value: Correct Score Man Utd 3-0 ($9.50)
Man City v West Ham – (Mon 1:00am)
City have managed to get results despite not playing anywhere near their best. It certainly helps when you have the class of Aguero up front, not to mention names like Nolito, Delph, Nasri, Bony and Iheanacho coming off the bench. They did have their troubles against Stoke but if you give City opportunities they will punish you. The Hammers will need to be at their very best in this one but their form away from home dating back to last season has been pretty poor. They have won just 1 of their last 5 away in the league but they did beat City hear last September. The key to West Ham’s success is the fact that they have been consistently been able to fin the back of the net. They have scored in 15 consecutive EPL matches which has seen them involved in high scoring matches. Their last 7 road games have all produced at least 3 goals and they have conceded multiple goals in 6 of them.
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.80)
Value: 1st Half Over 1.5 goals ($2.20)
Week 2: 3-7
Week 2 ROI: 65.7%
Overall ROI: 49.1%
Week 2: 1-9
Week 2 ROI: 32.5%
Overall ROI: 124.35%
Overall ROI: 86.73%