UCL Tips: Quarter Finals (2nd Leg)

Liverpool produced the performance of the season in their first leg at home to Man City and are in the box seat to progress to the semi finals. With Real Madrid, Barcelona and Bayern Munich also in commanding positions, we will see some very open football being played. We will see goals, goals and more goals!

UCL Quarter Finals Previews

Wednesday (4:45am AEST)

Man City v Liverpool (0-3)
It is all falling apart at the wrong time of the season for Man City. They were a shadow of themselves at Anfield and completely outplayed by a rampant Liverpool. The Reds high press and lethal counter attack tore the City defence to shreds and the 3 goal margin looks unassailable. To make things worse, they then let a two goal lead go to waste at home to rivals Man Utd in a game where victory would have clinched the Premier League title. It gets worse – not only did they lose to Man Utd, Pep opted to play Fernandinho, David Silva, Kompany and Otamendi and Sane rather than rest them for this one. Klopp on the other hand rested Salah to help recover from from a groin problem, Robertson and Alexander-Arnold were given the weekend off while Firmino and Oxlade-Chamberlain played 15 just minutes off the bench. He will however be without Henderson in midfield who is suspended. City will be boosted by the return of Aguero but The Wolf cannot see how they can overcome the deficit. The Wolf says there is no doubt that they can score 3 goals but he is adamant that they will not be able to maintain a clean sheet. That means City would have to score at least 5 times – not happening! City have lost 3 of their last 4 UCL matches and have maintained just 1 clean sheet in their last 16 meetings with the Reds. Salah, Mane and Firmino to again run riot on the counter!
Best: Over 3.5 goals ($2.00)
Value: Liverpool Over 1.5 goals ($3.00)

Roma v Barcelona (1-4)
The scoreline does not reflect how well Roma played at the Camp Nou with the late Suarez goal effectively ending this tie. They then went down at home to Fiorentina in the league and are in a real battle with the likes of Inter, AC Milan and Lazio to qualify for this competition next season. Barca on the other hand are flying. The La Liga title is in the bag, they take a 3 goal advantage with them to the Stadio Olimpico and Messi is coming off a hat-trick in the weekend win over Leganes. Roma have maintained 4 consecutive clean sheets at home in this competition but have now conceded 10 goals in their last two encounters with the Catalan club. Barca to flex their muscles and show their class.
Best: Barcelona WIN ($1.61)
Value: 1st Half Barcelona Over 1.5 goals ($4.00)

Thursday (4:45am AEST)

Real Madrid v Juventus (3-0)
We witnessed on of the great Champions League goals in the first leg as Ronaldo continued his dominant record against Juventus. He has now scored 9 goals in his last 6 against the Italian side and it is hard to see them shutting him down. Overcoming a three goal deficit is one thing – doing it away from home and without your best player is another. Pjanic will return to the starting XI but Allegri will be without the services of Dybala after he was controversially sent off. Juve must also defy the history books as they have never beaten Real Madrid by more than two goals. The Spanish side have lost just once at home in this competition dating back to 2011 and have scored at least 3 goals in 6 of their last 7 at home in the UCL. It is a dominant record and one that will continue.
Best: HT/FT – Real Madrid/Real Madrid ($2.45)
Value: Match Result & Both To Score – Real Madrid ($3.00)

Bayern Munich v Sevilla (2-1)
Sevilla put up a huge fight in the first 90 minutes of this tie and will consider themselves unlucky not to be making the trip to Allianz Arena on level pegging. They created more than enough chances and scrambled very well in defence. Bayern were able to exploit them in wide areas and this will definitely continue with the German side on their familiar home turf. Ribery, Bernat and Kimmich were constantly getting the ball in space on the flanks, and unlike man of the other top sides, Bayern do not hesitate to get balls into the box. This is the case as the likes of Lewandowski, Muller, Vidal and Alcantara are all very strong in the air. Sevilla has shown that they can get results away from home in this competition. They beat Man Utd at Old trafford and have picked up draws away to Juventus and Liverpool – all in the last 18 months. A draw will not be enough though and Real Madrid remain the only side to beat Bayern in their last 21 UCL matches at Allianz Arena. the combined score in Bayern’s last 9 at home in this competition reads 30-5. Sevilla will find the back of the net but it will not be enough to get them through. 
Best: Both Teams To Score – YES ($1.70)
Value: 2nd Half Over 2.5 goals ($3.00)

Results

Best Bets
Overall: 51-57
Overall ROI: 88.82%

Value Bets
Overall: 32-76
Overall ROI: 103.16%

All Bets
Overall ROI: 95.99%


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